Bush's slump: Not a record yet: The Swamp
The Swamp
Posted November 20, 2007 2:50 PM
The Swamp

by Mark Silva

At the end of this month – assuming that President Bush’s public job approval doesn’t jump from its current trough of 32 percent to 40 percent or higher – the second-term leader will surpass former President Richard Nixon in the number of months running with a sub-40 percent rating.

That will catapult Bush into second place for this dubious honor in the Gallup Poll’s post World War II-tracking of presidential approval ratings.

But Bush will have to fend off most of the public's approval for much of the rest of his term to make No. 1. That top, or bottom, honor belongs to President Harry Truman, whose public approval hovered below 40 percent in the Gallup Poll from October 1950 to December 1952 – for 26 consecutive months.

Bush’s approval rating has hovered below 40 since September 2006 – matching Nixon’s 13 months (from July 1973 until his resignation from the presidency in August 1974).

The president, whose approval stood at 32 percent in the latest Gallup Poll – in a survey of Americans taken Nov. 11-14 – stands only marginally higher than Congress in this regard. The public’s approval for Congress stood at just 20 percent in that survey.

In his most recent quarter in office, Bush averaged 33.2 percent in job approval, the second lowest quarterly average of his presidency – yet an improvement over the previous quarter’s average of 31.8 percent, which indeed ranked as the lowest period of his administration.

Among the 248 quarters that Gallup has measured since this work began after the last World War, only 18 have scored lower than Bush’s last quarter.

Over the course of his entire presidency, Bush’s public approval has averaged 52.2 percent, which places him in the middle of the post-World War II presidential pack.

That’s because Bush’s popularity soared to 90 percent in the Gallup Poll in the weeks following the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001.

His first term average was better than most presidents, 62.2 percent.

Yet his slumping approval in his second term – averaging 38.8 percent for the term so far – also rivals Truman’s second-term average of 36.5 percent, and the record-low term average of Nixon’s truncated second term, 34.4 percent.

“The trend line on Bush’s quarterly averages throughout his presidency shows most prominently the effects of the 9/11 terrorist attacks, which produced a spike in support for him,’’ Gallup’s Jeffrey Jones has reported. “The events surrounding the attacks led to him receiving some of the highest approval ratings in Gallup polling history. Since then, his average approval rating has declined nearly every quarter. In fact, the most recent quarter is only the second time in his second term as president that his quarterly average did not decline from the prior quarter.

“Bush’s second term in office has been a difficult one for him, due in large part to the ongoing war in Iraq,’’ Jones reports. “He has averaged a 38.8% approval rating in his second term so far, which threatens Truman (36.5% in his second term) and Nixon (34.4% in his truncated second term) for the lowest average in any presidential term since World War II.’’

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Mark, while 32 percent is nothing to crow about, to say that Bush's approval rating is "only marginally higher than Congress (which is at 20 percent in the Gallup survey)" is ridiculous.

Congress is in bad shape. It is ineffective, shrouded only in political posturing against the needs of the nation. Congress under Pelosi and Reid is a joke. Hopefully, a joke the American people will rectify next November by putting the Republicans back in charge.

"Bush: his slumping approval in his second term – averaging 38.8 percent for the term so far – also rivals Truman’s second-term average of 36.5 percent, and the record-low term average of Nixon’s truncated second term, 34.4 percent."

More bad news for the Wingers, this is the garbage that they're running to replace Prez 24% with:

Rudy Floppy Flippiani - flipped on guns, abortion, immigration, civil unions.

John Flop FlipCain - I Heart Bush/torture/Baptists/Episcopalians.

Mitt Flip Flopney - Pro-choice/life, Pro-universal/not-so-much health-care, Pro-Mormon/Evangelicals Pro/anti-gay rights, pro/anti-tax cuts. pro/anti-campaign finance reform, pro/anti-Ronald Reagan.

Mike Huckster - he does not believe in evolution.
Among other things, that means he can have no real comprehension of modern biology and medicine.

Even Hillary would beat any of these pretenders to the throne.

John D,

Are Republicans really so dense that they can't understand that Congress' low approval rating is primarily a function of their ineffectiveness at STOPPING BUSH'S AGENDA? I'm utterly baffled how a hardcore wingnut such as yourself can take solace in this, yet you and Brucebot appear to on a daily basis.

The people want out of Iraq, and the Democrats have failed to deliver it because the remaining Republicans are standing with Bush against the will of the people. It just means we need to elect more Democrats to break filibusters and achieve cloture. How is that good for your party exactly?

Doing what is right is always popular and being popular isn't always right.

Okay, so where is Bruce and John D. with but, but, but the approval rating for Congress (infer Democrats although it's for all of Congress) is so much lower.

So when Bush got 51% of the 60% of voters, he claimed that he had a MANDATE from the voters and he now had political capital to spend.

