by Mark Silva
Caucuses are good for Barack Obama.
With 78 percent of the results in today, Obama was leading Hillary Clinton by a margin of 59 percent to 40 percent in Wyoming's Democratic caucuses.
There are just 12 delegates at stake there, but every one counts in the close race that Obama and Clinton are running.
And this could be one of the most delegate-intensive contests of all, considering how many people took part in Wyoming today. With 18 of 23 precincts reporting, Obama's lead was built on 4,000 votes, to Clinton's 2,756 votes. About 59,000 Democrats are eligible to take part.
Obama has outrun Clinton in caucuses, which reward organization and voter passion more than do primary elections do primaries. The Illinois senator has won 12 to the New Yorker's three.
Not counting Wyoming's delegates, still to be allocated, Obama holds the lead in pledged delegates, 1,571 to Clinton's 1,463. But Clinton has the edge with superdelegates — the party officials and elected leaders — 242-210. A total of 2,025 is needed for nomination.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.






Comments
"There are just 12 delegates at stake there...Wyoming's delegates, still to be allocated..."
- MS
The key is the delegate breakdown. According to Obama's camp, Hillary's "blow-out" on Tuesday resulted in her winning only 4 more total delegates in OH, TX, RI and VT than Obama.
If true, that means that the small state of Wyoming, which will go Republican in November, can wipe out all of Hillary's gains on Tuesday.
And the Democrats wonder why they have lost 7 out of the last 10 presidential elections.
Winner-take-all is the best route for nominating a president.
Even though I support Obama and even though I know this would mean he'd have been wiped out long ago by his defeats in the big states, it still makes no sense to take this route to the nomination.
Posted by: Anonymous | March 8, 2008 4:25 PM
Re: Beyond Wyoming
From today's "Head of State"
http://headofstate.blogspot.com/2008/03/how-obama-can-win.html
"Saturday, March 08, 2008
How Obama Can Win
Obama, as many recognize, now seems to be in a box of his own making.
By declaring himself the candidate of the new politics, putting the politics of Rove et al. aside for a politics of honesty, straight-forward decency, and strength, he has putatively left the field open for Clinton et al. to lob innuendo after innuendo. If he responds, he is in violation of his commitment to the new; if he continues with his current path of non-response, he will be taken down by a series of attacks, that however false or fantastic, will eventually raises doubts in the mind of the electorate as to the validity of his new politics, and will, in the great viscera of the electorate, so responsive and so easily changed, appear "weak."
If he attacks, it is said, he betrays himself; if he continues on the same path, he is whittled down by rumor and insinuation.
Clinton's current strength is her ability to attack, however true the nature and content of the attacks. Obama must turn this very behavior into its own negative. To do so, Obama must relentlessly name what she is doing and anchor it--calling for an "end to the era of 'kitchen sink' politics, i.e.:
"It's about time that we left the era of "kitchen sink" politics, of distortion and insinuation, behind us. We have all seen it before this--a period where it was often difficult to tell falsehood, rumor, and misinformation from truth. It was this type of politics that contributed to a war in which we have lost the best of our national treasure, our nation's men and women. It is this type of politics that our opponents not so long ago decried. And it is this type of politics that, more than anything else, signals weakness--the inability to base one's statements and actions on the firm ground of truth, on our collective and honest dedication to the construction of a new and positive future--and instead, on a retreat into the politics of personal destruction.
It's time to take out the dirty dishes; It's time to empty the kitchen sink. After an era where it was often difficult to distinguish fantasy from truth, it's time to put that era behind us, to base our future efforts on strong and honest desire to build a new and better future."
What Obama can create is his own "There you go again" moment--one that will both define Clinton (someone, after all, has to do it), and places the Clinton camp in their very own box, of their own making: Where any attack will be immediately associated be in the voter's mind, and accompanied by a roll of the voter's eyes, as another example of Clinton's "kitchen sink" politics--of the chaotic, inconsistent, contradictory and frantic willingness to say or do anything to be elected--be it the changing of one's personality, tone, degree of honesty--or one's degree of tolerance or gusto for the politics of personal destruction.
Without attack, this demonstrates the nature of the Clinton camp: when attacked, and in danger of loss, rather than respond with strength, principle and authority, they throw the "kitchen sink", abandoning principles and frantically strewing innuendo as they do so.
With moral force, it names exactly what the Clinton camp is doing, and anchors it both to the politics of the past Administration, and to the very political tactics that Clinton herself has denounced and disavowed. It provides direct evidence--thus far, the only direct evidence, of how a Clinton Administration would likely govern in times of chaos, crisis, and other "3 a.m. moments", thus disempowering her already factually shaky appeals to foreign policy superiority--with a "kitchen sink" approach of tumultuous, changing, disorganized and contradictory attack--rather than with consistent purpose and moral authority.
Obama must persistently name what the Clinton camp is doing rather than complain--and he must then link it to the very essence of an old politics that has been lived through by all of us, and denigrated by most, over the past 8 years.
Thus named, and thus defined, Obama can then invite Clinton up to the higher ground--to a debate based on policy and principle--or she can choose to stay in the box that she and her camp have created.
Cite:
Head of State
http://headofstate.blogspot.com/2008/03/how-obama-can-win.html
Posted by: Robert Hewson | March 8, 2008 4:29 PM
Nice. It's good to see that the people of Wyoming weren't swayed by Clinton's "kitchen sink" campaign and Johnny-come-lately approach to campaigning in small states. Of course, she'll go back to her "caucuses and small states don't count" argument.
Posted by: KPO'M | March 8, 2008 4:41 PM
I would suggest that Obama leads Hillary in caucus states because those states are not polluted with Republican cross-over voters trying to throw the election. I have been vindicated in my suggestion. Apparently, there is quite a movement beginning to investigate Ohio's skewed results. Don't take my word for it, check it out on the Internet.
Posted by: lori | March 8, 2008 5:16 PM
Hillary's "blow-out" on Tuesday resulted in her winning only 4 more total delegates in OH, TX, RI and VT than Obama.
Posted by: Anonymous | March 8, 2008 4:25 PM
Add to that the final count in California added 4 to the Obama column and took 4 from Clinton's. Net result? Clinton's actually four down since March 4.
Posted by: Kathy S., San Antonio | March 8, 2008 5:29 PM
Wyoming was instrumental in the election of John F Kennedy after he lost the Ohio primary in 1960. Never underestimate cowboy common sense.
Posted by: Susie | March 8, 2008 7:15 PM
Yes. I am from Austin Texas where we had a primary and a Caucus. I do believe that the replubicans voted in the primary because it was an open primary. AM RAdio 590-- had the talking heads politely suggesting that it "might be a good idea to do so". No doubt --- Obama does better in caucus states because there is less of a chance of republicans masquerading as democrats in the primary.
Posted by: Dena | March 10, 2008 11:18 PM