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March 17, 2010

Maryland boasts 2nd-highest millionaire share

The Street.com asked Phoenix Marketing to rank states by their portion of millionaires. Maryland came in No. 2, after Hawaii but beating Connecticut and New Jersey. Here is the story, but be careful of the innumeracy. The story keeps talking about states with "the most" millionaires when what's really being measured is the concentation of millionaires.

The story says Maryland's number of millionaires "will definitely go down next year" because the number of million-dollar income-tax returns has declined. This confuses income and wealth. Most of the people who had million-dollar incomes last year, when Phoenix allegedly compiled its data, probably still have over $1 million in assets.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:37 AM | | Comments (8)
Categories: Maryland Economy
        

March 12, 2009

Maryland economy did worse last year than thought

Maryland's economy did substantially worse last year than previously thought, updated figures from the Labor Department show. Previous reports had shown the state adding jobs more or less through November, with a downturn in December. New data, based on a better tally of companies' payrolls, show that Maryland's economy turned downward starting last spring.

This often happens to job counters when recessions hit. Built into their models are "assumed" jobs created by new companies that aren't yet in the data system. But there aren't as many new companies during downturns, causing statisticians to overestimate job growth. See Labor Deptartment tables below with the new figures. See Lorraine Mirabella's story on the same information.

YEAR OVER YEAR CHANGE, THOUSANDS OF MARYLAND JOBS: 

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecAnnual
199951.761.357.67368.563.574.262.661.17174.573.566
200067.853.472.867.164.569.958.664.972.356.454.856.663.3
200145.551.531.922.82620.68.812.7-6.1-1.9-2.7-9.116.6
20026.17.311.310.111.779.98.715.98.16.40.98.6
20038.2-9.7-9.54.65.467.65.212.915.813.718.26.6
200419.424.632.424.425.727.634.236.728.137.938.140.831
200533.342.628.742.440.134.139.138.848.833.73836.537.8
200641.741.854.439.436.738.326.425.419.82724.529.133.7
200727.817.518.915.820.91823.523.8181615.611.318.9
20088.6161.810.13.1-7.9-8.8-12.9-20.8-18-39.2-50.9-9.9
2009-40.2            

 

MONTH TO MONTH CHANGE, THOUSANDS OF MARYLAND JOBS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED:

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
19990.213.50.111.43.33.215.4-5.44.514.96.25.4
2000-3.6-1.218.95.408.55.4012.5-1.33.77.5
2001-13.24.5-1.4-3.93.54-5.52.6-6.22.92.62.4
20020.65.92-4.94.20-2.20.70.8-3.71.3-2.7
20036.2-10.41.19.24.11.3-0.7-1.18.4-1.50.51.6
20047-4.58.20.44.83.86.31.9-0.69.10.44.1
2005-0.45.3-7.114.12.5-0.710.32.39.3-5.84.71.3
20065.35.55.3-1.30.11.9-2.11.541.51.84.8
20074.5-4.86.1-3.85.20.42.41.8-1-0.810.1
20081.52.6-8.34.7-1.6-9.60.8-2-8.3-3.9-15.2-4.2
20096.0(p)           

 

 

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:01 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Maryland Economy
        

March 9, 2009

Why Maryland is doing better than the nation

Business Week's Michael Mandel, who long has traced the oversized contribution of health care to the national economy, strikes again. If you take away jobs in health care, government and education, he says, there have been no new net jobs created in the United States since 1998.

In February 2009, there were 92,047[,000] jobs outside of health, education, and government. That's just where we were in September 1998.

Over the same period, health, education, and government added 7.2 million jobs (about 1 million of that total were non-education government jobs).

You (yes, you out there) may think that health and education are the least productive sectors of the economy. You may think that they are a drag on the private sector. You may think that the failure and cost of health and education are a cause of the problem, and not a solution.

But the rest of the economy is *not* creating jobs. Not, not, not. And no magic fairy dust can make U.S. corporations create jobs in the short run. It isn't going to happen.

On the other hand, the American people are willing to pay for access to healthcare and education, even today. And arguably, improving these sectors can pay off with enormous benefits.

This is our economic policy, folks, for better or for worse. More jobs and more spending in health and education. The health-education fiscal policy lever is the way to go.

Maryland specializes in -- guess what? -- health care, education and government. Hence our outperformance over the last decade and our (very relative) shield against terrible downturn now. Maryland's economy is in recession -- make no mistake. We started losing jobs late last year and will probably lose jobs all this year. But the state is still in better shape than the country as a whole.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:48 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Maryland Economy
        
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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
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