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November 17, 2011

Poll: Edwards has early lead

Rep. Donna F. Edwards, the Democratic incumbent facing a primary in Maryland’s newly redrawn 4th Distrcit, enjoys a 68 percent favorability rating among likely primary voters and would beat all of her challengers if the election were held today, according to an internal poll obtained by The Sun.

Edwards, first elected in a special election in 2008, beats former Prince George’s County State’s Attorney Glenn Ivey 52 percent to 16 percent, according to the poll, which was funded by her campaign and conducted by Democratic pollster Lake Research Partners.

Anne Arundel County Council member Jamie Benoit, who has said he is considering a run, draws 3 percent of the vote.

In Prince George’s County, the likely focal point of the April 4 Democratic primary, Edwards performs even better: Eight in 10 voters have a favorable opinion of the congresswoman there and she leads Ivey 60 percent to 21 percent.

In response to the poll, campaign spokesman Ben Gerdes said that Edwards “works and fights every single day for the residents of Maryland's 4th Congressional District, and these numbers reflect that."

Internal polls can often skew toward the candidate funding them and many voters are likely not yet paying attention to the race. Nearly five in 10 voters had a favorable view of Ivey and 41 percent had no opinion or had not heard of him.

Ivey won countywide elections in Prince George’s in 2002 and 2006 and is expected to be a forbidable challenger. He has not formally kicked off his campaign but has filed paperwork with the Federal Election Commission required of any federal candidate who raises or spends more than $5,000.

Updated: Ramon Korionoff, an Ivey spokesman, said their campaign is in the field with its own poll and expects to have results soon. "Our campaign is going to continue to build on our momentum," Korionoff said. "Polls come in many forms and sizes and types and depending on the language...there can be variances." 

The Edwards poll was conducted from Nov. 10-13 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent. 


Posted by John Fritze at 4:49 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Washington

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About the bloggers
Annie Linskey covers state politics and government for The Baltimore Sun. Previously, as a City Hall reporter, she wrote about the corruption trial of Mayor Sheila Dixon and kept a close eye on city spending. Originally from Connecticut, Annie has also lived in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, where she reported on war crimes tribunals and landmines. She lives in Canton.

John Fritze has covered politics and government at the local, state and federal levels for more than a decade and is now The Baltimore Sun’s Washington correspondent. He previously wrote about Congress for USA TODAY, where he led coverage of the health care overhaul debate and the 2010 election. A native of Albany, N.Y., he currently lives in Montgomery County.

Julie Scharper covers City Hall and Baltimore politics. A native of Baltimore County, she graduated from The Johns Hopkins University in 2001 and spent two years teaching in Honduras before joining The Baltimore Sun. She has followed the Amish community of Nickel Mines, Pa., in the year after a schoolhouse massacre, reported on courts and crime in Anne Arundel County, and chronicled the unique personalities and places of Baltimore City and its surrounding counties.
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