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November 12, 2008

Smooth sailing for Mikulski

She and her top advisers would never admit it in public, but Sen. Barbara Mikulski is heading for what looks to be one of her easier campaigns.

We'll get this out of the way: Mikulski, 72, is running again.

She has already informed her colleagues in the Senate and the Maryland delegation that she will seek a fifth term in 2010. If she completes it, she'll tie former Sen. Paul S. Sarbanes for longest serving Maryland senator.

If current conditions hold, she'll cruise to victory.

Here's why:

a) Mikulski has been arguably the state's most popular politician for years, and there is no sign anything has changed. The 1.5 million votes she collected in her 2002 campaign are the most ever by a Maryland politician -- more than the 1.1 million William Donald Schaefer got in his comptroller's race that year or the 907,000 he got in his 1986 governor's race, and more than the 942,000 Martin O'Malley collected in his 2006 gubernatorial win. In fact, the only politician on a Maryland ballot who ever got more votes than that was Barack Obama, with 1.58 million votes this month.

b) She's not at the top of the list for Republican targets. The GOP's exceptionally thin bench will spend its limited resources going after Frank Kratovil and Martin O'Malley, the two Democrats with the biggest targets on their backs. The best candidates Republicans have -- Bob Ehrlich, Michael Steele and Kendel Ehrlich -- may not be interested in either of those spots. Heck, they might not run for anything at all. There won't be a powerful enough bullet in the GOP gun to take down Mikulski.

c) She could have a very good year or two. This could be the year that Mikukski -- the most senior member of the Senate without a full committee chairmanship -- could move higher in leadership. She took on added responsibilities on the Health, Education, Labor and Pension committee when its chairman, Ted Kennedy, was diagnosed with a brain tumor. If Kennedy is unable to resume full duties, her role could grow more. Mikulski, a strong Hillary Clinton supporter, could have more power than ever during the first years of the Obama adminisration -- and she's shown that she likes to use it to help out Eastern Shore watermen or union workers at the Port of Baltimore or Allison transmission.

d) She's got plenty of money to tamp down any challengers: about $850,000 in the bank, her aides say.

Democrats could face a tough year in 2010. History shows that the party that takes control of the White House loses seats in Congress during the first mid-term election. But it's highly unlikely that Mikulski will feel the effects.

That means those Maryland politicians waiting for a Senate seat to open, such as Chris Van Hollen, Dutch Ruppersberger and John Sarbanes, among others, need to stay patient.

Posted by David Nitkin at 12:20 PM | | Comments (10)
        

Comments

what have been her chief accomplishments as our senator? serious question.

She has voted to fund the Irag invasion everytime, and voted against making the US car companies raise gas mileage. It's time to elect someone that lives in the real world.

Accomplishments: The Columbus Center. How long has that sat vacant?

I shudder to think of Dutch as a Senator. Yikes.

She's a incumbent left-wing liberal in what is now an even more left-wing liberal state. Of course she'll win, and she'll win in a landslide.

Marylandhas some of the most useless federal politicians. Mikulski has done zero since being in the Senate. Cummings is even worse. I say this as a life long democrat who consistently has voted a straight democratic ticket. But listening to the empty-headed Cummings rail on about $500K getting wasted at AIG on some junket--as if that's the end of the world--and being entirely unable to grasp the ongoing economic crisis i almost painful. Mikulski is a joke who has been in the senate for over 2 years and has championed exactlynothing. She needs to go. Someone needs to grow a pair and aggressively take on this fossil and put her out to pasture in the dem primary. She needs to go. Cummings only has his seat because it was drawn pretty much to ensure a powerbase in west baltimore and pre-empt any attempt to unseat him in a primary. We dems are reducing this process to a joke.

Here's some information on Mikulski from the Almanac of American Politics, an exhaustive, non-partisan source of political information:

"Mikulski is the Senate's chief superintendent of the space program and an enthusiast for space exploration. She has paid close attention to the Goddard Space Center, the Wallops Flight Facility and Johns Hopkins's Applied Science Lab in Maryland, and secured them additional funding on occasion...

"She voted against higher CAFE standards -- there are still auto assembly plants in Maryland -- and, mindful of her Polish heritage, urged that Poles be allowed into the United States without visas...In 2004 she helped to fund over $1 billion of Maryland projects, including highways, HOPE VI mixed housing, homeland security at the Port of Baltimore, Chesapeake Bay cleanup, research on oyster bed reseeding and a crab hatchery at the University of Maryland."

I apologize that the passages are from the 2006 version of the Almanac; the 2008 version is on my desk in Washington, awaiting retrieval.

thank you david. i can get behind the funding of these projects.

isn't she the most senior female senator and yet she doesn't chair any of the major committee's? why is that? and i remember reading recently that she was voted as the meanest person in congress.

Mikulski has a reputation as being prickly to work for. Ask around, and you'll hear tales of staff members who have endured her wrath. Still, even those who have been on the receiving end of rants maintain a level of respect. My colleague Matt Brown, who has covered Mikulski for the past two years, says she has many friends among Senate colleagues. There's no single, clear-cut reason for why she doesn't chair a committee, other than the fact that the leader (currently Harry Reid) who makes such assignments has determined that other senators are better suited to those positions.

Liberal? Mikulaski? She voted for the FISA bill that gave immunity to the phone companies that helped illegal spying on US citizens.

I'll gladly vote for almost anyone other than her.

Mikulski will easily win re-election for one reason: Maryland voters like her job performance. As someone who has lived in the area for more than two decades, it is clear to me that Mikulski connects with Marylanders because she consistently puts Maryland’s interests first. Maybe that doesn’t make her the top pick for the national Sunday morning talk shows, but I am glad that she spends the majority of her time fighting for our federal labs and research centers, our treasured Chesapeake Bay and bread-and-butter issues that matter most to ordinary people like health care. Also, as a woman, I have no doubt that some of the “meanness” reputation has sexist overtones.

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About the bloggers
Laura Smitherman has been ensconced in the State House basement, writing about the governor, General Assembly and vagaries of Maryland politics for several years. An erstwhile business reporter, her interest in politics dates to her days in Washington when she covered Congress and national campaigns for another media outlet. She now follows a range of policy debates from slot-machine gambling to universal health care and energy regulation, while keeping an eye on the next election.

Paul West covers Washington for The Baltimore Sun, continuing a tradition that began the month the paper was born, in 1837. He hasn't been in the DC bureau that long--only since Ronald Reagan was president. He's covered Congress, the White House and presidential campaigns as the paper's national political correspondent and Washington bureau chief. He's on the lookout for news of significance to Sun readers at the other end of the B/W Parkway. That includes the activities of the state's congressional delegation and anything else that might shed some light on the inner workings of the nation's capital.

Julie Bykowicz's first days as a political reporter, in January 2009, coincided with Baltimore Mayor Sheila Dixon's indictment and the start of the Maryland General Assembly's 426th legislative session. She focuses on coverage of state agencies, such as social services, juvenile justice and prisons. During the session, she wrote about the death penalty, slots parlors and speed cameras, among other hot topics. Julie began political reporting after more than seven years on The Baltimore Sun's crime desk. She lives in Baltimore and works primarily in Annapolis.

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