baltimoresun.com

December 27, 2011

Christmas BGE outage for Davidsonville families

BGE spokesman Rob Gould said an animal caused a brief electricity outage on Christmas morning. Gould:

Electric service was disrupted to approximately 160 customers Christmas morning at 8:50am due to damage caused to electric service equipment by an animal. All service was restored by 10:50am.

This Sun reader named Roger was not happy:

That's right, 8:33am, right as we're opening presents, heat shuts off, lights go out, tree lights off, no running water or toilets (since many MDers are on well). Merry Christmas Davidsonville. Power goes out once per month yet we continue to pay premiums. The answer? Buy a $10,000 whole house generator. Their incompetence is baffling. They claim only 150 were affected but we've already learned that is not true. There is truly no accountability with BGE. I really hope somebody writes something.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:58 PM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 21, 2011

PSC hits Pepco for bad tree-trimming, communication

Poorly planned tree-trimming contributed to the Pepco outages that upset everybody last year, says the Public Service Commission, which fined the utility $1 million as a result. The commission also faulted what it called Pepco's "poor communication with customers during storm events. This was particularly evident with regard to developing and communicating accurate and timely estimates of service restoration, which was a significant contributor to customer dissatisfaction."

Here is the whole press release from the PSC:

Maryland Public Service Commission Imposes $1 Million Initial Fine on Pepco Utility Faulted for Poor Management and Ineffective Practices


(Baltimore)—The Maryland Public Service Commission (Commission) has ordered an initial fine of $1 million against the Potomac Electric Power Company (Pepco). Commission Order No. 84564 finds that Pepco failed to maintain its system properly over a period of years; that those failures subjected its customers to excessively high frequencies and long durations of electric outages during storm events and on fair-weather days, and that Pepco compounded those reliability problems through poor customer communication.

In its decision, the Commission also found that reliability expenses in 2011 were increased because of “imprudent and inadequate expenditure and neglect.” Therefore

Continue reading "PSC hits Pepco for bad tree-trimming, communication" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 4:15 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 16, 2011

Report: EDF may drop plans for Calvert Cliffs reactor

This is the brilliant-report-of-the-painfully-obvious headline of the day: "EDF Considers Dropping New Nuclear in Maryland," from Dow Jones. The French EDF's plans for a third nuclear unit at Calvert Cliffs have been deader than Lehman Brothers for more than a year.

The French company's partner, Constellation Energy, pulled out of the deal. They couldn't reach an agreement with Washington on subsidies to build the plant. With the plunge in natural gas prices and the failure of federal climate-change legislation, new nuclear plants, with all their complexity and financial risk, are wildly overpriced. The Fukushima disaster in Japan has made nuclear energy politically incorrect again.

(UPDATE: Another reason why it won't happen: As a foreign company EDF needs an American partner to build the Calvert Cliffs reactor. It doesn't have one. Exelon seems to have rejected its overtures. And it's not going to get one.)

Yet for months EDF has been pretending that a third reactor at Calvert Cliffs was still a possibility, that Maryland politicians cared about it and that somehow the company could use the prospect as leverage in opposing Constellation's agreement to be bought by Exelon.

EDF is one of Constellation's biggest shareholders and it owns half of Constellation's nuclaer-power division. EDF had been pressuring Maryland officials to block the Exelon deal, which it rightly fears will dilute its interest in and control of the Constellation assets. Now EDF seems to be shocked that it wasn't a factor in Gov. Martin O'Malley's settlement with Constellation and Exelon that got the companies to boost their investment in green (non-nuclear) energy in Maryland.

EDF undoubtedly feels spurned after it rescued Constellation from being bought by Warren Buffett three years ago and saved Constellation CEO Mayo Shattuck's job. My colleague Hanah Cho contacted EDF's people this morning. They declined to comment.

Here is the story from Dow Jones:

PARIS -(Dow Jones)- French state-controlled power behemoth Electricite de France SA (EDF.FR) is considering dropping all plans for new nuclear capacities in Maryland, following a proposed settlement between the Maryland governor and EDF's U.S. partner, Constellation Energy (CEG), a person familiar with the matter said Thursday.

"EDF is being side-lined here, nuclear is not even mentioned and the group seriously mulls dropping any new projects to develop nuclear" in Maryland, said a person familiar with EDF's thinking.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:25 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 15, 2011

You get BGE merger credit even if you switched

As noted, Constellation, Exelon and the governor have agreed on a settlement in which, among many other items, BGE customers get a $100 credit on their bills. ALL BGE customers. Readers often worry that if they have switched to Veridian, Ambit, Washington Gas Energy or some other alternative electricity provider, they won't get this kind of rebate.

Don't worry. Everybody gets the credit no matter who their electric supplier is. The credit is funneled through the BGE part of your bill, not the electric supply part. BGE is always your electric delivery company no matter whom you buy your electric supply from. So all 1.1 million BGE customers get the $100, even if they shop around and buy something other than BGE's default electricity product.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:03 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 5, 2011

Electric merger customer deal 'insulting,' EDF says

In its most caustic blast yet against Exelon Corp.'s proposed buyout of Baltimore-based Constellation Energy, the French EDF Group called the combined company's offers to Maryland citizens "insulting" and says the deal will be "harmful to Maryland, harmful to BGE and harmful to consumers." The transaction "fails to meet every standard imposed by Maryland's public utilities law and should be denied," EDF said in a filing Monday with the Public Service Commission.

EDF, of course, is the parent of Electricité de France, the giant utility owned largely by the French government. EDF is a big Constellation shareholder and also shares ownership with Constellation of the company's nuclear fleet. EDF rescued Constellation from being bought by Warren Buffett three years ago, saving Constellation CEO Mayo Shattuck's job. Apparently it expected Shattuck to be grateful. Instead, Shattuck is pursuing a deal that is OK for his shareholders but which EDF fears will harm its interests by burying its U.S. nuclear stake within the much larger combination of Exelon and Constellation.

So EDF is missing no chance to blast the transaction. Exelon and Constellation "persist with the claim that after the merger, BGE somehow will be locally managed and controlled" EDF said in Monday's filing, "despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary." (The whole company would be run from Exelon's Chicago headquarters.) It goes on:

The evidence at the hearing further established that the merger’s so-called benefits for Maryland and Exelon’s commitments to Maryland are both woefully inadequate and totally illusory. Maryland jobs will be lost, Maryland tax revenues will decline, and Maryland’s ability to influence its electric generation facilities will be severely limited.

Also Monday, Constellation and Exelon agreed to boost the commitments that EDF says are woefully inadequate and insulting. See Hanah Cho's story on the companies' promise to build additional generation capacity, including more green power than they had previously talked about. Somehow, however, I don't think that's going to change EDF's mind.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:52 PM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

November 7, 2011

Connecticut Light does worse on outages than BGE

This is small consolation to the BGE customers who were without power for a week after Hurricane Irene. But AP is reporting that as of this morning 50,000 Connecticut residents (does that mean 50,000 households?) were without power more than a week after the big snowstorm.

That seems even worse than BGE did after Irene. Eight days after Irene the Sun was reporting that "hundreds" of BGE households still lacked power.

Connecticut politicians are unhappy, Connecticut Light is apologizing, and it all looks familiar.
AP:

The electrical outages, the legacy of a storm that hammered the Northeast on Oct. 29 and 30, were largely an unpleasant memory by Sunday night for most of the 3 million who lost power at the height of the storm. But in Connecticut, about 50,000 residents remained without electricity by Monday morning, nine days after the storm. In New Jersey and Massachusetts, only a few hundred customers remained without power.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:23 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

November 3, 2011

What would an independent BGE look like?

Sens. Pipkin and Rosepepe are asking the Public Service Commission to make Exelon's proposed purchase of Constellation Energy dependent on a spinoff of Baltimore Gas & Electric, Constellation's subsidiary. Forget it, says Exelon President Chris Crane, which is what everybody expected. Exelon wants BGE's steady cash flow to balance its less predictable unregulated operations.

But it's an interesting thought experiment. How would BGE operating as a separate, publicly traded corporation change the way BGE works?

-- BGE's stock price could languish, as the market would probably get the message that Maryland regulators would never allow anybody to acquire the company.

-- Depending on how the company fared with future rate increases, BGE could end up paying a half-decent dividend yield. Investors would expect most of their return to come from income, not capital gains. But the spinoff would probably hurt existing shareholders.

-- For ratepayers, requiring a spinoff would be less risky than having the state seize BGE through eminent domain, which would require compensation paid to shareholders and lots of debt put on BGE's books.

-- Spinning off BGE doesn't by itself remove Constellation's grip on the regional wholesale power market or solve the larger problem of where Maryland gets its electricity. We need new generation plants not controlled by Constellation, which the senators propose would be built by BGE.

-- Having BGE itself build new power plants might be riskier for ratepayers than having BGE sign a long-term power-purchase deal with independent generation developers. (This is the direction the state is moving in anyway -- very slowly.) After a decade of deregulation, BGE has lost much (all?) of its expertise in plant development.

-- An independent BGE would be safe from financial raids by Exelon or some other deregulated holding company. But it might not be able to borrow money as cheaply as it can when owned by a bigger company.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:03 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Illinois attorney general opposes Constellation deal

Lisa Madigan, who obtained a huge settlement against Exelon Corp. a few years ago over alleged manipulation of the wholesale electricy market, has asked federal regulators to block Exelon's attempt to buy Baltimore-based Constellation Energy. The deal could give the combined company power to push up prices in Northern Illinois, she said in a filing with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

Constellation and Exelon are both big sellers of electricity, and their marriage raises concerns about "market power" and increased prices in any market in which they operate. The market monitor for the PJM grid, which includes mid-Atlantic states but also northern Illinois, reached an agreement with the companies to limit their ability to push up prices if they merge. Madigan argues that the market monitor's analysis didn't include northern Illinois. From her filing:

".... the Illinois wholesale market is an island in the PJM regional transmission organization. There are limited generation and transmission facilities in the portion of PJM that serves northen Illinois, presenting a market with existing competitive restraints. Constellation is one of the few major suppliers that participates in the Illinois Power Agency power procurement events and that supplies power to the default customers of the Exelon subsidiary, Commonwealth Edison.... [The market monitor's analysis] is incomplete because it does not include a comprehensive review of the effect of the proposed merger on northern Illinois."


Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:13 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

November 2, 2011

Seven things we learned from the Exelon hearings

The Public Service Commission hearings on Exelon's bid to buy Constellation Energy and Baltimore Gas & Electric started on Monday. The top draws -- Constellation CEO Mayo Shattuck and Exelon COO Chris Crane -- were also the leadoff act.

The hearings so far have contained no bombshells. But they shed new light on the proposed takeover, showing vividly how multibillion-dollar deals are about personalities and egos as much as about finances. We now know:

-- The merger would eliminate 600 jobs at the combined company, according to Wednesday testimony by Crane. Which jobs would be cut from Exelon and which from Constellation hasn't been decided. The companies have pledged to create jobs on net in Maryland, but that formula includes temporary construction jobs for building new facilities.