So if 30% of all voters is a mandate, what do you call it when 70% of eligible voters say they want us out of Iraq?

I wish articles like this would break out the Democratic and Republican congressional caucuses. The latest ABC poll puts the Democrats in Congress at 39% and the Republicans at 32% (the same rating Gallup gives "W"). Even though 39% is a lousy rating - it shows that the voters do recognize that the Republicans are more to blame for Congress's current inability to reflect the will of the people.

A 12% approval lead over Congress is only "marginally higher", Mark?

I look forward to the day when DNC Swamp journalists such as Mark Silva will always insert a "record low poll numbers" phrase every time he writes about the Democrat Congress.

Sadly, that day will never come.

While reporting on the Gallup Poll above, Mr. Silva and the Obama Campaign ignore Gallup's latest national poll of Democrats. Since they won't give the readers this poll, here it is:

"PRINCETON , NJ -- In the national standings of the Democratic presidential candidates seeking their party's nomination next year, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton continues to hold a strong 27-point lead over second-place rival Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, according to a new Gallup Poll. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards remains further behind in third place.

According to the Nov. 11-14, 2007, poll, 48% of Democrats say they are most likely to support Clinton for the party’s presidential nomination in 2008, followed by Obama at 21% and Edwards at 12%. No other candidate garners more than 4% support."

The Swamp ignores the Gallup Poll showing St. Barack behind bigtime, in order to publicize less important Gallup Polls, just as the Obama campaign would want the Swamp to do.

I think Bush knows his legacy is tied to Iraq, which, contrary to the rhetoric of Harry Reid, is an unfinished story. He is hoping history will judge him more favorably than contemporary polls, as it did with Truman. Interesting comparison to Truman, who also faced an opposition that went beyond political to a bizarre personal hatred. I don't think even Truman faced the kinds of rants Bush faces, but that is probably more attributable to the Internet, which allows for anonymous personal attacks with no accountability.

By the way, I see Bush's approval rating actually went up the last quarter. Which one of you liberals converted? John E.?


Doing what is wrong isn't popular either.

Where are the WMDs and the nuclear weapons that were the reasons for going into Iraq?

Saddam is gone.

Exactly WHY are we still there?

It's their country and their country to do with what they want. If they want to destroy it, that's their prerogative.

If Bush hadn't screwed up the balance in Iraq, the country wouldn't be having the problems that they are having.

Congress is in bad shape. It is ineffective, shrouded only in political posturing against the needs of the nation. Congress under Pelosi and Reid is a joke. Hopefully, a joke the American people will rectify next November by putting the Republicans back in charge.

Posted by: John D | November 20, 2007 3:19 PM

As opposed to Bill Frist and Tom Delay. Two words, Dyslin, Terri Schiavo:


Well deserved. American with a mind of their own hate that loser. The worst president EVER!!! p.s. John D is a brainwashing victim. Go easy on him.






MR. 11%!

Maybe this will help congress, and hurt vice president pretzel eater.

Scott Maclellan has a new book, and in it he says...

"The most powerful leader in the world had called upon me to speak on his behalf and help restore credibility he lost amid the failure to find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. So I stood at the White house briefing room podium in front of the glare of the klieg lights for the better part of two weeks and publicly exonerated two of the senior-most aides in the White House: Karl Rove and Scooter Libby.

There was one problem. It was not true.

I had unknowingly passed along false information. And five of the highest ranking officials in the administration were involved in my doing so: Rove, Libby, the vice President, the President's chief of staff, and the president himself."

The driveby media is hyperventilating in it's anti Bush syndrome.
Bruce is right on look at the polss of Democrats and Hillary's negatives are higher than anyone who has ever run for President as Karl Rove has pointed out and as Karl says she is hard and brittle and I'll add deceptive but the drivebys think she's earned it while she has no experience except for controlling bimbo eruptions during the Clinton years. Jerry White,Springfield, IL

The driveby media is all concerned about Bush's low poll numbers which they are responsible for.
Bruce is right Hillary's numbers are the highest negatives for any candidate for President ever as Karl Rove pointed out.
Also, Karl says she is hard and brittle and I would add disceptive. The drivebys think her candidacy is earned but for what controlling bimbo eruptions during the Clinto years. Jerry White, Springfield, IL


The WMDs are right where all these people said they were.


We are still there toget teh country stable until the Iraqis can take over. The surge is working.

Sorry for the good news, I know it ruins your day.

"Posted by: bruce | November 20, 2007 4:20 PM"

Bruce - this story was about Bush - it had NOTHING to do with Barack Obama.

Quite being a Republic party WHINER and stay on topic.

Congress's slumping approval numbers are hardly a reflection only on Democrats. Many people understand the Repubs have the power to block anything Dems try to do, with their ever ready Senate filibusters.

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