Crime in neighborhoods
So we once again revist the paradox -- crime is going down, according to the stats, but people still think crime is a top issue for the city. The mayor got a bit of help in selling the crime is down mantra with her citywide survey that found 92 percent of people questioned feel safe in their neighborhoods during the day.
The mayor blamed the media (see Baltimore Sun story today) for making too much of the crime issue and scaring everybody. "Of course, the great media helps us to keep reminding people that we have a serious problem, when overall we've reduced crime in all areas."
How can 92 percent of the people feel safe in their own neighborhoods and at the same time 86 percent cite violent crime and illegal drug use as a serious or very serious problem for the city? It's not the media (in fact, we report on just a fraction of the crime that happens, and more often then not, we're bashed for failing to report crime that does occur.
What I agree with is that numbers and perception are too different things. Earlier this year, when a near riot, a shooting and other attacks occurred downtown, the police commissioner went to the Inner Harbor and recited stats to prove the city was safe, even as residents repeated they felt unsafe downtown and elsewhere.
If you're out at the harbor and get mugged, you return home saying the city is unsafe, even if muggings are actually down. No stat in the world will convince you otherwise, and that is the problem city officials face. They can repeat stats such as crime is down 7 percent but its meaningless to people who were attacked, or who had a friend attacked, or who heard about a co-worker getting attacked.
The media does play a role in fostering this perception but I argue people misread or come away misinformed. The other night on TV, a reporter asked a man about a killing inside a house in an upscale neighborhood in Baltimore County. The man's first reaction: all that city crime was creeping into the suburbs. He had no reason to believe that the shooters came from the city; in fact, the cops were calling it a targeted hit or robbery. The city gets unfairly painted by a crime that occurred far away. It's a reputation that is difficult to overcome.
It's one thing to bring the numbers down. It's quite another to make people feel safe. And it's great people feel safe where they live, but they should feel that way about the entire city. Nearly 50 percent of the people surveyed by the city called downtown Baltimore unsafe at night. That's a perception that needs to be changed.








Comments
The statistics (like all good studies with statistics) have been improperly manipulated. I believe it is possible to "feel safe in your neighborhood during the day" and still have violent crime and drug problems, most likely during the night?
While perception and reality may be off, I believe the statistics themselves are as well, as I know many crimes go unreported.
While reporting crime problems can cause undue fear and panic, not reporting causes a false sense of security. Which is worse?
Posted by: Mike | October 16, 2009 2:42 PM
Peter, I think you're right. There is a huge gulf between looking at crime stats and experiencing crime personally. Plus it's hard to turn numbers into tangible results. What does it mean that crime is down -7% really? Are you 7% less likely to be the victim of a crime now? Maybe. But if you're alone walking along a deserted street at 3AM, does that stat still apply? Are you 7% safer? I don't know the answer to that.
But most City residents at least know someone who's been the victim of a crime and that is much more tangible than a statistic. So, the data, which is culled from a large sample size, is immediately negated by one crime's personal impact on a person.
I'm not saying that's right or wrong; it is what it is. But I do think that no matter how powerful the stat, it's unlikely that the City government will convince many residents that crime is going down and that the city is safer unless people actually start to feel safer outside their neighborhoods.
Posted by: Bioshock | October 16, 2009 5:28 PM
So if you read the survey, 88% feel that illegal drug use is a serious or very serious problem it the city. 87% feel violent crime is a serious or very serious problem. The safe in the neihborhood stat is a bit misleading and most people would not live very long in a place they felt unsafe in during the day.
Posted by: Winston Smith | October 17, 2009 1:39 PM
Crime down, feel safe in your neighborhood during the day must be talking about Canton, Fells Point, or Federal Hill the Baltimore I know Eastside and Westside is not safe either in the day or night
Posted by: dex | October 21, 2009 12:29 PM
This unwarranted and costly survey that says 92% people of people questioned feel safe in Baltimore is faulty, insane and incredulous. In mathematical terms the reason Baltimore have such a small revenue and tax base is previous homeowners in the city left in the thousands because of the crime. What homeowner wants to come out their front door and see people selling drugs? People selling and buying drugs is a crime whether they are apprehended or not at that particular moment. The media is also a factor about the safety of the city. The media from its existing to present time has always had better ratings putting blacks in a negative light. Cable news ratings would fall if they stop citing president Obama in a negative light. The real issue is black on black crime. As long as it is black on black crime it will not be a priority to resolve the safety issue. Corporate crime that affects more people is rarely in the headlines. The idea to bring crime to the forefront only when somebody of prominence or a value area is affected is counterproductive and insensitive. This is the history of uneducated and unemployed blacks concentrated and living in inner cities that they are on their own. Unemployed and uneducated citizens produces only negative results for any city. This culture have existed since the day blacks moved to the inner cities. Not one black mayor or black president can change this culture of society. Thousands of existing vacant residential properties and faulty school buildings with recently built billion dollar stadiums standing in inner cities is just one example of the insensitivity and madness of this society. This ill society is still fighting this 1860 civil war without guns, but with politics. The only way this culture will change is this nation come together as a whole and produce results that uneducated and employed blacks in the inner cities will be given a #1 priority for a proper education and value jobs. We must learn from history. I pray to God this will happen soon.
Enrique-eudake@hotmail.com
Posted by: Enrique | October 24, 2009 12:27 PM