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      <title>The Real Estate Wonk</title>
      <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/</link>
      <description>Baltimore Sun reporter Jamie Smith Hopkins blogs about the local housing market</description>
      <language>en</language>
      <copyright>Copyright 2008</copyright>
      <lastBuildDate>Fri, 04 Jul 2008 07:19:51 -0500</lastBuildDate>
      <generator>http://www.sixapart.com/movabletype/</generator>
      <docs>http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss</docs> 

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         <title>Step right up to play the blame game</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Most people seem to agree that the housing downturn is not a blameless phenomenon. Whom to blame, though -- that's the question. <p>

Homeowners for getting mortgages or lines of credit they couldn't afford? Lenders for making loans no sane professional would touch? Wall Street for happily distributing those loans throughout the financial stratosphere as mortgage-backed securities? The feds for keeping interest rates rock-bottom low and hyping homeownership? Real estate agents and others in the industry for assuring Americans that, no matter what, "now is a great time to buy"?<p> 

Everyone?<p>

I pose this question because two journalists have weighed in with a book called <i>Chain of Blame: How Wall Street Caused the Mortgage and Credit Crisis</i>. So, without further ado, I'd like to hear which group you <i>most</i> blame. (Just to be absolutely clear: Choosing one group does not necessarily mean you're saying the rest were innocent.)
<p><p>
<script type="text/javascript" language="javascript" src="http://s3.polldaddy.com/p/750204.js"></script><noscript> <a href ="http://answers.polldaddy.com/poll/750204/" >Who's most to blame for the housing mess?</a>  <br/> <span style="font-size:9px;"> (<a href ="http://www.polldaddy.com">  polls</a>)</span></noscript>
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         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/07/step_right_up_to_play_the_blame_game.html</link>
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                  <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Polls</category>
        
        
         <pubDate>Fri, 04 Jul 2008 07:19:51 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>To hope or not to hope</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<p>Is HOPE NOW helping much? Depends on whom you ask. </p><p>HOPE NOW, the alliance of mortgage industry players focusing on foreclosure prevention, says it's helping quite a bit, thanks. In a <a href="http://www.hopenow.com/upload/press_release/files/May%202008%20Data%20Release%20Final.pdf" target="_blank">press release yesterday</a>, it estimated that &quot;more than 1.7 million homeowners have avoided foreclosure because of industry efforts&quot; in the last 12 months. That includes 170,000 in May alone. </p><p>But the Center for Responsible Lending fired back with a <a href="http://www.responsiblelending.org/press/releases/statement-hope-now-numbers-show-foreclosure-crisis-worsening.html" target="_blank">press release</a> of its own that says the numbers &quot;greatly overstate the help being provided&quot; and fail to note that the problem is worsening rather than improving: </p><blockquote>[O]ver 16 percent of subprime loans were &ldquo;seriously delinquent,&rdquo; that is 90-days or more delinquent or in foreclosure, at the end of March. This is double the 8 percent rate from one year earlier and the highest on record. Furthermore, though defaults on subprime loans continue to drive the overall housing crisis, prime loans are also faltering, with the percent of seriously delinquent prime loans more than doubling from a year earlier.</blockquote><p>Foreclosure prevention has been such a hot topic not only because many homeowners are behind on their mortgages but also because rising foreclosures hurt neighborhood home values, government budgets and the lending industry. </p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/07/to_hope_or_not_to_hope.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/07/to_hope_or_not_to_hope.html</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Thu, 03 Jul 2008 09:37:42 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>New sites for housing research</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Two new websites to add to your list, if you like to look at everything in the housing arena: <p>1) <a target="_blank" href="http://www.condoauthority.com/">CondoAuthority.com</a>, which tracks condo developments in the Baltimore-Washington area. The site, started by a former head of market research at a real estate marketing firm, lets you search by area, price, number of bedrooms and the like. A search on &quot;Baltimore&quot; this morning brought up 27 developments. </p><p>2) <a target="_blank" href="http://www.foreclosurepoint.com">ForeclosurePoint</a>, a find-foreclosures site that says it offers more information for free than its competitors.</p><p>Seen other interesting sites? Chime in.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/07/new_sites_for_housing_research.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/07/new_sites_for_housing_research.html</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2008 07:36:08 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>How housing affects your daily expenses</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Check out the <a href="http://www.baltimoresun.com/business/investing/bal-bz.economy01jul01,0,6320565.story" target="_blank">Q&amp;A today with MarketWatch chief economist Irwin Kellner</a>, who talks about the ripple effects of the housing slump (and dubs what we're in a &quot;'Murphy's Law Economy' - if anything can go wrong, it will&quot;). Here's a taste: <blockquote>What is offsetting the housing slump is spending by business on technology to make its operations more efficient and lower costs. But the resiliency of the U.S. economy in the face of the housing bubble is amazing. It is a testament to the Federal Reserve for doing such a good job at dealing with a difficult situation. <p>But for every action, there is a reaction. The Fed has flooded the economy with money, and this has depressed the value of the U.S. dollar. This boosts inflation. </p><p>Inflation is no longer well-anchored, to use [Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S.] Bernanke's term. This is going to be felt much more today than it was in the 1970s, partly because of how companies interact with their employees. In the 1970s, companies were willing to pay their employees a few percentage points more to beat inflation. But today in the era of downsizing and outsourcing, this has not happened.</p></blockquote>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/07/how_housing_affects_your_daily_expenses.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/07/how_housing_affects_your_daily_expenses.html</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2008 09:01:30 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>How-to Monday: Paying off your mortgage early</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<img height="306" alt="HouseMoneyStockXCHNG.jpg" src="http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/HouseMoneyStockXCHNG.jpg" width="300" border="0" /> <p><em>Image courtesy of Stock.XCHNG</em> </p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>Sure, you get a tax deduction for the interest you pay on your mortgage, but that doesn't mean you aren't heartsick about all that interest. That's why paying off a mortgage early -- and cutting out as much interest as possible -- will always appeal to some homeowners. </p><p>There are various options, some better than others, experts say.</p><p>Consider, for instance,&nbsp;biweekly payment&nbsp;plans through your lender. If you&nbsp;make half your mortgage payment&nbsp;every other week, that's 26 half-payments -- or 13 full payments rather than 12, eliminating mortgage debt more quickly. But don't sign on the dotted&nbsp;line&nbsp;if&nbsp;the lender charges you a fee to participate, says Bankrate.com's Greg McBride. </p><p>&quot;You can achieve the very same objective on your own,&quot; he says.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/howto_monday_paying_off_your_mortgage_early.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/howto_monday_paying_off_your_mortgage_early.html</guid>
                  <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">How-to Mondays</category>
        