-- Offering Shattuck a big title with unspecified responsibilities in the combined company was seen by Exelon as part of the price it had to pay for Constellation. In prepared testimony Crane said that, according to Excelon CEO John Rowe, offering Shattuck the job of executive chairman in the combined company was "imperative" to get the deal done.

-- "Mayo would probably like to be CEO [of the combined company] but knows we will not pay a premium to give my chair away," Rowe told Crane in an email referred to in testimony on Tuesday. "Mayo would like to be 'executive chairman' for an undefined period."

-- Constellation's board asked Shattuck to ask Exelon if he could be CEO of the combined operation. "I said that was not a possibility," Shattuck testified.

-- Rowe and Exelon's board don't seem to have been crazy about the idea of Shattuck as executive chairman. However, Rowe wrote in an email, "with three-quarters of the board in our hands, I do think that the role of executive chairman might be tolerable..."

-- In 2008 when Constellation was veering toward bankruptcy, Constellation officials talked to Exelon about a potential bailout. "It was determined we felt that we might be able to put part of our lines of credit towards, to Constellation to help them through the situation," Crane said in testimony. They also talked about selling Constellation's nuclear plants to Exelon. (The talks came to nothing and Constellation was rescued by MidAmerican Energy and then by EDF Group.)

-- Even PSC Chairman Doug Nazarian, who is no stranger to lengthy examination of utility-company principals by hostile lawyers, seems to have been surprised by how long EDF Group lawyer Martin Flumenbaum grilled Crane and Shattuck. "Were you kidding about having a whole half-day for Mr. Shattuck?" Nazarian asked him late Monday. (He wasn't.)

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:51 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Boulder votes to take over electric utility

Yesterday Boulder, Colo., voted to buy its electric utility from Xcel Energy and have the city run it. It's a firm move toward electricity re-regulation -- the kind that has been discussed casually in Montgomery County. It'll be a risky move by Boulder if it follows through. The city will have to sell bonds to buy the utility assets from Xcel, and higher taxes are involved.

The Daily Camera newspaper describes the vote as an effort by the city to reduce its CO2 emissions:

The drive to form a municipal utility grew out of the city's efforts to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions. In 2006, Boulder voters approved a carbon tax to fund programs that would help Boulder meet the Kyoto Protocol, which calls for a 7 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions below 1990 levels.

But, as Bloomberg notes, the vote also comes after cost-overruns to install smart meters in Boulder. Writing before the votes were counted, Bloomberg said a yes vote for "municipalization" would "effectively" end the smart-grid project, but it sounds like the meters are already installed. Bloomberg:

The referendum comes after Xcel Energy spent more than $44.8 million, exceeding its original budget estimate of $15 million, according to regulatory filings. The initiative is one of the nation's first "smart grid" pilot projects, designed to help customers reduce power use and cut down on greenhouse gas emissions. Xcel raised $950,000 for its campaign to keep the Boulder utility private, compared with $88,500 spent by backers of the referendum, according to city records.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:43 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

November 1, 2011

Want bill credits from BGE deal? Or green energy?

Some of the testimony by Mayo Shattuck and Chris Crane at the energy-merger hearings has centered around what kind of benefit Exelon should provide Maryland in return for regulators approving its buyout of Constellation Energy, parent of BGE.

Exelon President Chris Crane had favored offering more renewable energy to the state than the 25 megawatts that ended up in the initial offer. But Constellation chief Shattuck believed bill credits are more important to getting approval, my colleague Hanah Cho reports. It's an interesting question. In Gov. Martin O'Malley's first term, bill credits would have been the way to go. He was focused on getting as much back for residential customers as possible.

O'Malley 2.0, however, seems more interested in green energy. He's pushing it in several ways, most visibly with a proposal to build a big offshore wind farm. I'm guessing the Public Service Commission, which is directly charged with approving the buyout, is still more focused on credits. During testimony Crane acted as if it's an either-or proposition: More renewable-based generation would mean lower bill credits. But that's a negotiating position. Don't be surprised if the final package includes a $100 credit for households and a little more -- maybe 40 MW -- of renewable generation capacity.

I don't believe that's enough benefit for what Maryland would give up by selling Constellation, but I don't get to vote. I also believe Maryland needs additional renewable-energy capacity more than it needs another $100 rebate for households. But as I said...

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:46 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 21, 2011

State, French to grill CEG's Shattuck in hearings

Constellation Energy CEO Mayo Shattuck has agreed to testify in person at regulatory hearings on Exelon Corp.'s proposal to buy Constellation and BGE, according to new filings with the Public Service Commission. The move comes after the Maryland Energy Administration asked the PSC to subpoena him as a witness, arguing that he needed to be available to answer many questions about the merger and his planned role at the combined company.

"In an effort to be fully transparent and to resolve any possible confusion, the Applicants will voluntarily produce Mr. Shattuck as a live witness in the proceedings on a panel with Mr. [Christopher] Crane," the No. 2 executive at Exelon, the companies' lawyer J. Joseph "Max" Curran III, wrote in a filing made Thursday.

That wasn't good enough for EDF Group, the French-controlled electricity giant that is Constellation's partner in a large nuclear energy venture. EDF has expressed concern that its multibillion-dollar investment in Constellation would be at risk if Constellation is absorbed by Exelon.

"... EDF submits that Mr. Shattuck does not need the protection of mr. Crane to address the many outstanding questions related to the proposed merger..." EDF's Thursday filing said.

Look for lawyers to grill Shattuck about his responsibilities, why he thinks the deal is a good one and how he would simultaneously act as chairman of the board and an employee reporting to Crane.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:02 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 20, 2011

Do not take the IGS Energy natural-gas offer

Landing in my mailbox is a fixed-price offer for natural-gas from IGS Energy. It's "a low fixed rate of 79.9 cents per therm that's guaranteed through your September 2012 billing cycle! That means you can lock in your rate now before your winter heating bills arrive -- and be assured of no price changes through next September."

This is a terrible price -- almost as bad as the 83.9 cents per therm that the Office of People's Counsel says is being offered by Spark Energy. As you can see, Baltimore Gas & Electric's standard, floating gas price hasn't been over 80 cents in more than two years. This month's price is 56 cents. Last winter the price never got over 64 cents. This winter's price is unlikely to be much different.

The one good thing to say about the IGS offer is that you can cancel it any time without an early-termination fee. But if you don't sign up for it in the first place, you won't have to worry about that.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:54 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 19, 2011

PSC: Maryland doesn't allow prepaid electric plans

Yesterday I blogged about a Texas company offering prepaid electricity plans the way some companies sell prepaid phone plans. Payless Power will set you up with no deposit and no credit score as long as there is a positive balance on the account. And when the account is drained, they shut you off.

Maryland Public Service Commission spokeswoman Regina Davis responds:

I just wanted to respond to your post on smart meters. The PSC wants to reassure you and your readers that: (1) the company you referenced is not licensed in MD, (2) we have not authorized any company to offer prepaid electricity, and (3) no company could do so unless we gave approval.

It's hard to imagine Maryland would OK something like this. Meanwhile Paula Carmody, Maryland's People's Counsel representing consumers before the commission, says:

Prepaid options have been offered by a few companies for a number of years (e.g. Arizona’s Salt River Project), and Texas has been actively pushing this as an “option” for customers. There are a number of specific consumer concerns that have been flagged by utility consumer agencies, in addition to the general concern that prepay is not the way to go for essential electric and heating services. I’ve attached a NASUCA resolution on this issue, FYI.

The resolution by the National Association of State Utility Consumer Advocates expressing concerns about prepaid plans is below the fold.

Continue reading "PSC: Maryland doesn't allow prepaid electric plans" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:04 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 18, 2011

Smart meters allow pay-as-you-go electricity

There is much anxiety and distrust over the coming of smart meters in many communities where they are appearing. BGE will start installing them in Baltimore-area households soon. Smart meters are basically computerized electricity meters to record your kilowatt usage by the minute and beam it to the electricity company.

They give utilities the power to shut off or turn on your juice more or less immediately, and eventually they could even feed fluctuating daily wholesale prices straight to your household account, letting you respond accordingly.

Here is a smart-meter feature I hadn't heard about, which seems troubling. Thanks, Carol, for bringing it to my attention. A company in Texas, Payless Power, is offering pay-as-you-go, no-deposit elecricity accounts similar to what cellphone companies offer. You pay for the juice in advance. If you don't pay, you don't get power.

I understand that kilowatts need to be paid for. But electricity isn't a cellphone. Pay-as-you-go cellphone customers generally pay more per minute than folks with contracts. Pay-as-you-go electricity service has the potential to offer all the convenience and affordability of payday lenders and rent-to-own furniture stores. Here is Payless Power's the whole press release:

Payless Power Now Offers Prepaid Electric Service in Texas Utilizing Smart Meters

Get SmarTricity with Flex Pay for prepaid electric service in Texas with NO deposit, NO credit check, and NO long term contract .

 Fort Worth, Texas (PRWEB) October 17, 2011

Payless Power, a leading no deposit electric company in Texas, is now utilizing smart meters as part of its pay-as-you go electricity plans to help customers better manage their usage and budget. By monitoring electricity usage in real-time, smart meters let retail electric providers and consumers know just how much energy has been consumed at any time during the course of a month; therefore, by using these advanced meters, the consumer will be notified of how much energy they are consuming daily as a way to monitor usage and reduce their electricity costs.

 According to Brandon Young, a principal in Payless Power, prepaid services utilizing the smart meter data makes billing more accurate and timely

Continue reading "Smart meters allow pay-as-you-go electricity" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:31 AM | | Comments (4)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 14, 2011

Why natural-gas prices might rise

For three years it's been a bear market for natural-gas sellers and a boon for consumers. The wintertime price for BGE's natural gas has dropped from almost $1 per therm in 2008 to like 60 cents now. The big factors, of course, are the bum economy and huge new gas supplies made available by hydrofracking of shale formations.

A ConocoPhillips commodities analyst says this may not go on forever and he gives several reasons, including regulation of hydrofracking and rising demand for natural gas as a relatively clean fuel for electricity generation. From Platts:

"The talk of shale makes everyone think we're way oversupplied," said Jim Duncan, ConocoPhillips' chief analyst and commodities markets strategist, at the LDC Gas Forum Rockies & West in Los Angeles. "The reality is that we're not. The signposts are already here."

However, Platts reports that Duncan "remained bearish" on natural gas. My advice to BGE customers hasn't changed: Go with BGE's or WGES's month to month floating price. The deals that lock in your price probably won't save you money this winter and they don't let you lock in long enough to save money in future winters.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 2:06 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 13, 2011

Constellation moves merger meeting to New York

Corporate buyouts of local companies always quickly shift jobs and resources out of town, but it didn't used to be this quickly. The apparent new trend for important Baltimore companies selling to out-of-towners is to shift the shareholder vote on the deal to a venue far away from the company's home town.

