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March 1, 2011

"Starter home" neighborhoods

Where can you afford to purchase a home if your limit is $250,000 or less? Many more places than a few years ago.

The average sale price was between $50,000 and $250,000 in 40 ZIP codes in the Baltimore metro area last year, spread around every jurisdiction in the region except pricey Howard County. (A few more were under $50,000, but that seems like the point below which sales are much more likely to be homes in bad repair picked up by real estate investors, rather than by first-time buyers.)

They account for almost one-third of ZIP codes in the metro area that had at least a handful of home sales last year. Many more had some sales in that price range -- just not enough to put the average there.

Neighborhoods are a more useful categorization in the city than ZIPs, and just over 120 in Baltimore had average prices between $50,000 and $250,000 last year. That's close to two-thirds of the neighborhoods with at least a handful of sales.

Here's the list of ZIPs and city neighborhoods:

ZIP codes:

CommunityZIP code'10 sales'10 avg sale priceSales changePrice change
JOPPA21085152$243,09454%-3%
LOTHIAN2071136$242,5826%4%
ABINGDON21009373$240,934-11%3%
KEYMAR217575$237,760-38%43%
TANEYTOWN2178776$233,846-15%9%
BALTIMORE21231226$224,1224%-10%
SPARROWS POINT2121955$223,271-5%-17%
NOTTINGHAM21236301$221,790-24%-6%
UNION BRIDGE2179115$220,3650%17%
GLEN BURNIE21060264$219,584-3%-6%
BALTIMORE21230610$217,094-3%-5%
BALTIMORE21202105$216,64427%-18%
GLEN BURNIE21061312$215,627-14%-8%
WHITEFORD211605$209,080-69%-19%
RANDALLSTOWN21133205$207,003-2%-1%
ROSEDALE21237197$201,944-14%-8%
BALTIMORE2120133$198,073-28%1%
WINDSOR MILL21244197$197,867-1%-3%
PARKVILLE21234527$195,990-3%-5%
MIDDLE RIVER21220269$194,496-8%1%
CURTIS BAY2122663$191,006-5%-13%
HALETHORPE21227241$183,878-14%-9%
BELCAMP21017102$183,32813%-6%
BALTIMORE21224773$181,258-6%1%
ABERDEEN21001182$177,0524%-13%
ESSEX21221262$176,784-3%-8%
BALTIMORE21211182$163,104-15%-10%
GWYNN OAK21207271$148,839-2%-9%
BALTIMORE21239169$147,498-1%-11%
BALTIMORE21218346$146,9523%-8%
BALTIMORE21214188$141,7562%-11%
EDGEWOOD21040193$140,154-17%-8%
BROOKLYN21225189$123,210-23%-19%
DUNDALK21222394$121,881-6%-15%
BALTIMORE21206401$114,5066%-16%
BALTIMORE21229266$103,585-14%-14%
BALTIMORE21215318$85,2156%-6%
BALTIMORE21217221$84,6362%-18%
BALTIMORE21213242$55,2702%-26%
BALTIMORE21216213$53,8978%-13%

Baltimore City neighborhoods:

