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May 11, 2011

Gas price exceeds $4, but good news may be near

On a day when the average price of a gallon of gas passed $4 for the first time since 2008, AAA Mid-Atlantic says it has good news about fuel prices.

AAA spokeswoman Ragina Averella said the group's oil  analysts believe that with Wednesday's 3-cent increase in the Maryland average to $4.005, the market is at or near its top. She said they expect a few weeks of volatility, followed by a significant decrease in prices at the pump.

Averella, who participated in a conference call with AAA analysts Wednesday, said AAA is unsure whether the decreases will come quickly enough to affect Memorial Day travel plans. But she said the group expects to see prices in the $3.25-$3.75 range -- and "maybe even lower" -- by July and August.

"We see prices reasonable enough that people will be taking trips," she said.

Averella noted that crude oil prices plunged 15 percent Friday to reach their lowest levels in two years -- even though they partially rebounded early this week. She said Maryland's 3-cent overnight increase, which followed several days of flatness or modest declines, may be related to flooding along the Mississippi River.

Averella said the Oil Price Information Service believes high prices have already reduced demand for gasoline by 3-5 percent -- more than in some other estimates. She said gas prices have already peaked and are on their way down in high-priced markets such as California.

The AAA spokeswoman said the national average lags Maryland's by about 5 cents and has yet to cross the $4 mark -- though prices in many metropolitan areas have been there for weeks.

The current Maryland average is just short of the $4.05 record set in June 2008.

 

 

Posted by Michael Dresser at 4:37 PM | | Comments (4)
Categories: On the roads
        

Comments

Saw $4.40 gas in DC on Saturday. By the way, I am sooo tired of the stupid captcha filter. Getting harder and harder for real people to read.

How much is Obama Fuel, er, uh, I mean, gas, in your neighborhood?

3 cent jump? Where? I got gas at the Exxon Station on the corner of Reisterstown Road and Franklin Blvd. Tuesday morning and paid $3.95/gallon. When I came home that night it was $4.15/gallon. That was a lot more than 3 cents!!!!

COMMENT: You should buy at the Average Station, not the Exxon Station.

Weren't the experts expecting the drop to occur before the Memorial Day weekend? And now they're expecting it not to hit until July? I call shenanigans - just not sure on who.

By the way, I'd be curious to know what the average price is at a Shell, compared to other gas stations. Seems like they've been running a bit higher than other stations to compensate for the Giant points promotion....

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About Michael Dresser
Michael Dresser has been an editor, reporter and columnist with The Sun longer than Baltimore's had a subway. He's covered retailing, telecommunications, state politics and wine. Since 2004, he's been The Sun's transportation writer. He lives in Ellicott City with his wife and travel companion, Cindy.

His Getting There column appears on Mondays. Mike's blog will be a forum for all who are interested in highways, transit and other transportation issues affecting Baltimore, Maryland and the region.
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