Nolan Archibald was so proud of selling Black & Decker to Stanley Works that he moved the shareholder vote to the Dulles Marriott hotel. They couldn't even come up with an excuse for having it there. "Since the meeting is only days away, we have no comment" on why the meeting is in Virginia, Black & Decker spokesman Roger Young told me at the time.

Why is Constellation having its meeting in New York? It's "a central location for our institutional shareholder base," a company spokesman told my colleague Hanah Cho. No, that's not it. The real reason is probably that Constellation's board is worried about embarrasing demonstrations outside the meeting and awkward questions from longtime Baltimore shareholders inside.

My 2010 column on Black & Decker's merger-meeting venue:

Taking a play from the Baltimore Colts, Black & Decker's headquarters is heading out of town on the sly.
For years the toolmaker has held its annual shareholder meeting in or near its Towson headquarters. The company's stock is widely owned in metro Baltimore, its home for a century.
But Friday's meeting, at which shareholders are expected to approve Black & Decker's sale to Stanley Works, isn't even happening in Maryland. If you want to vote in person or express an opinion, you'll have to make it by 9 a.m. to the Washington Dulles Airport Marriott in Virginia, 70 miles from Towson.
Putting the meeting at a Black & Decker factory in Mexico could hardly have cordoned it off more effectively from Baltimore. Instead of darkness and Mayflower moving vans obscuring the end of a Baltimore institution, it'll be the Capital Beltway at rush hour.

Read the whole thing here.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:23 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 11, 2011

Exelon: Good for shareholders, not always customers

Sunday's column was about why the Maryland Public Service Commission should reject Exelon Corp.'s applicaiton to take over Constellation Energy and BGE. One reason is what knowledgeable people describe as Exelon's and utility ComEd's unstated motivation to close their Zion Station nuclear plant: to decrease the supply and increase the price of electricity.

There has been a lot of discussion about this on the Atomic Insights site, including this post by Rod Adams, titled "Exelon's Strategy is Working for Stockholders but not Always for Customers." Adams:

When I dug into Exelon’s corporate history and current market position, I realized that its analysis of the economics of restarting Zion might have something to do with concerns about the effects of a new supply on the prices for electricity in their current markets. Since Exelon is operating a large number of plants already, just a 10% drop in sales price could overcome the benefits of selling a higher volume from the new supply. In the electricity business, a huge financial risk that is well known and understood by decision makers is “overcapacity”.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 3:51 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Exelon, Constellation agree to restrict coal-plant sale

Exelon Corp. is seeking regulatory approval to buy Constellation Energy, parent of BGE. As I wrote on Sunday, the deal raises all kinds of concerns. Among them is the quasi-monopoly power that the combined company would gain in the mid-Atlantic generation market. The combined company would own quite a bit of generation capacity in Maryland, Pennsylvania and New Jersey.

To try to overcome sure objections from antitrust regulators, Constellation and Exelon agreed to sell off three of Constellation's older, coal-fired generation plans: Brandon Shores, CP Crane and HA Wagner. Joseph Bowring, who runs the independent market-monitor operation for the mid-Atlantic grid, objected that market concentration in the region might not be improved and could even worsen if the plants were sold to a third company that also owned plants in the area.

Now, in a letter to regulators, Bowring says the companies have agreed to a bunch of restrictions that would cause Bowring to drop his objections. The chief restriction is a list of companies to whom the coal plants cannnot be sold, including AEP, First Energy, Dominion, GenOn, Calpine and PPL. This significantly reduces the potential bidders and, if anything, may increase the uncertainty for the people working at those plants.

The other thing to note about the agreement is that, once again, it erodes any notion that the PJM wholesale market is efficient, free or fair. In addition to restrictions on who can buy the plants, Constellation and Exelon agreed to a bunch of fussy rules about bidding behavior etc. over the next 10 years.

Among them: The combined company has to "calculate its RPM auction Market Seller Offer Caps, as that term is defined in Attachment DD of the PJM Tariff, using the methodolgies set forth in Attachment DD of the PJM tariff." Energy bids from non-nuclear units "will be consistent with the physical capabilities of the units." (This rule all by itself is quite telling.) Offers from peaking gas units must calculate unit costs "in accordance with the PJM Cost Development Guidelines as set forth in PJM Manual No. 15, plus (2) the higher of ten percent of such costs or the applicable percentage of cost permitted under the PJM Tariff to the extent a unit is a frequently mitigated unit, plus (3) an adder not to exceed $1.00/MHw."

A real market wouldn't require a bunch of Calvinball rules and a bunch of bureaucrats to administer them.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 12:16 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 28, 2011

Web-search spike showed anger over BGE outages

On Tuesday BGE was boasting about its improvement in J.D. Power's ratings of gas utilities, which just came out. BGE has historically also done OK in J.D. Power's scores for electric utilities, rating above average for the region. But the latest electric ratings came out before BGE's less-than-par performance after the recent storms. Thousands of households were out of power for many days.

UPDATE: BGE spokesman Rob Gould says I'm stretching when I say the search traffic reflects anger. Much of the searches may have been simply for information, he says. BGE was very active in social media and on the Web, so some of it reflects that activity, Gould says. OK, so I don't know the emotions of all the people who searched on BGE in those days. But this was a big negative story for BGE, just like the 2006 rate increases. Anger was certainly part of the mix.  

To get some idea of how impatient and focused BGE customers were, check out the Google trends graph below. The top graph tracks worldwide Web searches for BGE. The lower one tracks news mentions of BGE. The last time BGE had this much bad publicity was in 2006, right after the deregulatory rate caps came off and prices rose by the famous 72 percent.

Now look at the spike in BGE searches for August -- three times as much volume as in 2006. Yeah, fewer BGE customers may have been online in 2006. But the graphs still suggest that people get a lot more exercised about having no power at all than they do about what they pay for it. And they suggest that BGE might not do so well in the next J.D. Power poll.   BGEtrend.bmp

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (8)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 21, 2011

Rising CEG stock shows optimism on Exelon deal

The stock of Constellation Energy Group closed at $39.66 on Tuesday, its highest price since 2008, when the financial crisis and imprudent borrowing almost drove the company into bankruptcy. This suggests that the arbs and other investors believe the deal with Exelon Corp. will go through. Constellation has agreed to be bought by Exelon in a merger valued roughly at $8 billion.

Institutional investors that I talk to were quite worried about how Gov. Martin O'Malley would react to the merger proposal. O'Malley has jousted with Constellation and subsidiary BGE for years, and previous attempted mergers by CEG and BGE have foundered on the rocks of regulatory resistance in Maryland. My impression is that people were expecting more price rebates for BGE customers and fewer green-energy requests in the O'Malley administration's filings that were made last week. The buoyancy of the stock price suggests they think things will work out. The Public Service Commission will ultimately make the decision, but it is composed mostly of O'Malley appointees.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:21 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 20, 2011

Make Exelon build green power, but eye risks, too

I was surprised at how much the O'Malley administration wants the combined Exelon/Constellation Energy to raise its contribution to renewable energy in the state. But perhaps I shouldn't have been. Combined with his proposal for a big offshore wind farm and other efforts to green the state's energy portfolio, this makes clear that Gov. O'Malley sees renewable energy as one of the main legacies he wants to leave for his second term.

Exelon didn't appear to flinch in reaction. Don't forget that it's the Public Service Commission, not the O'Malley administration per se, which has to approve or reject the deal. But the PSC is largely an O'Malley creation. In any event, gone is the intense O'Malley administration focus on price reductions for customers of BGE, Constellation's subsidiary. Now he's all about the environment.

The risks raised by Malcolm Woolf, head of O'Malley's Energy Administration, are also worth mentioning. In the event that Exelon ever does an Enron and goes bankrupt, BGE must be protected as much as legally possible. Out-of-state ownership for an essential economic monopoly is full of potential problems. There is also the market-power problem, in which an Exelon-Constellation combo would give the company too much control over regional generation facilities -- even with the divestiture of several coal plants that the companies have proposed.

And, of course, requiring several hundred megawatts of new, green, Maryland generation from the combined company would only exacerbate the market concentration. Should be an interesting decision process.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:23 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 14, 2011

Did your estimated BGE bill seem too high?

Victoria Worden of Bel Air called to say she thought her August BGE bill was too high. Late last month BGE meter readers were helping restore power, with the result that BGE couldn't read about 170,000 meters -- including Worden's. Instead BGE sent out estimated bills. In 2010 Worden's August bill was in the $50 range, she says. This year, after BGE estimated it, the August bill was way higher -- $75.50, she says. And the average temperature for this August was a degree cooler than last year, according to BGE.

"$75 is way out of line," Worden says. She's not even sure she ran the AC last month, and she expected the bill to be much lower. Certainly lower than the bill from this July, which was really really hot. Especially since, after Hurricane Irene, she says she didn't have any electricity during part of August for almost 40 hours! But her bills were about the same for both July and August.

UPDATE, 11 a.m.: BGE put out a press release on this this morning, saying: "Baltimore Gas and Electric Company (BGE) today announced that as a result of Hurricane Irene, meter readers were assigned to storm duty and did not read any gas or electric meters from Aug. 30 – Sept. 1. On August 29 and Sept. 2, some, but not all meters were read." BGE is saying 150,000 households were "affected," but the total number of homes with unread meters was 170,000, including those on budget billing. BGE's full press release is below the fold.

If your bill seems too high for August and it's a hassle, do what Worden did and call BGE at 410-685-0123. She says they agreed to bill her zero for August and then put everything on the September bill once they read the meter. (If your estimated bill proves to be too high, BGE is supposed to credit the overbilled amount the next time the meter is read.)

I had a similar experience. My July 2011 bill was $277, and I figured August would be way lower. But it wasn't. BGE estimated that I owe $252 for last month. My average daily kilowatt use in August, according to BGE's estimate, was 25 percent more than it was in August 2010 -- even though, as mentioned, this year's August was cooler than last year's. (I didn't lose power after the hurricane, however.)

I asked BGE for a response to all customers who may believe they were overbilled. (BGE doesn't give me any special treatment, and I didn't ask them to change my bill.) BGE has software that estimates bills when meter readers can't get out, says Jeannette Mills, the utility's senior vice president for customer relations. The estimate is based on actual, metered usage of similar customers, BGE says. Sometimes it overestimates. Sometimes it underestimates, Mills said.

But it doesn't make allowances for when your power goes out. So there are probably other folks out there like Worden, with overestimated bills.

Mills denies that this gives a big boost to BGE's cash flow. "There is no windfall," she said. "There is no significant positive cash flow increase." BGE spokesman Rob Gould says that eliminating estimated bills will be one of the benefits of smart meters, due to be installed starting next year. They'll beam your kilowatt use straight to headquarters every day.

