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September 14, 2011

Sun Poll predicted mayoral primary

The results of Baltimore’s Democratic primary election are in — and they show the accuracy of The Sun Poll.

The survey conducted by the Annapolis polling firm OpinionWorks last month predicted the order in which the mayoral challengers finished and, after distributing the undecided respondents among the candidates, gave a good approximation of their shares of the vote:

Candidate Poll response / Primary vote

Stephanie Rawlings-Blake 50 percent / 52 percent

Catherine E. Pugh 12 / 25

Otis Rolley 10 / 13

Joseph T. “Jody” Landers III 5 / 7

Frank M. Conaway Sr. 5 / 3

Wilton Wilson 0 / 0

Undecided 18 / n/a

The Baltimore Sun commissioned the OpinionWorks to conduct the survey of 742 likely Democratic primary voters on their mayoral picks and other issues from Aug. 22 to 24.

Posted by Matthew Hay Brown at 12:56 PM | | Comments (3)
        

Comments

You're actually tooting your horn over this? An illegal just off the burro from Mexico could have predicted the outcome.

"Predicted"? More like DECIDED.

According to a Sun Post: During the 2010 Election, when a person voted for the Republican candidate for Senator, the machine kept on recording the name of Senator Mikulski. The only explanation for this technical anomaly is that the machine was programmed so that when a person voted for the Republican Candidate, Senator Mikulski's name would appear instead. It's easy to predict the outcome of an election as long as you use a electronic voting machine ( with no paper trail) that can be programmed to give the desired result. It's interesting to note that when the levers were used, no such results could be predicted. This technical anomaly will be reported to the Federal Voting Commission to determine if any fraud was involved.

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About the bloggers
Annie Linskey covers state politics and government for The Baltimore Sun. Previously, as a City Hall reporter, she wrote about the corruption trial of Mayor Sheila Dixon and kept a close eye on city spending. Originally from Connecticut, Annie has also lived in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, where she reported on war crimes tribunals and landmines. She lives in Canton.

John Fritze has covered politics and government at the local, state and federal levels for more than a decade and is now The Baltimore Sun’s Washington correspondent. He previously wrote about Congress for USA TODAY, where he led coverage of the health care overhaul debate and the 2010 election. A native of Albany, N.Y., he currently lives in Montgomery County.

Julie Scharper covers City Hall and Baltimore politics. A native of Baltimore County, she graduated from The Johns Hopkins University in 2001 and spent two years teaching in Honduras before joining The Baltimore Sun. She has followed the Amish community of Nickel Mines, Pa., in the year after a schoolhouse massacre, reported on courts and crime in Anne Arundel County, and chronicled the unique personalities and places of Baltimore City and its surrounding counties.
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