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February 3, 2008

Another look at affordability

Homes for Working Families released a housing affordability -- or rather, unaffordability -- report last week and shared with me the figures it calculated for the Baltimore metro area. This is such a hot topic that I thought you'd be interested, even though we've trod similar ground in the last few days.

The Washington-based group, which says it wants to raise awareness about "the crippling nationwide home affordability gap that is keeping working families out of homes," produced the report with Moody's Economy.com. They said the area's median house price is about $278,000. But the median household can't properly afford the monthly payment, even with 15 percent down, they said. (They define affordable as monthly mortgage and property-tax-related costs that add up to no more than 28 percent of income.)

Here are some other statistics from Homes for Working Families:

Median household income for the Baltimore metro area: $63,006

Home price that household can afford: $219,432

Household income that's 60 percent of the median: $37,803

Home price that lower-than-typical-income household can afford: $131,657

Household income that's 120 percent of the median: $75,607

Home price that higher-than-typical-income household can afford: $263,318

Yes -- by this group's calculation, even a household making about $13,000 more than typical for the Baltimore metro area would have to stretch to pay for the typical house. 

This is what Homes for Working Families assumed, besides the unusually high (for recent years) 15 percent down payment: 

--30-year fixed-rate mortgage

--6.5% mortgage interest rate

--0.45% annual mortgage insurance premium

The monthly payment calculation also includes property taxes and insurance. 

Posted by Jamie Smith Hopkins at 7:43 PM | | Comments (2)
        

Comments

Jamie,

Is that data trying to tell us that today's home prices are NOT sustainable because real wages in the Baltimore metro-area haven't increased at the same rate of the price of houses?

That couldn't possibly spell "C-R-A-S-H" for the housing market. The real estate industry tells me that now's a great time to buy a house.

That's precisely the argument made by economists predicting price drops. Moody's Economy.com is among them. Its forecast isn't as grim (from a homeowner perspective) as some, but last I checked it suggested a price decline of more than 10 percent for the metro area.

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About Jamie Smith Hopkins
Jamie Smith Hopkins, a Baltimore Sun reporter since 1999, writes about the regional economy. Her reporting on the housing market has won national and local awards. Hopkins is a Columbia native and has lived in Maryland all her life, save for 10 months spent covering schools in Ames, Iowa.
She trained to become a wonk by spending large chunks of time as a geek and an insufferable know-it-all.
Baltimore Sun articles by Jamie
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