If you're on budget billing, where BGE smooths out seasonal variations to make your invoice more or less the same every month, your bill probably wasn't significantly altered by an unread meter last month, BGE says.

Read BGE's full press release below:

Continue reading "Did your estimated BGE bill seem too high? " »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (29)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 9, 2011

Want to complain about BGE's Irene performance?

Here's how to do it. Just in from the PSC:

Maryland Public Service Commission to Hear Public Comment on Hurricane Irene Outages

(BALTIMORE)—The Maryland Public Service Commission (Commission) will hold hearings to receive public comment related to Hurricane Irene. These public hearings, part of Case No. 9279, pertain to electric service interruptions to BGE customers due to the hurricane. In the Commission’s September 1 Order No. 83406, it was noted that “Hurricane Irene severely impacted electrical service to a significant portion of the State of Maryland beginning on August 27, 2011 and, in some instances, the lack of electrical service continues as of the date of this Order.

 Because of questions that continue to be raised related to storm preparedness and storm restoration efforts, the Commission will conduct a consolidated inquiry to review the preparedness and performance of the utilities in responding to the major outages…” As part of that inquiry, the Commission will hold public hearings as follows:

• Tuesday, September 27, 7 p.m. Baltimore County Office Building, Room 106 111 W. Chesapeake Avenue Towson, Maryland

• Tuesday, October 11, 7 p.m. Wohlman Assembly Hall War Memorial Building, 1st Floor 101 N. Gay Street Baltimore, Maryland

Individuals who cannot attend in person may send written comments to the Commission by October 17, 2011. Originally signed paper comments should be addressed to David J. Collins, Executive Secretary, Maryland Public Service Commission, William Donald Schaefer Tower, 6 St. Paul Street, 16th Floor, Baltimore, Maryland 21202, and reference “Case No. 9279 – Public Comment.”

In the event additional evening hearings for public comment are scheduled regarding the preparedness and performance of other electric utilities in the State, the Commission will issue a further notice with the time, date and location of each such hearing. ##

Posted by Jay Hancock at 3:24 PM | | Comments (16)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Rascovar: Utilities do recovery better than government

From Barry Rascovar's column today:

State and county bureaucracies are not known for responding with alacrity to consumer complaints, especially when they involve infrastructure repairs.

Example: Before agencies even noticed, 100 million gallons of raw sewage had spilled into the Patapsco River during the last hurricane due to broken, malfunctioning or out of service sewage pumping stations. By the time bureaucrats stemmed this outflow of human waste, perhaps twice as much effluent had polluted the Chesapeake Bay.

Imagine what utility repairs after Irene would have been like had local governments — desperate to trim staffing to balance their budgets — were put in charge.

Imagine if Montgomery County, instead of Pepco, had been responsible for restoring customer outages after last winter’s blizzard. As poorly as Pepco performed, local government would have had been even more dilatory.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:56 AM | | Comments (4)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 1, 2011

House Speaker Busch: Still without electricity

Speaker of the House Mike Busch called me, apropros of my earlier post on the possiblity of BGE giving priority to bigshots for power restoration, to tell me tongue-in-cheek that he got left off BGE's secret list.

"I've been out since Saturday," Busch, who lives in Annapolis, said Thursday morning. "Everybody in my community looks at me" and wonders if he's really important, "I said I'm calling Jay Hancock."

Like thousands of other householders, Busch can testify that you take electricity for granted until you lose it. No fridge. No lights after 8. "It's amazing how much you don't realize the importance of electric power."

BGE says it has no secret list to restore power first for political heavyweights. Nor should it. The darkness in the Busch neighborhood supports BGE's assertion. The Speaker of the Maryland House of Delegates: wielder of power, master of billions -- and just another hapless BGE customer, stumbling around in the gloom with flashlights.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:28 AM | | Comments (6)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 30, 2011

Does BGE restore power to big shots first?

If I were the boss of Baltimore Gas & Electric I would be tempted to set up a secret plan to treat Very Important Neighborhoods differently than those of the plebes. Did the governor's lights go off? Put him at the top of the list for repair.

No, wait. Put the members of the Public Service Commission first. They're the ones who will approve or reject the application by BGE parent Constellation Energy to merge with Exelon. They're the ones who are developing reliablity standards for BGE and other utilities. Naturally I asked BGE whether it gives special treatment to important public officials. And I asked the governor, the mayor and the PSC commissioners about their electricity experiences last weekend during the hurricane.

BGE denies giving special attention to anybody. "The answer is no," says company spokesman Rob Gould. "We are not putting anyone in any priority order as it relates to special customers." What about PSC Chairman Doug Nazarian? He tells me his power was back on by Sunday afternoon. (As I write this Tuesday evening, about 200,000 BGE homes still lack power, according to the company's storm-center Web site.) "We don't even know his address," Gould said. "We don't mark neighborhoods for special folks."

UPDATE: The remaining PSC commissioners got back to me this morning. Harold Williams says his power went out at 5:30 a.m. Sunday and came back on at 12:30. Kelly Speakes-Backman says:

I have BGE. I lost power at 8:30 sat night, got it back Tues Monday afternoon. Lost it again yesterday Tuesday for a few hours in the afternoon. I was told by the customer service person there was some switch problem affecting 3000 customers that time. Oh, and we borrowed my cousin's generator so no spoiled food, but we're on well so we had no water.

Gov. Martin O'Malley's power flickered on and off but never went totally out, said spokeswoman Raquel Guillory. Two PSC members -- Lawrence Brenner and Kevin Hughes -- live in Pepco territory, which was hit much less heavily by Irene. They said they didn't lose electricity, either. I was unable to get responses from the PSC's Harold Williams and Kelly Speakes-Backman.

Mayor Stephanie Rawlings-Blake lost power for "over 24 hours," said spokesman Ryan O'Doherty, but she wasn't sure when it came back on because she was in the city's emergency operations center. "She did have to throw out food," O'Doherty said. (For the record, my power in Ellicott City never went out.) Here is the response from PSC Chairman Nazarian, who says he has "no idea" whether his neighborhood gets special treatment from BGE:

My power went out sometime Saturday night and came back on late Sunday afternoon. We plugged our refrigerator into a neighbor's generator for a while, but did throw out some spoiled food, too. A large tree branch fell in my front yard, but missed our house and the neighbors', so fortunately no impact. We haven't had water in our basement for years and didn't this time. I have no idea whether

Continue reading "Does BGE restore power to big shots first?" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:43 PM | | Comments (10)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Irene shifts reliability pressure to BGE from Pepco

The utility reliability standards required by the legislature and being developed by the Public Service Commission are largely the result of unhappiness with Pepco, which serves Washington and its Maryland suburbs. Pepco did a miserable job preventing and fixing outages in summer and winter storms in 2010. This year it ranked dead last in customer satisfaction among large, investor-owned utilities.

But Pepco caught a break with Irene -- or maybe the tree-trimming and hardware installations that it says it has done since last year made a difference. On Monday fewer than 40,000 Pepco customers were without power, the Washington Post reports. In BGE territory on Monday 350,000 customers lacked power, The Sun says.

The Post's headline: "In key test, Pepco's reputation weathered the storm." Now the pressure is on BGE, which has largely escaped criticism over performance in other recent storms even though it logged many outages. In BGE's case you can probably expect what happened with Pepco: aggressive tree trimming -- and protests about that.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:45 AM | | Comments (23)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 18, 2011

Constellation to workers: Enjoy the change, layoffs!

Update: Constellation seems to have pulled the plug on the ungated link below. You're now prompted for a login/password. Apparently the company doesn't want the inspiration and joy to spread too widely.

Here's a fairly ridiculous piece of propaganda the employees of Constellation Energy are being made to look at. The series of slides being shown internally at the company, which owns Baltimore Gas & Electric, is all about "understanding change" and how to deal with it.

As we know, "change" is coming to Constellation because it may be bought by Exelon Corp. of Chicago. As Hanah Cho reports, Exelon chief operating officer Chris Crane told insiders that Constellation will see the "most impactful" job cuts in the merger. (That means lots of Constellation people will be laid off in the worst economy in 70 years, if you need a translation.)

But Constellation, trying to seem sensitive and probably worried about productivity with the merger hanging over everybody's head, is foisting psychobabble on its servants. Among the slides:

"What is ending for you?" "How do you feel about what is going away?" "What excites you about the change?"

Potential reactions to change, another insightful slide says, are: "Impatience/flaring tempers," "Spreading rumors," "Complaining/blaming" and "Sarcastic comments."

Scandalous! But Constellation employees needn't succumb: "If you are experiencing these feeling and behaviors, what could you do to help yourself move forward?"

The answers, says Dr. Goodvibes, include: "Be tolerant of management mistakes," "Be realistic about the root cause of challenges" and "Adopt stress management techniques."

Feel better now?

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 15, 2011

BGE: The ill should avoid extreme Peak Rewards

Baltimore Gas & Electric has sent everybody a letter apologizing for the screwups on Friday, July 22, when the grid required a mandatory activation of BGE's Peak Rewards program shutting down air-conditioners. The 70,000 households who had chosen "100 percent" cycling saw their AC shut off from 11:30 am until late that night in some cases. Few if any of the Peak Rewards participants expected their air to be off that long.

"We acknowledge that many of you experienced discomfort and frustration during this time, and some of you reported delays in getting your air conditioning service restored -- even after the transition back to normal operations was complete," BGE said in the letter. "We sincerely regret any inconvenience this may have caused."

The utility is reviewing Peak Rewards procedures with special focus on "program communications and call center delays." And it says, don't choose 75 percent cycling or 100 percent cycling if you have health problems. The 75-percent option, where during Peak Rewards events your AC runs only 25 percent of the normal time, "is not recommended for customers who have medical or health conditions, who are home for much of the day, or who otherwise found the temperature rise during the July 22 emergency event to be more than they can accommodate..."

Same basically goes for the 100 percent option, when your AC doesn't run at all, BGE said.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (11)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 2, 2011

Exelon donates $250,000 to O'Malley group

Brian Witte of the Associated Press notes that Exelon, which is trying to buy Baltimore's Constellation Energy, was the largest single donor in the first half of the year to the O'Malley-led Democratic Governors Association. Exelon spokeswoman Judy Rader says it's to support the DGA's energy symposiums.

Also:

GTECH Corp., which created Maryland's monitoring system for the state's slot machines, donated $100,000 to the DGA.

Exelon and Constellation have also hired O'Malley's brother in law, Max Curran, to push the deal through the Public Service Commission.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:50 AM | | Comments (6)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

July 28, 2011

BGE: No plan to shut off AC despite hot Friday temps

The latest from BGE. Last week BGE invoked the PeakRewards program, turning off thousands of households' air conditioners, after a mandatory trigger on such "demand response" programs was ordered by grid manager PJM Interconnection.

