Q&A with ESPN's Mark Dixon
ESPN analyst and former Johns Hopkins midfielder Mark Dixon will provide commentary for the next installment of the “War on the Shore” series between No. 1 Salisbury and Washington on Saturday at 1 p.m. Dixon discussed his candidate for the top seed in the NCAA tournament, Virginia’s performance on the heels of a major personnel shakeup, and Maryland’s bid for a top-eight seed and a home game.
With No. 1 Notre Dame falling to No. 3 Syracuse, 11-8, on Saturday, who is your candidate with the inside track for the top seed in the NCAA tournament?
I think the No. 1 seed right now is Syracuse. The reason is when you look at the three main criteria for the NCAA selection committee, it’s RPI, strength of schedule and quality wins, and I think Syracuse has all of those wrapped up. Their RPI was already No. 1 going into this weekend. The SOS hasn’t been put out yet, but I’d be shocked if they weren’t in the top three. And when you look at their quality wins, you’re talking about [No. 4] Johns Hopkins, Notre Dame, [No. 9] Virginia, [No. 7] Duke, [No. 5] Denver and [No. 13] Villanova. They just have all three of those wrapped up. They play St. John’s in their final and minus any catastrophe there, Syracuse will be the No. 1 seed.
What did you think of Virginia’s 11-2 win against No. 16 Penn in light of the program’s decision to dismiss senior midfielder Shamel Bratton and suspend indefinitely his twin brother Rhamel Bratton?
I wasn’t surprised, to be honest with you. [ESPN analyst] Quint Kessenich and I did a segment a couple weeks ago for Inside Lacrosse called “Quint vs. Dixon: Buy or sell Virginia?” and I said sell. The main reason was the team chemistry. You could just tell that things weren’t right with the team chemistry. So the players stepped up, voted to have Rhamel suspended and Shamel dismissed from the team, and that’s huge. When you’re looking around the locker room, those are the guys you go to battle with in terms of the lacrosse field every single day in practice and then on gameday against other schools, and they made the decision that they didn’t want them there. Virginia has problems in addition to the Brattons with the defense being very suspect. But they did a tremendous job [Saturday]. They made some adjustments. [Senior long-stick midfielder] Bray Malphrus played down at the close, and [redshirt junior defenseman] Chris Clements went up to long-stick midfield. I like [sophomore] Harry Prevas back there. [Senior] Adam Ghitelman is a good goalie who can make saves when given the opportunity. To beat Penn, 11-2, at home, I thought it was a statement win, and I liked the way this offense still has weapons. They still have [junior attackmen] Steele Stanwick and Chris Bocklet and [junior] Colin Briggs in the midfield. So this team still has an explosive offense. It’s just a question of whether or not this defense can pull it together. But I think for this team – in terms of the off-field distractions – the soap opera is done and the drama is finished. Shamel Bratton has been dismissed from the team. Sure, they’ll miss him on the field in terms of his ability and what he brought to the table as an electric offensive lacrosse player. But they don’t have to put up with all of the other stuff, and they can really just focus on winning games now and doing the best that they can without the whole sideshow.
What was the most surprising result of the weekend?
Two things stood out to me. One was the Syracuse offense and how they were able to pick apart the Notre Dame defense. I was really impressed with them being able to penetrate that Irish defense, and I think the big key to that from where I was sitting was [junior attackman] Tom Palasek. His ability to dodge off the corner, get about goal-line extended, create slides, create defensive rotations really opened up a lot of things for the Syracuse offense. And when you can get the ball into [senior attackman] Stephen Keogh, forget about it. That guy’s going to finish. He’s a tremendous goal scorer, and that’s what they were able to do. I was impressed with the play of the second midfield unit, [redshirt sophomore] Steve Ianzito in particular. I think the second biggest surprise wasn’t that [No. 12] Bucknell won the Patriot League championship, but how they did it in such dominating fashion. This is a team right now that is really gelling, and I think they’re peaking at the time that you want a team to peak. I just really love that trio that they have on the offensive end in [senior attackman Mike] Danylyshyn, [senior midfielder Ryan] Klipstein and [junior midfielder] Charlie Streep.
