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November 3, 2008

Down to the wire in the 1st

Matt Brown and Bob Little have a pair of good stories up today on the last-minute politicking by Andy Harris and Frank Kratovil heading into their Tuesday showdown in what is certainly the most interesting Congressional race here since at least 2002.

The campaign continues to be a rough-and-tumble affair, with the most recent skirmishes centering on Harris' attacks on Kratovil's conduct as Queen Anne's County State's Attorney. Harris accused Kratovil of being soft on crime and taking contributions from attorneys who represent "vile criminals."

In a pretty unusual move, 20 of the Maryland's 23 other state's attorneys signed a letter defending Kratovil's conduct. That includes 13 Democrats and seven of Harris' fellow Republicans, including some whose counties overlap parts of the 1st District. (Not signing the letter were Harford County State's Attorney Joseph I. Cassilly, a Republican; Prince George's County State's Attorney Glenn F. Ivey, a Democrat; and St. Mary's County State's Attorney Richard D. Fritz, a Republican.) They wrote that Harris' accusations were "an unconscionable example of politics at its worst."

In an interview with politickermd over the weekend, Harris stuck by his criticism and said he's been attacked plenty, too. 

What's the take-home message of all this? The race is close. If Harris were cruising to victory in a district that, by all rights, should be his in a walk, he probably wouldn't be going as negative as he is in the final days of the race. Campaigns generally try to tone down the negatives at the end to avoid leaving a sour taste in voters' mouths, but if it's close, the last week might be the right time to empty out the oppo-reasearch file.

If you need more evidence, look at the fact that the Harris camp was touting a poll last week that had the Republican up by 4. It would be surprising if he were talking up an outside poll unless his numbers were worse. On the other hand, if Kratovil had any evidence that he was clearly ahead, you can bet he'd be shouting it from the hills. So my guess is we're heading into election day with a tight race. That could change if we see a surge in Democratic turnout because of the presidential race or a repeat of Harris' extremely effective get-out-the-vote effort from the primary. But for now, it's a tough one to call.

If you're in the district, be sure to write in tomorrow and let us know how things are shaking out at your polling place.

Posted by Andy Green at 1:45 PM | | Comments (0)
        

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About the bloggers
Annie Linskey covers state politics and government for The Baltimore Sun. Previously, as a City Hall reporter, she wrote about the corruption trial of Mayor Sheila Dixon and kept a close eye on city spending. Originally from Connecticut, Annie has also lived in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, where she reported on war crimes tribunals and landmines. She lives in Canton.

John Fritze has covered politics and government at the local, state and federal levels for more than a decade and is now The Baltimore Sun’s Washington correspondent. He previously wrote about Congress for USA TODAY, where he led coverage of the health care overhaul debate and the 2010 election. A native of Albany, N.Y., he currently lives in Montgomery County.

Julie Scharper covers City Hall and Baltimore politics. A native of Baltimore County, she graduated from The Johns Hopkins University in 2001 and spent two years teaching in Honduras before joining The Baltimore Sun. She has followed the Amish community of Nickel Mines, Pa., in the year after a schoolhouse massacre, reported on courts and crime in Anne Arundel County, and chronicled the unique personalities and places of Baltimore City and its surrounding counties.
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