BALTIMORE, July 28, 2011 – Baltimore Gas and Electric Company (BGE) today announced that it is preparing for a return of extremely high temperatures throughout its Central Maryland service area tomorrow. The utility expects to have sufficient electric supply to meet anticipated demand, but encourages customers, as it does with approaching storms, to take the time now to prepare and consider ways to conserve energy. The utility also announced that it does not anticipate a need to activate its energy demand response program, PeakRewards, despite the extremely high temperatures forecasted for Friday.

However, the utility cautioned that unforeseen operating conditions could warrant activation of the program. BGE will monitor its electrical grid with an eye toward minimizing impacts on its customers.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 3:03 PM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

July 27, 2011

BGE makes no profit on Peak Rewards

Another thought on Peak Rewards, the Baltimore Gas & Electric program that shut off air conditioning for thousands of households on Friday. Whatever you say about BGE's marketing of the program and handling of Friday's cutoffs, it's hard to attribute the utility's behavior to the profit motive.

The partial or total shutdown of 350,000 air conditioners, via radio-controlled switches, deprived BGE of hundreds of thousands of dollars in direct revenue from customers. You don't pay for a kilowatt that you don't burn. True, BGE got paid handsomely by the grid for the shutdowns. When PJM Interconnection calls for mandatory delivery of "demand response" like Peak Rewards, utilities and other users get $1,000 for each megawatt hour of use they curtail. BGE households cut their use by 600 megawatts for six hours, which comes to $3.6 million for BGE. But all of that, says BGE (and I have heard nothing to contradict this), is rebated to customers in one way or another -- largely through the credits that Peak Rewards customers earn on their bills.

Whether or not having your AC cut off is worth the credits, on the other hand, is subject to some discussion.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:07 AM | | Comments (5)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

July 26, 2011

How BGE handled Peak Rewards fiasco, good & bad

Sun multimedia czar Steve Sullivan asks me questions and I answer. I gave BGE a grade of B-minus when he asked how they responded to Peak Rewards confusion. On further thought I think I'd switch it to a C or a C-minus. BGE did put out an announcement telling people what was likely to happen fairly early on Friday. However few people got it, and BGE's subsequent communications were confusing. Also the phone lines were jammed.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:54 PM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Mad at BGE? How to complain to regulators

The Maryland Public Service Commission, which regulates Baltimore Gas & Electric, said it received "less than one dozen calls" on Friday related to BGE's Peak Rewards program, which shut off 72,000 household's air conditioners for most of one of the hottest days in memory. "Additional complaints were received over the weekend that are being reviewed," the PSC said.

As readers of The Sun know, the shortage of complaints received by the PSC hardly means customers are thrilled with Peak Rewards. Perhaps one reason is the difficulty for people to communicate with the commission online. There seems to be no general PSC email address. There is place on the Web site to "file a complaint." But this seems to be a service for resolving bilateral disputes between utilities and customers, not a place to opine on general regulatory policy and BGE conduct.

Reader Ren has a good suggestion:

It has been noted that the commission has received only a "handful" of complaints. Does that mean that they won't count all those who wrote directly to you or The Sun?

Can you let us all know an email to use that will get more than that handful of thoughts to them?

Terry Romine is the Maryland Public Service Commission's executive secretary, the recipient of all official correspondence. Her email: tromine@psc.state.md.us. Or you can call the PSC: (410) 767-8000.

UPDATE: PSC spokeswoman Regina Davis suggests calling PSC external relations at 888-309-7325. And she says to go ahead and use the formal complaint system for comments on Peak Rewards.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:53 AM | | Comments (10)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

July 25, 2011

Is Peak Rewards OK if you shift down from 100%?

As noted, many BGE customers were without air conditioning for hours on Friday because they had signed up for the 100 percent "Peak Rewards" option. That gave them bill credits in return for BGE's right to turn off their air conditioning compressor during periods of high demand. While customers who signed up for 100 percent knew that their AC would be off the entire hour for each hour of a cycling "event," few knew that an "event" could last six hours more more.

But I got far fewer complaints from BGE customers who had the 50 percent option, which ran their AC for half its normal use rather than not at all. This way it came on for 20 or 30 minutes each hour. We have the 50 percent deal at the Hancock house. The credits are lower, but at least the AC runs at least part time. My family said they barely noticed the difference. Here's commenter Kimberly:

Answer - lower it from 100% to 50%. I just lowered ours from 100% to 50% cycling. We will try that and see what happens. If Friday repeats we will opt out. At 100% cycling , our AC was off for 8-9 hours on Friday. I never thought they would cycle it that long. I thought they did 20 minute intervals. That's only if you are at 50% cycling. They really screwed up and should give money back (more than the peak rewards credit) to those they did this to. I don't think anyone who signed up for the program ever thought they cycle for so many hours straight completely off and get the houses up to 90 degrees. I just found out that at 50% it will come on then off for a while during the emergency cycling.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:23 AM | | Comments (60)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

July 23, 2011

BGE hasn't canceled most extreme shutoff program

BGE put out a confusing statement Friday night about its air conditioning shutoff program "being phased down to a lower level of activation, effective immediately." Many took this to mean that the "100 percent" option in BGE's Peak Rewards program, which lets the utility shut off your AC for the entire duration of an emergency, high-demand "event," would be canceled or at least suspended for a while.

In fact, the lower activation was in effect only for a few hours last night. It's back to business as usual at Peak Rewards. "Absent some unforeseen emergency event, we have no plans to activate Peak Rewards through next week," says BGE spokesman Rob Gould. But the next time a demand spike on a super hot day triggers an emergency, people who signed up for the "100 percent" Peak Rewards option could have another experience like the one on Friday, in which thousands of households went without AC for more than six hours on one of the hottest days in recorded history.

Bottom line: BGE has some explaining to do, and I'll be following up in Tuesday's column. "Customers did not expect to have a cycling event that went as long as it did," said Gould. "People have been getting a lot of money for this," he said, referring to the bill credits that Peak Rewards customers receive. "We just need to do a better job of keeping them informed."

Well, they're informed now. People who signed up for 100 percent just found out that on really really hot days they can basically lose their air conditioning all day long. (I'm a 50 percent Peak Rewards customer. The temperature at our house rose a few degrees Friday but it was barely noticeable.) I doubt that will help the program's popularity.

Turns out there were two BGE "cycling events" yesterday, which alert blog commenters had figured out from their Web readouts but which BGE didn't explain very well. The first one, which was mandated by the PJM grid, went from 11:30 to like 5:40. Then BGE immediately started another one that went well into the evening. For the first event, BGE says, Peak Rewards members got what they signed up for. 100 percenters had their AC turned off completely. 75 percenters had it turned off for 3/4 of the time it normally would have run. 50 percenters had their compressors running half the time. (There are 350,000 BGE customers with Peak Rewards cutoff switches on their AC. Of those, 72,000 signed up for 100 percent "cycling," which gives you the biggest credits on your bill.)

But for the second event, BGE cycled everybody at 50 percent. So according to BGE, even people who had signed up for 100 percent would have had their AC turned back on half-time after 6 pm or so. That wasn't what many blog commenters said they experienced. Some people said they were flat-out without air until 9 p.m.

For what it's worth, Gould says he's a 100 percent Peak Rewards customer. "I was off all day," he says. During the second "event" in the evening, he said, his compressor started running again at 50 percent. It got up to 91 degrees upstairs in his house, he said, and 85 degrees on the first floor.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:35 PM | | Comments (42)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

July 22, 2011

BGE flipflops, says it won't again shut AC completely

UPDATE, 10:45 p.m. Commenter Guitarmom says:

If your unit(S) have not come back on yet try tripping the breaker. I called BGE and they said there was a problem with houses that had two units and that shutting off and restarting the breaker was the fix. Good luck and get cool!

After a sweltering day in which 72,000 BGE customers had their air conditioning turned off for multiple hours thanks to their participation in BGE's "Peak Rewards" program, BGE seems to have decided that the energy-saving program at its most intense was not a good idea. On a day when the temperature at BWI was 104 degrees, everybody who signed up for the "100 percent cycling" option in Peak Rewards had their AC shut off at 11:30 a.m. and didn't have it turned on again, BGE says, until "approximately 5:40 p.m." Well after that time many blog commenters were saying they still didn't have air conditioning.

When you sign up for Peak Rewards BGE puts a switch on your AC compressor. You get bill credits based on whether you sign up for 100 percent, 75 percent of 50 percent cycling. During the peak use "event" you agree that BGE can shut off the AC in those proportions to save energy. (Sign up for 50 percent and the AC supposedly runs half as much as normal.) But I doubt the people who signed up for 100 percent expected the "event" to last all day.

Now BGE has backed down, saying in a press release:

Baltimore Gas and Electric Company Transitioning Immediately to a Lower Level of PeakRewardsSM Program Activation During the transition period, all customers who voluntarily enrolled in the program are cycled at the reduced 50 percent level

The Public Service Commission has been getting complaints today about Peak Rewards. And I assume BGE got deluged with calls. My blog post on the shutoff has 140 comments and counting. Many Peak Rewards customers say they knew BGE could cut off their cool, but they didn't expect it to go on for five or six hours or more.

The uproar could give BGE political headaches in the attempt by parent Constellation Energy to complete its merger with Exelon. And it's probably going to make a lot of people more spooked by the computerized "smart" meters BGE is getting ready to install, whose purpose is also largely energy savings.

I don't see the statement on their Web site. So the whole BGE press release is below the fold.

Continue reading "BGE flipflops, says it won't again shut AC completely " »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:30 PM | | Comments (78)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

BGE will shut off some folks' AC until late afternoon

UPDATE: 7:45 p.m. Here's commenter Tom:

Just talked to BGE - they said the emergency event ended around 7pm but it takes 30-45min to turn everyone's AC back on. Mine is still off but they said it should magically turn on in the next 15 minutes. So far, nothing. If you want to talk to someone, call their outage line and select the "gas leak" option. They will patch you right through.

UPDATE: 5 p.m. It is now "late afternoon." Let us know when your units come back on, you 100 percenters.

I'm all for BGE's Peak Rewards program in principle. It's a great way to incentivize people to cut their expensive energy use on days like today. I'm a Peak Rewards participant at the "50 percent" level. The program lets BGE turn off your air conditioner for a time on really hot days. About 450,000 BGE customers participate in Peak Rewards, BGE says.

But today's implementation of Peak Rewards may catch some participants off guard. BGE announced that folks who signed up for the "100 percent" Peak Rewards deal will have their AC turned off from 11:30 this morning "until at least late afternoon."

UPDATE: BGE spokeswoman Linda Foy says 350,000 of the 450,000 Peak Rewards members agreed to have their AC switched off. (The others have switches on their water heaters, not their air conditioners.) Of those, she says, 72,000 chose 100 percent cycling.

