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July 25, 2009

The science of housing slumps

If mortgage defaults make you ponder about brain chemistry, the National Science Foundation has a webcast for you.

The event, scheduled for Wednesday at 11:30 a.m., aims to answer "unusual questions about the housing market" -- for instance, "What happened physiologically in the brain when some owners stopped paying their mortgages after hearing about possible federal home bailouts?"

Other questions offered up to tantalize us: "How will the mortgage crisis change the psychology of future home buyer and investor decisions?" and "Why are foreclosures in some areas sparking new bidding wars so soon after the recent market crash?"

Yale University economist Robert Shiller, of Case-Shiller home price index fame, will answer questions. So will Caltech economist Colin Camerer, who enlists brain scans in the quest to understand why people make the economic decisions they do, and economist Nancy Lutz with the National Science Foundation.

Here's the cool part: You can ask them your questions. I checked. Submit them beforehand to webcast@nsf.gov.

The webcast itself will be shown here (as in, at that link -- not here here). You'll get a prompt for username and password if you click it early but not, organizers say, when it's time for the show.

Submitting a question? Stick it in a comment here while you're at it. Inquiring minds like inquiries.

Posted by Jamie Smith Hopkins at 9:01 AM | | Comments (7)
Categories: Q&A
        

Comments

How can I determine what the average rental price for a townhouse in Burtonsville Maryland is? Is there a website that can tell me this? Would there be a range of high to low - this is a three bedroom narrow but tall townhouse in blackburn village

I'm not sure if that's the sort of question the economists are expecting! But if you type "apartment" into a search engine, you'll get a lot of "for rent" sites that will give you an idea of what places in Burtonsville are going for. You might also try Craigslist.

Real estate agents can also give you details, because a number of properties are listed for rent on the multiple-listing service.

Just to refine my first question - Hasn't there been a decrease in rental rates over the last 12-24 months in the Montgomery County or Howard County area? Does an agency keep track of this information and how can I obtain this information?

Thanks

I don't follow Montgomery County, so I can't say. The last time I saw rent stats for the Baltimore metro area, they ranged from down a bit to up a bit.

The thing is, these were overarching averages, so they won't do you much good with your specific question. I haven't found any organization with great neighborhood-level stats on rentals, especially ones that aren't apartments. Thus my suggestions in the comment above.

Prof. Shiller:

In your opinion,
will asset-market extreme mispricing be well-deterred,
if and when
real inflation-adjusted asset-market price histories
are well-apparent to the people?

Ed Hamilton, Ph.D.

PS Shiller does charts of these histories. Also see first chart here:
http://homepage.mac.com/ttsmyf/RD_RJShomes_PSav.html

How can I reasonably know the right selling price for my home when few homes have sold in the neighborhood and all are smaller? I seem to have the biggest house in the immediate neighborhood, but because it is on an inside corner lot it looks like the smallest one.

I liked the house because it looks small from the front and not worth breaking into, while it actually has the space we wanted hidden behind the small frontage with garage. The question is how do other buyers look at this kind of home? Do they value this characteristic or figure it doesn't look upscale enough for their image because the front doesn't reflect the size of the home?

I have the impression that inside and outside corner lots don't fetch the kinds of prices that property appraisers attach to them.

I have read that homes in Detroit, Michigan are selling for a median price now of $4,000. What keeps retirees and immigrant small business owners from snapping up these homes for retirement. Is it the first of being the last one to leave?

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About Jamie Smith Hopkins
Jamie Smith Hopkins, a Baltimore Sun reporter since 1999, writes about the regional economy. Her reporting on the housing market has won national and local awards. Hopkins is a Columbia native and has lived in Maryland all her life, save for 10 months spent covering schools in Ames, Iowa.
She trained to become a wonk by spending large chunks of time as a geek and an insufferable know-it-all.
Baltimore Sun articles by Jamie
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