I’ve seen a few projected brackets that don’t have No. 6 Maryland getting a top-eight seed and a home game in the first round of the NCAA tournament. Agree or disagree?
I think Maryland is a top-eight seed and that they will get a home game. When you look at their body of work, their RPI is a little low right now at 11. Their strength of schedule is probably going to be anywhere between eight and 13, but if you look at their wins – the win over Duke in the ACC championship, the win over North Carolina in the ACC tournament – in my opinion, they’re going to get the home game. The RPI and the SOS are a little bit low, but when I look at my top eight, I’ve got Villanova, Bucknell and maybe Penn on the outside looking in. If I compare the resumes of those teams to Maryland’s, I guess Villanova would be the one that would be the most problematic with an RPI of four. But I think their strength of schedule is going to be much lower than Maryland’s. I see the Terps getting seeded anywhere between six and eight. And remember, they still have to play [No. 14] Colgate at home next weekend. That’s going to be a huge game for Colgate because if they can win, that would keep them alive. For Maryland, that’s a good win. Not an eye-popping win, but a good win.
Which top-10 team might not get a top-eight seed in the NCAA tournament?
On team that might not get a home game might be Denver. If you look at their RPI, they’re at eight right now, but the strength of schedule is not going to be very, very strong. Their big win is over Duke, and that’s their only quality win. Now, their only two losses are to Syracuse and Notre Dame, but when you look at their strength of schedule, that might hurt them. If they don’t win the ECAC, I still think they’re an at-large [lock], but they definitely wouldn’t get a home game. I would have said that about Virginia if they had lost to Penn, but with Virginia beating Penn, their RPI is seven, and they’re going to have a top-three strength of schedule. They’ve got the win over [No. 2] Cornell, which is huge. So I think Virginia solidified a home game in the playoffs with that win over Penn.
Is No. 8 North Carolina a lock for the NCAA tournament?
When you talk about North Carolina, their RPI is at 13, their schedule is very, very strong, they’ve got one head-to-head win against Maryland. I think they’re bubble-in right now. I’ve got 13 teams in right now, including the automatic qualifiers that aren’t locks. And I’ve got Penn and North Carolina as my next teams in at 14 and 15. And then it’s between Colgate, Army, Yale, Harvard and maybe Loyola and UMass at the bottom for that last spot. So they’re a bubble-in right now, and they’ve got a huge opportunity against [No. 1] Notre Dame next weekend. If they knock off the Irish, it’s a done deal, and they may even elevate themselves to get a home game perhaps.
Let’s do a rapid-fire conference-by-conference look-in. Who do you like to come out of the Ivy League tournament?
Cornell. And that’s my favorite tournament because it always seems like there are all these one-goal games and overtimes and things like that. And outside of Cornell, you’ve got [No. 16] Penn, [No. 17] Yale and Harvard. I think Penn’s in a good position to get an at-large berth with their win over Duke and they’ve got a pretty strong RPI at 12, but their strength of schedule is going to be in the top five, I believe. And Yale’s a very nice team. I’d love to see them get into the tournament, but they’ve got to get to the finals of the Ivy League to have a chance and that would mean knocking off Cornell.
The Colonial Athletic Association?
I love [No. 10] Hofstra. I love the way that they’re playing right now. They’ve got home-field advantage at Shuart Stadium. That’s a huge plus for the Pride. I just think they’re playing great right now.
The Eastern College Athletic Conference?
Denver.
The America East?
[No. 11] Stony Brook. That’s Stony Brook’s to lose. But I think Hartford is the one that can give them a run for their money.
The Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference?
That’s an interesting conference. This last weekend jockeyed everything. Detroit, had they won, would have been the No. 1 seed, but they lost and fell to No. 3. So it’s Siena, Marist, Detroit and Jacksonville, and I think right now, the team that is probably playing the best and with the most experience in this format is Siena. So I think you have to give the nod to the Saints.
Categories: Johns Hopkins, Loyola, Maryland, Q&A