This if from BGE's announcement:

Those on the air conditioning program will have their units’ compressors cycled at the level in which they enrolled, 50, 75 or 100 percent . Those who selected 100 percent cycling for the maximum bill credits will have their compressors off for the entire extreme event. This event began at approximately 11:30 this morning and is expected to continue until at least late afternoon.

That doesn't sound very safe. I know the idea is that people who signed up for 100 percent cycling would typically be those who leave their home empty during the day. But odds are that some of the houses with AC being shut off at 100 percent have people in them.

Here is how BGE describes the cycling on its Web site:

Cycling: Cycling refers to the amount of time each hour that your air conditioning (A/C) compressor is switched off and on during a PeakRewards℠ event. For example:

If your Compressor normally runs for 40 minutes (two 20-minute periods) each hour and you sign up for 50% Cycling, your Compressor would only run for 20 minutes (two 10-minute periods) during each hour of the event.

If your Compressor normally runs for 40 minutes (two 20-minute periods) each hour and you sign up for 75% Cycling, your Compressor would only run for 10 minutes (two 5-minute periods) during each hour of the event.

If your Compressor normally runs for 40 minutes (two 20-minute periods) each hour and you sign up for 100% Cycling, your Compressor would not run at all during the event.

I bet there are folks out there who did not expect an "event" to last five hours or more.

UPDATE: I asked Foy whether BGE believes some of its customers were prepared for a cycling event of multiple hours. Her response:

Peak Rewards is a voluntary program and is clearly explained to customers before and after enrollment. Also keep in mind, participating customers are receiving bill credits of up to $200 in the first year of participation and up to $100 dollars every year thereafter – regardless of whether the program is activated. Also remember, even when the program is activated, the a/c fan will still run and customers can use ceiling fans and other means to stay comfortable. Customers with concerns about the program can certainly call us.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:35 PM | | Comments (224)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

July 21, 2011

OPC: Constellation deal could raise electric prices

The Maryland Office of People's Counsel, which represents consumers in utility matters, has protested before federal regulators against Exelon's proposed buyout of Constellation Energy. The deal would give the combined companies too much concentrated ownership on the PJM grid that serves much of the mid-Atlantic coast, including Maryland, according to an expert hired by OPC, potentially giving them the ability to raise prices and boost profits.

Exelon and Constellation already realize that an unmodified merger would give federal antitrust authorities reason to oppose it. So their deal includes divestiture of three Maryland generation plants formerly owned by BGE. (C.V. C.P. Crane, Brandon Shores, H.A. CraneWagner.) That's not good enough, says the study commissioned by OPC and the Pennsylvania Office of Consumer Advocate. Even with those divestitures, the combined Exelon-Constellation would have too much power over wholesale electricity markets. Here's the gist:

[The meger] could leave a dominant firm in the generation market (with market share on the order of 20 percent, post-mitigation) and would not address Applicants’ ability to profitably raise electricity market prices. Since all generating units selected for dispatch in PJM receive the market clearing price, the units that can set the price are important. If market prices can be manipulated—by strategic bidding, retirements, withholding, or other means—the Applicants would be in a position to affect prices and collect higher infra-marginal revenues.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:14 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

June 12, 2011

Will fine against electricity seller end industry lies?

Doubt it. But it's good to see that the Public Service Commission dinged North American Power for telling blatant falsehoods about how much money BGE customers could save by switching from BGE's standard power package to North American's. A woman from North American who called me at home a few months ago said I could save up to 20 percent when the savings were nothing of the kind. Here's the column I wrote about it.

North American got fined $100,000, which is a decent hit for the small but rapidly growing outfit. Here is Hanah Cho's story on the fine. From the PSC's news release:

In response to a Complaint filed by Commission Staff, and after evidentiary hearings, the Commission found that: (1) four deceptive statements were contained in placemat advertisements marketing NAP services, which were placed at certain diners by four NAP representatives (e.g., claiming that there is “no contract to sign” and that “customers can ‘save up to 20%’”); (2) NAP falsely stated in its Terms and Conditions that they had been approved by the Commission; and (3) NAP failed to provide a complete and accurate price description in its Terms and Conditions, along with the Commission’s toll-free number and Internet address for complaints, as required.

Here is the statement put out by the company:

"We are so pleased to have resolved this issue to the satisfaction of the Commission and to our internal standards of doing business. While the fine is significant, we are grateful to the PSC Staff for bringing our attention to these matters and for acknowledging that this was not intentional-it was the result of an early stage company experiencing rapid growth. This process has caused us to re-examine our practices and hire some of the best compliance and energy experts in the business - we are a better company because of it."

They're probably not THAT grateful. Now let's see if they and others can clean up their act. When BGE's expensive electricity-supply agreements finally disappear in October and BGE's standard price falls again, the third-party marketers will have a hard time delivering any savings. That would pressure salesfolks to enhance reality again.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:03 PM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

June 10, 2011

Outages inspire generator sales -- from BGE Home!

So I'm eating dinner at about 8:00 last night, going through the mail. There's a cardboard flyer from BGE Home for standby electric generators. "When the lights go out... You won't have to!"
"Be prepared to handle any power outage with a standby generator from BGE HOME."

On cue, thunder rolls and the lights start flickering. Fortunately we kept our power, but more than 50,000 other area households didn't. Of course the power is delivered by BGE, which, as the companies keep taking pains to point out, is not the same company as BGE Home. (But if they were that worried about people mistaking one for the other they could change BGE Home's name.) BGE Home is an unregulated company owned by Constellation Energy, which is also BGE's parent. BGE Home is in the electric/gas appliance and maintenance biz.

But they're both owned by the same parent. Could the repeated BGE outages be an evil plot to spur generator sales from BGE Home? Not really. The BGE outages occur because the company hasn't hardened its system enough to withstand storms. The money it saves from not burying lines etc. is a lot more than anything from generator sales. (I'm not saying they need to get to zero outages, but BGE's and Pepco's records the past two years have been pretty poor.)

This morning, waiting to go on WBAL with Bill Vanko, I heard a backup generator commercial from some other company.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:04 AM | | Comments (11)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

June 6, 2011

BGE on installing smart meters: Not for faint of heart

Here's Rich Walker, BGE's director of IT transformation, talking to Intelligent Utility. Obviously installing more than 1 million smart meters won't be a cakewalk, but Walker is a bit more candid in this interview than I would have expected.

As I've said, smart meters aren't the evil instruments of Big Brother that many believe them to be. Nevertheless, BGE customers to some degree will be experiment subjects for smart meters. The "lessons learned" that BGE will take away from the installation and teach to other utilities will be learned to a large degree at the risk of the BGE customer. HT Carol for the link.

Of the near-simultaneous implementation of multiple new systems, Walker said: "I wouldn't recommend this for the faint of heart." Intelligent Utililty:

BG&E has begun its ambitious implementation schedule, partially driven by the requirements of its federal grant, which accelerates this fall and is scheduled to end in 2014.

Among the lessons learned, Walker said, many will resonate with other utilities. Those lessons involved complexity, integration, resources and organizational change.

"You cannot underestimate the complexity of replacing the heart of your utility systems," Walker said. "If you're approaching the replacement of three systems, you need to closely consider your timeline and budget."

The integration challenge can be tackled in-house, but you'll need "a small army," Walker said. Better to see what options the market can offer.

Resources and expertise in the marketplace "go hand in hand," Walker said. "There aren't that many experts in the marketplace who can do this work, so you need to form alliances with your integrator and vendor."

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:26 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

May 27, 2011

Owners send stinging rebuke to Constellation, board

Let us remember that Mayo Shattuck does not own Constellation Energy. Neither does the board of directors. They work for the shareholders, many of whom live in Baltimore. Shattuck and the board direct the affairs of the company in strict and solemn trust for the owners, who by nature of their numbers and diversity cannot exert control themselves.

And the owners have just expressed deep displeasure with their fiduciaries and employees. Constellation badly flunked the "say on pay" test that most companies must take starting this year. More than 60 percent voted down Constellation's pay scheme, which nets Shattuck $10 million a year or so plus an enormous pension that he'll cash in a lump some when he leaves the company.

If you believe in property rights, which are the soul of capitalism, you have to hope this is a major embarrassment for the company. It's the equivalent of a really poor employee performance review.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:46 PM | | Comments (7)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

May 26, 2011

BGE: Baltimore City exaggerated our bills

Sunday's column was about Baltimore's desire to save money and conserve energy by installing light-emitting diodes in its streetlamps and what looks like Baltimore Gas & Electric's attempt to block it on spurious grounds of safety. The column quoted Jamie Kendrick, the city's deputy director of transportation, as saying the city pays BGE $20 million a year total for streetlights and $12 million for maintenance.

The city wants to cut maintenance costs by changing its own bulbs -- needed far less often with LEDs -- and doing other routine maintenance. BGE says that that's too dangerous and that only BGE can do the work unless the city puts in expensive circuit breakers that Baltimore says are a dealbreaker.

BGE disputes the city's cost figures but didn't get back to me on them until after the column was published. Here's part of the reponse from BGE senior vice president Jeannette Mills (I'll publish the whole thing after the jump):

Published reports indicate the city pays BGE $20 million annually for streetlights, of which $12 million is in maintenance fees. This is absolutely incorrect. The City’s total annual BGE bill for streetlights is half that number, and only includes $1.4 in maintenance costs for those 43,000 streetlights.

No way, says the city, although now it says the $20 million annual streetlight bill includes money paid to Pepco, not BGE. But it says it stands by the $12 million paid to BGE for streetlight maintenance, which "includes on-demand maintenance, inspection, cleaning, renewal fees and $6.6 million in equipment rental fees," according to a prepared statement from DOT spokeswoman Adrienne Barnes. "This equipment rental fee, which according to the tariff primarily pays for the maintenance of BGE owned fixtures."

Part of this is an argument about defining maintenance. Equipment leasing isn't maintenance, says BGE spokesman Rob Gould, and he's right. Part of the argument may be about whether you're talking about costs for all 70,000 of the city's streetlights or just the 43,000 that the city owns. City officials talk about eventually installing LEDs in all 70,000 lights, even the ones owned by BGE.

In any case the larger question remains: How come BGE won't let Baltimore maintain its own streetlights without the expensive circuit breakers when other cities are already doing it?

Here is the response from BGE's Jeannette Mills:

In response to your column of May 22, BGE would like to set the record straight. BGE is committed to helping all of our customers — large and small — reduce energy usage and lower their energy bills. In fact, BGE has been a steadfast partner with the City of Baltimore in helping it and its citizens accomplish both. More recently, BGE has been working with the City and the Maryland Public Service Commission (PSC) to identify ways the City can reduce its energy bill


Continue reading "BGE: Baltimore City exaggerated our bills" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:02 AM | | Comments (4)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

May 23, 2011

BGE blocks Baltimore green energy project

Sunday's column was about what looks like an attempt by Baltimore Gas & Electric to impede on a pretense Baltimore's plan to install street lamps powered by light-emitting diodes, which would involve lots of energy savings and also the loss of maintenance revenue for BGE. For the project to work the city says it has to change the new lightbulbs itself.