Neighborhood'10 sales'10 avg sale priceSales changePrice change
WOODBERRY11$230,282-35%7%
DOWNTOWN16$227,93545%2%
WYMAN PARK13$227,154-19%5%
BREWERS HILL35$219,362-5%5%
MAYFIELD6$219,349-45%-4%
SHARP-LEADENHALL9$217,90250%-18%
CROSS KEYS24$214,03841%2%
SBIC93$213,868-18%10%
CHARLES VILLAGE21$210,329-13%-14%
HUNTING RIDGE13$202,869-19%-14%
ORIGINAL NORTHWOOD9$201,986-31%-4%
RIDGELY'S DELIGHT10$200,1500%-8%
UPPER FELLS POINT101$192,37415%-4%
LAKE WALKER26$191,48863%-15%
CHINQUAPIN PARK-BELVEDERE12$189,179100%22%
MOUNT VERNON12$188,300-37%-22%
ABELL11$183,625-8%11%
MID-TOWN BELVEDERE25$177,47632%-18%
WASHINGTON HILL8$175,788-27%-29%
JONESTOWN10$175,75067%-31%
OAKENSHAWE13$172,9258%-25%
GREEKTOWN27$172,4444%0%
BEVERLY HILLS11$169,99122%0%
HAMPDEN86$169,573-16%-10%
CROSS COUNTRY27$166,511-4%0%
HOES HEIGHTS10$166,00025%-22%
NORTH HARFORD ROAD33$162,1733%-1%
OVERLEA5$155,777-29%4%
BARRE CIRCLE9$155,65980%-22%
ARCADIA9$155,267-44%-13%
MEDFIELD28$153,650-18%-7%
WOODRING29$151,88126%-11%
WESTGATE12$147,225-40%-14%
HARFORD-ECHODALE/PERRING PARKWAY38$146,571-10%3%
LAURAVILLE35$145,04121%-13%
BARCLAY18$143,655-18%4%
MADISON PARK7$142,357-13%45%
BALTIMORE-LINWOOD140$141,5158%0%
ROSEMONT EAST9$140,450-55%1%
VILLAGES OF HOMELAND8$139,1750%-33%
PATTERSON PLACE35$137,8963%-6%
CHRISTOPHER9$137,278-31%-7%
VIOLETVILLE24$134,921-33%3%
IDLEWOOD25$133,120-29%-1%
HIGHLANDTOWN53$133,1112%-15%
WESTFIELD39$131,062-19%-23%
GROVE PARK6$130,0330%47%
CEDMONT37$129,96348%-17%
PERRING LOCH20$128,62318%-5%
EDNOR GARDENS-LAKESIDE34$125,935-8%-20%
RAMBLEWOOD23$125,82864%-8%
KERNEWOOD5$124,6470%-30%
GLENHAM-BELFORD67$123,31034%-12%
MORAVIA-WALTHER6$121,983-14%-22%
WEST HILLS11$121,766-15%5%
GLEN41$121,3173%-6%
GLEN OAKS13$118,5548%-6%
ASHBURTON14$117,16140%-15%
WINDSOR HILLS18$116,42820%0%
NEW NORTHWOOD20$116,15854%-5%
HOWARD PARK45$116,04750%0%
FALLSTAFF11$112,909-39%-9%
GARWYN OAKS13$112,60963%29%
LOCH RAVEN23$112,174-15%-18%
BEECHFIELD16$111,580-6%-8%
WALTHERSON60$111,48715%-19%
EASTWOOD5$108,050-17%-2%
FOREST PARK7$106,41440%76%
REMINGTON35$106,036-5%-14%
FRANKFORD111$105,121-3%-14%
WEST ARLINGTON20$104,068122%-6%
REISTERSTOWN STATION8$103,35033%-14%
YALE HEIGHTS9$102,778-40%-6%
RESERVOIR HILL62$99,82241%9%
HILLEN24$99,269-8%-14%
MID-GOVANS13$98,946-13%-35%
CENTRAL FOREST PARK7$98,711-22%-20%
HARWOOD23$97,20410%-19%
BROENING MANOR5$97,200-17%-7%
GRACELAND PARK17$96,34142%-30%
GREENMOUNT WEST8$96,244-33%-50%
JOSEPH LEE22$95,564-15%-17%
UNION SQUARE27$94,35069%-37%
WEST FOREST PARK7$93,847-30%-23%
CEDONIA23$93,75553%-9%
WOODMERE21$93,010133%1%
KENILWORTH PARK7$91,386-22%-18%
ROGNEL HEIGHTS13$87,927-7%-20%
EAST ARLINGTON14$86,77040%-18%
IRVINGTON30$85,43743%-2%
PARKSIDE17$85,35942%-15%
WASHINGTON VILLAGE100$84,3984%-30%
MORRELL PARK35$82,922-24%-25%
PANWAY/BRADDISH AVENUE10$79,3400%-15%
OLIVER32$78,799-14%14%
CYLBURN14$78,48656%-22%
WAVERLY24$76,75720%19%
WOODBOURNE-MCCABE6$76,233-14%11%
CALLAWAY-GARRISON11$75,43222%-15%
MIDDLE EAST21$71,14691%73%
HOLLINS MARKET20$70,473-13%-39%
MEDFORD5$65,8000%-9%
BELAIR-EDISON136$63,819-1%-24%
PARK CIRCLE24$63,721-8%0%
BROOKLYN61$63,1149%-20%
LAKELAND32$62,22319%-22%
EDMONDSON VILLAGE44$61,956-4%-7%
WILSON HEIGHTS10$61,95143%-55%
CURTIS BAY19$61,172-24%-18%
MCELDERRY PARK49$59,21129%-14%
WALBROOK19$58,48919%48%
WESTPORT18$56,64264%-5%
HANLON-LONGWOOD14$56,129-7%-48%
POPPLETON7$55,401-22%-16%
DOLFIELD8$53,67514%-53%
GREENSPRING15$51,98715%3%
BALTIMORE HIGHLANDS37$51,9823%-30%
PEN LUCY20$51,5375%-39%
BETTER WAVERLY17$51,056-11%-17%
BRIDGEVIEW/GREENLAWN13$50,88886%-22%
ARLINGTON12$50,068-20%-24%
DORCHESTER11$50,00983%-61%

Posted by Jamie Smith Hopkins at 6:00 AM | | Comments (12)
Categories: First-time home buyers, Housing stats
        

Comments

It's interesting to see Joppa county on the list, considering how close it is to the BRAC-enhanced Aberdeen Proving Grounds. I would have thought those prices would have shot up beyond the 250K limit with the demand. I'm guessing others felt that way too, which is why all those homes were bought!

