Orioles: Back to the Big Apple
The Orioles open a three-game series at the new Yankee Stadium on Tuesday night and I'm tempted to declare the entire series a reverse lock. The Orioles are playing short with Adam Jones and Lou Montanez banged up and they're starting young Brad Bergesen in the opener against C.C. Sabathia, so the first game qualifies.
Their best chance of getting a win comes on Wednesday night, when No. 1 starter Jeremy Guthrie takes the mound against Phil Hughes and his 7.53 ERA, but the Orioles could not take advantage of the rotation mismatch on Sunday against the Royals, so why should anyone expect them to rise up against a much more imposing team.
The series finale features Adam Eaton (2-4, 7.93 ERA) in what I believe is a must-win situation. The only reason, in my mind, that Eaton is getting the start is because the Orioles brass does not want to bring up a young pitcher and send him to the mound in that environment. If Eaton pulls a big performance out of thin air, he'll likely get another start. If not, I think you're going to see somebody like David Hernandez moved into his slot in the rotation pretty quick.
Reverse lock series sweep? I said I was tempted, not stupid. The Orioles will be very fortunate to get out of New York with one victory. If I had to choose which one, logic would dictate that it would be Guthrie's start, but I used up all my logic on Luke Scott. I'm going with Bergesen in a single-game reverse lock tomorrow night.