For that to happen BGE insists on installing "upstream" circuit breakers for safety reasons. Otherwise city maintenance workers would be at risk, it says. The city says that's "impractical" and would make the plan pointless. And the city has a great argument: Bowie has been changing its (conventional) street lamps for years with its own workers in just the way that Baltimore wants to do with ITS workers. With no problems.

Below is the letter from Bowie Public Works Director James Henrikson to the PSC. He calls the upstream disconnects "redundant" and "unnecessary." BGE made Bowie put them in. But Bowie doesn't use them for changing bulbs. bowiestreetlights.jpg

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:52 AM | | Comments (4)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

May 9, 2011

Smart meters = water fluoridation?

There are reasons to go slow on smart, computerized meters. But suggestions that they cause heart attacks or cancer or will read your mind are not among them. The more the smart-meter opposition resembles the anti-fluoride paranoids of the 1960s or whenever, the less credible it becomes. From comments:

I spoke with a previously healthy 30-something man this weekend who has developed heart attack symptoms 3X (3 costly ER trips) from the smart meter on his home. When the smart meter was removed, these ceased. However, now the neighbors' meters are bothering him and he is having to flee his home and try to find a place with no smart meters. Is this America or the old Soviet Union or Nazi Germany?
Posted by Jay Hancock at 12:52 PM | | Comments (9)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Not an encouraging safety report on Exelon

From the NYT:

The plant’s owner, the Exelon Corporation, had long known that corrosion was thinning most of these pipes. But rather than fix them, it repeatedly lowered the minimum thickness it deemed safe. By the time the pipe broke, Exelon had declared that pipe walls just three-hundredths of an inch thick — less than one-tenth the original minimum thickness — would be good enough.

Though no radioactive material was released, safety experts say that if enough pipes had ruptured during a reactor accident, the result could easily have been a nuclear catastrophe at a plant just 100 miles west of Chicago.

Exelon has agreed to buy Constellation Energy, BGE and the nuclear reactors at Calvert Cliffs.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:14 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

May 5, 2011

California heat cooked smart meters, customer bills

Maryland is pressing ahead with smart, computerized meters. It would have been better if we had held back and let others make the mistakes that happen for all early adopters. It seems that hundreds of PG&E's smart meters in California got roasted by the heat and calculated that customers used more electricity than they really did.

This from the ABC TV station in San Francisco:

SAN FRANCISCO (KGO) -- PG&E will issue some customers refunds after the utility discovered a rare SmartMeter defect.

The meters, supplied by Landis+Gyr, occasionally run fast when experiencing a narrow band of high temperatures, resulting in a miscalculation of energy bills. The error affects fewer than 1,600 of the two million meters Landis+Gyr supplied to PG&E.

The meters will be replaced at no cost to customers. The utility will issue full refunds to customers who received inaccurate bills. The average refund will be about $40 per customer. PG&E will also issue a $25 credit for customer inconvenience and offer a free in-home energy audit to affected customers.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:04 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

May 4, 2011

Exelon hasn't set pay for Constellation's Shattuck

When Black & Decker's Nolan Archibald agreed to sell the company in 2009 and become executive chairman of the combined Stanley Black & Decker, he had already negotiated the terms of his new employment in fabulous detail. Archibald will make dozens of millions of dollars in "cost synergy bonus" depending on how well and how much he cuts costs at the merged company. The Archibald deal was agreed to and announced at the same time as the merger itself.

Constellation Energy's Mayo Shattuck is making a similar move in that company's buyout by Exelon Corp. He'll become executive chairman of the combined company, according to the announcement, keeping his family in Maryland but traveling a lot to Exelon's headquarters in Chicago. As we reported, Shattuck isn't getting any change-of-control loot from the Exelon merger beyond accelerations of options and so forth -- about $20 million.

So what deal did he negotiate with Exelon? What's he going to make in his new position? Why didn't they announce his terms as Black & Decker did with Archibald in the Stanley buyout?
Because he hasn't negotiated them yet, the company says.

Shattuck's "post-merger compensation has not yet been established and is not part of the merger agreement," Constellation spokesman Larry McDonnell said in response to my query.

My take: There are two possible reasons for Shattuck not to have nailed down the terms of his new job. 1) It might incite negative public opinion as the companies try to get approval for the merger. 2) Shattuck may already be thinking about moving on, perhaps to Wall Street. If the merger goes through next year, I wouldn't expect him to stick around very long at Exelon.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 5:05 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

May 3, 2011

Washington Gas offers green promo

Recently I wondered out loud how indepedent electricity marketers such as Washington Gas Energy Services would attract customers now that BGE has just about used up all the expensive electricity it bought before energy prices crashed. While BGE was locked in with the old prices it was easy for third parties to undercut it. That's why tens of thousands of households have switched to independent suppliers. You could save $10 or $15 a month depending on your use.

Now, however, it may be more difficult for the independents to beat BGE's standard price, which will be below 9 cents in the fall. WGES's "Get Green For Free" promotion, which ends May 6, is one way to market a product not strictly based on price. If you pay for half your power to be generated by wind (based on WGES buying energy credits from wind farms), WGES says it'll throw in the other 50 percent for free, so you'll be 100 percent wind. It's part price promotion, part ecology.

So based on this promotion the one-year, 100-percent wind deal from WGES is 9.9 cents per kilowatt hour. The same deal from Constellation Electric, according the the always indispensible Office of People's Counsel price comparison chart, is 10.39 cents/kwh.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 5:54 PM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

April 28, 2011

Liveblogging the Constellation-Exelon conference call

11:00: Analyst: Are there change in control agreements furnishing merger bonsues to Constellation execs? Shattuck: There are no change in control agreements and no employment contracts.

10:50: Analyst: Who will be in charge of the combined company? Shattuck will be "executive chairman" and Chris Crane will be CEO. Who's the boss?
Shattuck: "I can answer that. Chris is in charge. He's the CEO, and I'm going to help him any way I can."

10:47: Several questions about Constellation's joint nuclear venture with the French EDF Group. Execs said several times there are no plans to change that.

10:43: Rowe: "We think long-run value lies in being greener and cleaner."
Shattuck: "More diversification among the regulated territories is nice... I think that's a plus for us." -- referring to the combined company having regulated utilities in Illinois and Pennsylvania, not just BGE in Maryland.
Shattuck: "Each of us coveted what the other had" -- Constellation was trying to add generation, Exelon was interested in Constellation's energy marketing.

10:35: Analysts are concerned about whether the Maryland PSC will approve the deal, given how it dragged its feet on Shattuck's attempt to merge with FPL in 2006. Analyst says to Shattuck: "The history there, particularly for your company, has been a challenged one."
Shattuck responds by saying it's a different environment, with a stable commission and falling BGE prices, in contrast to the spike in BGE prices in 2006.

Shattuck: "We have had now a sitting commission for five years. Across the board we felt like they have dealt with these cases to the letter of the law. Six years ago the status of that commission was less stable. We're also dealing with an environment that is substanatially different," not least because BGE prices are going down.
Shattuck says he thinks the package of benefits, including the $100 BGE rebate, will be attractive to Maryland officials.
In Maryland, he said, "they care about renewables. They care about efficiency projects. They care about electric vehicle infrastructure" and programs for low-income customers. "The combination of these things is meant to respond to five years worth of observations here, and I think what we've done is hopefully doing to be well received."

10:23: Chris Crane, Exelon president: Corporate consolidation will lead to an annual reduction in costs of $260 million per year.

10:18: Shattuck: To satisfy the antitrust cops, the companies expect to have to sell off 2,600 megawatts worth of generation plants within the PJM, midatlantic grid.

10:15: Constellation Chairman & CEO Shattuck:
Refers to "the benefits of this transaction to Constellation shareholders and to Maryland."
Shattuck: "We are maintining a significant employee and headquarters presence here in Baltimore."
For BGE employees: "No involuntary merger related job reductions" within two years after deal closes.

10:10: Rowe: "We believe the transaction can be executed. We expect to close in early 2012."

10:08: John Rowe, Exelon CEO and Chairman, belabors the benefits for Exelon shareholders. "The combination gives us the scope and scale we want.... It's not just about bigger. It's about a sustainable platform for smarter growth." Reduces collateral requirements for both companies moreso than either company could do on its own.

Rowe is quick to bat down speculation that the Constellation acquisition will revive the Calvert Cliffs 3 nuclear reactor project that Constellation abandoned last year.

"That is simply not the case," he says. "At today's gas prices you can't build a new nuclear plant in a competitive marketplace." (Cheap natural gas, he's saying, makes new nuclear uncomptitive.)

9:55: They're not letting reporters ask questions: "Media representatives are invited to participate on a listen-only basis."


Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:54 AM | | Comments (9)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

'Benefits' for Maryland, including $100 BGE rebate

Constellation's board is selling one of Maryland's heritage companies to Chicago-based Exelon, so it is quite sensitive about trying to show how this is a great development for Baltimore. It's not a great development for Baltimore. However the merger announcement includes several paragraphs on purported upsides for Maryland, including a $100 rebate for each residential BGE customer.

The combined company would commit to $10 million in charitable giving in Maryland for a decade after the merger. It would spend $50 million to build 25 megawatts of renewable electricity generation in the state and $10 million on developing Maryland electric-vehicle infrastructure. The news release says "the growth engine of the combined company will be headquartered in Baltimore," meaning Exelon's power marketing division will be combined with Constellation's and based here, and the companies' renewable energy operation will be based here. And: "To house the expanded Baltimore commercial and renewable energy headquarters, the new company intends to build or substantially renovate a state-of-the-art Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) office center in Baltimore."

Total benefits for Maryland, the companies claim, are $250 million. Despite all the talk about growth, however, Constellation may end up having fewer employees in Baltimore. Mergers like this make money for shareholders through efficiencies, and efficiencies usually include layoffs.

The Maryland Public Service Commission will almost certainly seek more than $100 from this for each BGE customer. And it's not at all clear that this deal, like previous Constellation or BGE combinations, won't founder on the shoals of PSC demands.

The bigwigs are having a conference all at 10, which I'll be liveblogging.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:06 AM | | Comments (12)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

April 27, 2011

Is Shattuck trying to sell Constellation -- again?

Mayo Shattuck was an investment banker before he was an electricity executive. I always figured he would sell Constellation Energy, parent of Baltimore Gas & Electric, before he was through with it. In 2006 he was trying to seal a deal to sell Constellation to Florida-based FPL Group, but it petered out amid that year's brouhaha over BGE's 72 percent rate increase.

