If you were told that Orioles' ace Jeremy Guthrie would be winless after his first five starts of the season, you'd probably figure that the O's would also be about a half-dozen or so games under .500 by now and headed to oblivion in the standings by Memorial Day.

Well, Guthrie is 0-2 after his first five trips to the mound even though he's pitched solid ball after  an ineffective start on opening day and so far, the sky hasn't fallen on Oriole Little.  The O's are still two games above the water line (11-9) and although Boston is beginning to separate already for the AL East lead, the Orioles are just a half-game behind in the wildcard chase (don't laugh, it's true!)

Still, if your an Orioles fan, you hate to see ones like last night get away, a 4-2 loss to Seattle, in the first game of a road trip.  Guthrie had held the Mariners to a 2-2 tie going into the bottom of the eighth when he walked the bases loaded on a guy he owns and then gave up a two-run single.  At the same time, the Orioles weren't showing they were capable of getting any more runs off the top pitchers on the Mariners staff, starter Felix Hernandez and closer J.J. Putz.

Tonight, Daniel Cabrera pitches.  He's had two straight good games.  As we say in the news biz, three and it's a trend.