        
         <pubDate>Mon, 30 Jun 2008 04:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Eminent domain -- useful or counterproductive?</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Baltimore's practice of hands-on revitalization efforts -- including eminent domain -- has hurt rather than helped the city, a new report argues.<p>   <a target="_blank" href="http://www.castlecoalition.org/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=707">&quot;Baltimore&rsquo;s Flawed Renaissance: The Failure of Plan-Control-Subsidize Redevelopment&quot;</a> makes a case that &quot;the city&rsquo;s lack of progress on so many fronts is a direct by-product of its failure to understand and treat the real source of its problems: hostility to private property rights and a resulting flight of capital that largely drained the city of its economic lifeblood.&quot;</p><p>  The report, written by Loyola College economics professor Stephen J.K. Walters and Loyola graduate Louis Miserendino, was produced as part of the Institute for Justice&rsquo;s series on eminent domain abuse. (The institute is a libertarian public interest law firm.) The authors write:</p><blockquote>Often, areas that were well-functioning (if unappealing to planners&rsquo; eyes) became emptied-out slums only <em>after</em> they were designated as part of a renewal area or were unlucky enough to sit in the path of a planner transit artery thought necessary to revitalize downtown.</blockquote><p>  Eminent domain has always been controversial, though it has seemed to have more supporters in the city than, say, a suburban community where a state or local agency was eying privately owned land. What do you think its effect has been on Baltimore?</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/eminent_domain_useful_or_counterproductive.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/eminent_domain_useful_or_counterproductive.html</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Sun, 29 Jun 2008 11:58:56 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Retirement wealth hurt by housing market</title>
         <description><![CDATA[What happens when your home is your biggest investment: Homeowners near retirement age are suffering markedly from dropping prices, says the Center for Economic and Policy Research. <p>  In a <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cepr.net/index.php/publications/reports/the-housing-crash-and-the-retirement-prospects-of-late-baby-boomers/">new study</a>, the Washington think tank projected wealth -- or, rather, lack of wealth -- among people who will be ages 45 to 54 next year:</p><blockquote>The first scenario assumes that real house prices fall no further than their level as of March 2008. The second scenario assumes that real house prices fall an additional 10 percent as a 2009 average. The third scenario assumes that real house prices fall an additional 20 percent for a 2009 average. The projections show that the vast majority of families in these age cohorts will have little or no wealth by 2009 in any of these scenarios and that the cohorts just approaching retirement will have very little to support themselves in retirement other than their Social Security. The projections also show that a large number of families in these age cohorts will have little or no equity in their homes in 2009.</blockquote>  The picture is brighter for renters, as the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cepr.net/index.php/press-releases/press-releases/baby-boomers-face-massive-loss-of-retirement-wealth-due-to-housing-market-meltdown/">press release</a> notes:<blockquote>In fact, the renters within each wealth quintile in 2004 will have more wealth in 2009 under all three scenarios, than will the homeowners from the same quintile. These projections underscore the dramatic impact of policies that promoted homeownership during the housing bubble.</blockquote><p>  Well -- you know what comes next. Poll time:</p><p>   
<script type="text/javascript" language="javascript" src="http://s3.polldaddy.com/p/733032.js"></script><noscript> <a href ="http://answers.polldaddy.com/poll/733032/" >Has the housing slump hurt your retirement prospects?</a>  <br/> <span style="font-size:9px;"> (<a href ="http://www.polldaddy.com">  surveys</a>)</span></noscript>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/retirement_wealth_hurt_by_housing_market.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/retirement_wealth_hurt_by_housing_market.html</guid>
                  <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Polls</category>
        