But who knows? With that type of increase in home sales (+54%) maybe a price jump is just lagging behind a bit.

The Curtis Bay 21226 should be noted that there are TWO Curtis Bays...one in Baltimore City & one in AA County. Only a very FEW house in the City's Curtis Bay are selling around $100k. Most are MUCH lower..it's a bad area. I should know...I live there

There are tons of nice and affordable homes in most areas for first time buyers and people who don't want to rent.

Of course the question mark that no one can answer is that once these buyers are ready to move in 5-7 years (about the average first home residency period), where will their home value be? And if they get an FHA loan and put the minimum 3.5% down, they definitely run the risk of being underwater if the market continues to sink.

WitchyOne, there are a lot of ZIP codes that are partially in the city and partially in a nearby county. In the past I've offered up a data slice of ZIP codes that included only those sales in the suburban parts (as a counterpart to the city neighborhoods data), but inevitably people got confused.

Good point, John K. I'm sure that underwater fear is a major issue for anyone on the fence about buying.

MrK, it's interesting -- some communities in Harford seem to have benefited from BRAC buyers, some haven't and others are showing mixed results.

My bet is that BRAC will NOT have a significant affect on prices in Harford County.

Re: split ZIP codes...

It looks like this is already accounted for. We just bought in the city (Graceland Park), but in 21222 which reaches over into Dundalk.

As far as BRAC creating any additional demand, I doubt it. There is so much inventory right now and so much shadow inventory... not to mention unsold new construction. Any BRAC demand will be a drop in the bucket as far as really doing anything for prices. Once you take into account all the houses that are sitting empty + all the houses on the market, sellers are still selling into an overwhelming current of sellers outnumbering buyers by a large margin.

Does anyone knoe how many (if any) of these affordable zip codes have good public elementary schools within their boundaries? I am skeptical.

Interesting point about the schools, RJ. I think it's sad that 250K is considered a "starter" house. Maybe it all evens out with the "low" interest rates.

@JuanitaBeasley: I agree ... this market still has a long way to fall if 250K is still considered as a starter home.

I'm with DarwinRules…… prices will end up at around 2002 levels; maybe lower.

Most of my first time buyers are shopping in the $150-250k range. I've had a few get closer to $300k and a couple looking in the $100k range, but I'd say $200k is a solid average.

RJ - often the school question is not even on the table with these buyers, since often they are either single, living with a girlfriend/boyfriend or newly married. My wife (fiance at the time) bought our first home in Joppatowne and didn't even think about schools at that time, since we had no designs on kids anytime soon. I wasn't an agent then, but now I always make sure they at least know about it, but often location trumps school districting for first time buyers.

No offense, but I have no idea how a single person can afford a $200k home if they have an average ($40-50k) salary.

Jesse,

They usually don't. While I don't always learn their specific salary information, the ones shopping in that $200k and above range either have salaries closer to the $60-75k range or more, or have a solid 20-30% to put down, or both.

Also keep in mind that in many cases we're talking about buyers, plural, and not a single buyer. Often it's a husband/wife, boyfriend/girlfriend, fiances, etc. So then you have upwards of $100k in annual income given your "average" example.

A $200k loan has a total payment around $1200-1300 a month with taxes/insurance. Someone making $45k a year is bringing home somewhere around $2,500-2,600 a month. And that's with financing the entire price. If someone has the means to put 20-40k down, it becomes more affordable.

I don't claim someone SHOULD buy that much house at that salary, only that in the right circumstances, it's certainly possible.

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About Jamie Smith Hopkins
Jamie Smith Hopkins, a Baltimore Sun reporter since 1999, writes about the regional economy. Her reporting on the housing market has won national and local awards. Hopkins is a Columbia native and has lived in Maryland all her life, save for 10 months spent covering schools in Ames, Iowa.
She trained to become a wonk by spending large chunks of time as a geek and an insufferable know-it-all.
Baltimore Sun articles by Jamie
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