        
         <pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 08:10:36 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Unusual homes</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Some <a target="_blank" href="http://homebuying.about.com/od/glossaryl/g/lookieloo.htm">lookie loos</a> like to see huge mansions. But if tiny properties appeal to your curiosity, check out this<a target="_blank" href="http://news.yahoo.com/nphotos/America-Home-Small-Houses-and-Quirky-Homes/ss/events/lf/061208aahsanctuary;_ylt=AkbJ.0kBnn7qk3egOVqzTUNv24cA#photoViewer=/ydownload/20080616/photos_net_web_yn/1213655486"> Yahoo slideshow of photos</a> from <em>America at Home</em>, which range from a shack (a very nice shack) to a houseboat.]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/unusual_homes.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/unusual_homes.html</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Sat, 28 Jun 2008 06:53:40 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>As rates rise, your buying power falls</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<a href="http://www.zillow.com/" target="_blank">Zillow</a> says that homebuyers getting a mortgage now will pay significantly more than buyers two months ago, even as home prices have dropped. That's because interest rates are up. <p>People getting a median-priced home in the Baltimore area and making a 20 percent down payment on a 30-year fixed-rate loan will pay $1,188 extra a year than if they'd borrowed in April, Zillow says. (It based its calculations off rates offered through its Mortgage Marketplace to borrowers&nbsp;who had &quot;good or better&quot; credit scores.) The change in the annual percentage rate? From 5.75 percent in April to 6.44 percent in June, Zillow says. </p><p>It's a useful reminder that dropping prices won't always mean a better bottom line.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/as_rates_rise_your_buying_power_falls.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/as_rates_rise_your_buying_power_falls.html</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Fri, 27 Jun 2008 15:51:23 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>A moving experience</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Looking for a mover? Bankrate.com makes 10 suggestions &quot;to avoid being taken for a ride&quot;: <blockquote><p>1. Ask your Realtor </p><p>2. Investigate the companies </p><p>3. Make the moving company look at your home </p><p>4. Get three estimates </p><p>5. Demand a contract that covers everything </p><p>6. Ask about the claims process </p><p>7. Do the movers conduct drug tests and background checks? </p><p>8. Be cautious of Internet movers </p><p>9. Look at the actual trucks used </p><p>10. Pay little up front </p></blockquote><p>More details can be found <a href="http://www.bankrate.com/nltrack/news/real-estate/20080627-moving-scams-estimatea1.asp?ec_id=brmint_newsalert_20080627" target="_blank">HERE</a>. </p><p>Would you add anything to that list? What about suggestions for moving yourself successfully?</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/a_moving_experience.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/a_moving_experience.html</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Fri, 27 Jun 2008 09:14:31 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>A home-sales snapshot</title>
         <description><![CDATA[The National Association of Realtors says <a href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2008/may_home_sales_show_gain" target="_blank">U.S. home sales</a> rose 2 percent in May, the first month-over-month increase since February. (These numbers are, of course, preliminary and adjusted for seasonal variations.) <p>The February increase was greeted with cautious hope from some economists, who say declining home prices will attract bargain-hunters, increasing sales. The May numbers, released today, brought this comment from Wachovia: &quot;It is still too early to call a bottom in the home sales market, but clearly the vast majority of the declines in sales are behind us.&quot; (The continuing problem, Wachovia says, is &quot;excess inventory&quot; -- too many would-be sellers competing for too few buyers.) </p><p>Compared with May 2007, sales are down about 16 percent, the NAR says. Both the average and median price of a U.S. home dropped more than 6 percent in May compared with a year earlier. </p><p>May numbers for the Baltimore metro area, released earlier by <a href="http://www.mris.com/reports/stats/" target="_blank">Metropolitan Regional Information Systems</a>, show&nbsp;fairly flat prices -- up a bit on average, down a bit on median --&nbsp;but a larger,&nbsp;30 percent&nbsp;drop in year-over-year&nbsp;sales.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/a_homesales_snapshot.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Thu, 26 Jun 2008 12:12:43 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Not a jumbo number of jumbos</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Catching up on housing-related news now that I'm back in the land of computers and Internet access, and I thought this <a target="_blank" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aLs42yf_aFfg&amp;refer=home">Bloomberg story</a> would be of interest to anyone wondering why Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's new ability to get into part of the jumbo-loan market isn't having much effect on home sales:<blockquote>Instead of using powers granted by Congress to buy jumbo loans for the first time, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are purchasing their own mortgage-backed securities, helping reduce losses, company filings show. ... <p>  The National Association of Realtors estimated last year that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac would buy $150 billion of jumbo loans in 2008. UBS AG analysts now say the amount may be $74 billion; the companies' own projections indicate that they may not even reach that figure. </p></blockquote><p>  So-called jumbo mortgages are above the $417,000 limit previously set for Fannie and Freddie. The feds <a target="_blank" href="http://www.ofheo.gov/media/hpi/AREA_LIST.pdf">temporarily raised the limit</a> for a number of markets. It's $560,000 in the Baltimore metro area.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/not_a_jumbo_amount_of_jumbos.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/not_a_jumbo_amount_of_jumbos.html</guid>
        
        
         <pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 21:20:34 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Radio silence</title>
         <description>I&apos;ll be away from a computer for a few days, so please forgive a bit of radio silence. (Feel free to leave comments -- just remember that I have to approve everything before it appears, so be patient.)</description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/radio_silence.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Mon, 23 Jun 2008 12:51:43 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>How-to Monday: Finding foreclosures</title>
         <description><![CDATA[<img height="207" alt="ForeclosureAP.jpg" src="http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/ForeclosureAP.jpg" width="300" border="0" /> <p><em>Associated Press photo</em> </p><p>&nbsp;</p><p>The more you hear about foreclosures piling up, the more you may be tempted to buy one. There's a lot to consider if you do -- but first things first: how to find them.</p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/howto_monday_finding_foreclosures.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/howto_monday_finding_foreclosures.html</guid>
                  <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">How-to Mondays</category>
        
        
         <pubDate>Mon, 23 Jun 2008 04:00:00 -0500</pubDate>
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         <title>Government loans for everyone?</title>
         <description><![CDATA[Martin Feldstein has a proposal: Let the federal government take on a piece of people's mortgages to stop a self-reinforcing downward spiral on home values.<p>  In an <a target="_blank" href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/18/AR2008061802634.html">opinion article</a> published in <em>The Washington Post</em> (and picked up elsewhere), the Harvard professor and president of the National Bureau of Economic Research writes:</p><blockquote>Such a program might be structured this way: The federal government would offer all homeowners with mortgages the opportunity to replace one-fifth of their existing mortgage (up to some dollar limit) with a government loan. This loan would carry a substantially lower interest rate than the individual's mortgage (reflecting the government's cost of funds). It would be a full-recourse loan that would have to be repaid regardless of what happens to the borrower's mortgage or home. By law, it would take priority over all non-mortgage debt.<p> ...  Because this program would, in effect, swap government bonds for individual IOUs, it would not involve any increase in government spending or in the deficit. Because the loans would appeal primarily to those who now have positive equity in their homes, it would not reward people who made high-risk purchases and now have high negative equity.</p></blockquote><p>  Most plans to help homeowners -- those facing foreclosure or hurt by the slump in other ways -- have proved controversial. So -- weigh in:</p><p>&nbsp;</p><p><p>

<script type="text/javascript" language="javascript" src="http://s3.polldaddy.com/p/719143.js"></script><noscript> <a href ="http://answers.polldaddy.com/poll/719143/" >What do you think of Feldstein's loan proposal?</a>  <br/> <span style="font-size:9px;"> (<a href ="http://www.polldaddy.com">  surveys</a>)</span></noscript><p>]]></description>
         <link>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/government_loans_for_everyone.html</link>
         <guid>http://weblogs.baltimoresun.com/business/realestate/blog/2008/06/government_loans_for_everyone.html</guid>
                  <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Polls</category>
        
        
         <pubDate>Sun, 22 Jun 2008 16:57:53 -0500</pubDate>
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