Now he may be at it again. There is been building speculation in recent weeks that Constellation, whose stock price had lagged since its near-bankruptcy during the 2008 financial crisis, would seek a deal with another big energy company. Several news outlets are reporting tonight that the company is close to an agreement with Chicago-based Exelon. This from Bloomberg:

Exelon Corp. (EXC) is near an agreement to buy Constellation Energy Group Inc. (CEG) in a stock deal that values the company at about $7.7 billion, according to a person with knowledge of the matter.

The offer values Constellation at more than $38.50 a share based on Exelon’s closing stock price today, said the person, who declined to be identified because the talks are private.

In the plan under discussion, Constellation Chief Executive Officer Mayo Shattuck would become chairman of the combined company, and Chris Crane, currently the president of Exelon, would become chief executive officer, succeeding Rowe, the person said. The talks started last year, the person said.

Constellation is by far the largest Baltimore-based company, an outgrowth of BGE, which was the nation's first natural-gas utility in the 1800s. Unclear what exactly this deal might mean for Constellation and its Baltimore workforce, but it's probably not good. However much of the company's employment is tied to BGE, the local utility, and can't be moved or downsized.

UPDATE: Here's a March 14 column: Stock price may push Shattuck to sell Constellation

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:49 PM | | Comments (10)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

April 22, 2011

Exec: BGE's price to fall again in October

Baltimore Gas & Electric is in the process of locking up the remainder of its juice for the fall, winter and spring. But the company has already bought most of the power and pretty much knows what it will cost. Mark Case, BGE's senior vice president for strategy and regulation, told me last week that the default BGE price (what you get if you don't switch to a different electricity supplier) will dip substantially starting Oct. 1.

BGE's standard price now until the end of May for power and transmission is 10.229 cents per kilowatt-hour. (You pay extra on top of that for BGE to deliver the electricity to your house.) Starting June 1 it'll be 9.960 cents. And after Oct. 1, says Case, "I think we'll see 9 cents or lower."

That would be the lowest price for BGE's standard offer since early 2006, before price caps associated with deregulation were removed. Compared with the present price it would save a typical household (1,000 kwh/month) more than $100 a year.

For alternatives to BGE's default fare, prices are already below 9 cents. As always check the Office of People's Counsel's Web site for a list of current deals and terms. Castlebridge Energy, for example, is offering one- and two-year deals for 8.95 cents. It may be more difficult for alternative suppliers to beat BGE's standard price after October. The period of declining electricity prices that began with the financial crisis may be coming to an end.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:08 AM | | Comments (11)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

April 19, 2011

Obama team backs power companies at high court

The Obama administration may eventually get something done about greenhouse gases via the Environmental Protection Agency or, if there is a second Obama term, Congress.

Meanwhile however it is fighting an ongoing attempt to allow states and activists to sue the likes of Constellation Energy and Exelon to reduce their CO2 output. Arguments are today at the Supreme Court. The case is American Electric Power Co. v. Connecticut. Constellation and Exelon are not parties but they would be affected if the high court were to allow such suits.

From the Christian Science Monitor:

Fed up with the slow pace of government efforts to address global warming, a group of conservationists and state attorneys general filed lawsuits in 2004 asking a federal judge to order five major US power companies to cap and then reduce their emissions of carbon dioxide.

Seven years later, the case arrives at the US Supreme Court, where the justices must decide whether concerned citizens and state officials have the legal power to force suspected polluters to cut their alleged level of pollution – though the federal government itself has not yet taken action on carbon emissions.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:00 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

April 15, 2011

Reader: Constellation Electric will negotiate rates

A reader who locked in with Constellation Electric a year ago at 9.7 cents kwh is being offered a one-year renewal at 9.49 cents per kilowatt hour. He called and told them he could get a deal from Castlebridge Energy for only 8.95 cents.

He says they agreed to lower the Constellation Electric price to 8.9 cents flat. The lesson: If you have a third-party electricity provider and it comes time for a contract rollover, always shop around. And Constellation Electric, at least, seems willing to negotiate.

Here are the reader's comments. You may also empathize with his feelings on having to shop and negotiate for everything these days.

I called Constellation and told them I wanted to terminate as of the end of my current contract. Of course they asked why, and I told them I had been offered a better deal from Castlebridge, which was listed at 8.95 cents on their web site as you indicated. But Constellation passed me on to a representative in their contracts department, who offered me 8.9 cents for one year if I would stay with them. I accepted, as it seemed the logical thing to do at that moment. You know, Jay, it really is not my preference that so many goods and services are now negotiated this way, like buying a car. I have done a similar thing several times now with Comcast for my TV and internet service, as many others have. It is a pain.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:37 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

April 14, 2011

Deposit letter gets BGE bad publicity

BGE told WBAL it changed how it notifies late-paying customers about security-deposit requirements. When you miss a few bills BGE can seek a deposit, which seems kind of perverse. As a credit-risk tool I wonder how effective it is. Seems like the time to seek a security deposit is when the customer is solvent, not when s/he's already missing payments.

BGE told WBAL it used to notify customers about the deposits by phone and bill messages, not by separate letters. Seems at least like the new method is getting people's attention. WBAL:

Harriet Sellman said she recently received a letter from BGE that made her angry and sick, saying she isn't sure how she is going to pay the extra money the company is asking for in the form of a security deposit.

"They decided we needed to pay a $532 security deposit which they estimate is two months of our estimated service costs," Sellman said. "I have been late. We're trying very hard to make do on one paycheck right now."

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:12 AM | | Comments (23)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

April 13, 2011

Obama's regulators move to keep electric costs high

Can't find any news organizations reporting this online, but industry types tell me the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has answered an emergency cri de coeur from Constellation Energy and other big power companies to raise the minimum offer price for generation capacity. It's complicated, but the upshot is that it will help keep your electric costs higher than they otherwise would have been. Here is the FERC decison.

UPDATE: Here's an account from Energy Choice Matters, with a good headline: FERC Orders Retail Customers in PJM to Pay $3 Billion More for Capacity

From a column a few weeks ago:

So you might wonder why two weeks ago power companies such as BGE parent Constellation Energy frantically urged Washington to slap price controls on electricity.

The answer is obvious only if you've been following the industry. Traditional controls, decreed by governments to try to protect consumers, keep prices low.

Electricity companies want regulators to keep prices high! Genius, from Constellation's point of view.

But these price controls are just as poisonous as the other kind. They'll block construction of badly needed power plants while forcing consumers to continue to pay billions of dollars extra for electricity.

Basically FERC just said "yes" to price controls to keep prices high.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:06 PM | | Comments (5)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

April 6, 2011

Environmentalists reply to Pipkin on offshore wind

The other day I posted objections to the offshore wind project from Sen. E.J. Pipkin. He wonders, among other things, why it doesn't have a requirement to put the windmills in Maryland waters, why the components aren't required to be made here etc.

Here's a response from the Chesapeake Climate Action Network. Communications Director Jamie Nolan says the response was put together with a coaltion of environmental and labor groups. I believe they are correct on cost overruns -- No. 6. However I assume developers will build lots of (internalized) overrun risk into their bids.

Responses to Senator Pipkin’s questions. Pipkin's questions are in bold. CCAN Response in lightface.

1. There is no requirement that the wind farm be located in Maryland.

Any project that would qualify under this bill would not be "in" Maryland or any state. It would be 10 miles offshore in federal waters, in a federally designated "Wind Energy Area". The two Wind Energy Areas that are close to Delmarva Peninsula load centers are referred to as the "Maryland" and "Delaware" areas, but these aren't official maritime boundaries. They are two parcels of federal waters, leased by DOI, separated by a shipping channel. Development of an offshore wind farm on either side of this shipping channel would result in similar jobs, environmental, health and rate stability benefits for Marylanders.

Maryland needs additional power on the Delmarva Peninsula, so this bill requires that an offshore wind farm reduce transmission congestion and increase reliability in this area. It's unrealistic to think that an offshore wind farm can achieve this far from major load centers like Ocean City and Salisbury because in this type of PPA, the developer has to cover the transmission costs. Any developer who entered a bid like this would be almost certainly disqualified because they would not be priced "comparable to other offshore wind projects.”

2. There is no requirement that the transmission lines from the wind farm come into Maryland.

Under this bill, an offshore wind farm has to reduce transmission congestion and increase reliability on the Delmarva Peninsula. The market and what interconnection point offered the


Continue reading "Environmentalists reply to Pipkin on offshore wind " »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:49 PM | | Comments (1)
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April 5, 2011

E.J. Pipkin's objections to offshore wind bill

Pipkin's office put out a list of what he calls "flaws with the proposal." The gloss on No. 1 is that there is no assurance that much of the electricity generated by the wind farm would be used by Marylanders even if the wind farm is located here. As for No. 5, perhaps the larger problem is that the $2 cap is $2 above what conventional power would cost -- a value that will very much depend on how the PSC projects the cost of conventional power.


1. There is no requirement that the wind farm be located in Maryland.
2. There is no requirement that the transmission lines from the wind farm come into Maryland.
3. There is no requirement that any of the components used in building the wind farm must be manufactured in Maryland.
4. There is no requirement that any jobs related to the wind farm be held by Maryland residents or taxpayers.
5. There is no cap on the amount of additional charges the utility can pass on to the consumer. The $2 figure contained in the proposed amendments to HB 1054 is a suggested upper limit on the amount of an estimated charge that a developer may use when estimating pricing in its project proposal. The proposal will be based on 2011 dollars but the actual price assessed against the ratepayer will be set in 2016 and will be based on the market prices at that time. The actual price will be subject to change in accordance with market rates for the entire 20 year duration of the contract.
6. There is no limit on the amount of cost overruns that the developer could pass on to the consumer. Although the Administration states that cost overruns and other types of cost components are “for the developers’ account”, the developer would be factoring in a margin for cost overruns in its proposal price and those would be passed on to consumers.
7. There are no constraints on the creditworthiness of the developer.
8. The Administration did not submit a “small business impact statement” as required. Therefore, the fiscal note does not address this issue at all except to say that a revised note would be produced when the statement is received. All estimates that have been published so far have only addressed the impact on residential ratepayers. There have been no projections on the extra cost to hospitals, local governments, colleges and businesses.

More to follow as the committee continues to meet on the bill.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:50 AM | | Comments (2)
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March 31, 2011

Offshore wind radio discussions

Starting at 1:35 pm today I'll be on the C4 show on WBAL talking about Gov. O'Malley's offshore wind proposal. At 5 pm on WEAA Environment Maryland's Brad Heavner and I will be discussing the same topic with host Marc Steiner.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:26 PM | | Comments (0)
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Gov. O'Malley: Offshore wind will offer stable prices

The governor defends his offshore wind proposal and responds to this column against offshore wind. O'Malley:

I realize many, including The Sun's Jay Hancock, have raised concerns about the cost of the project ("Stop O'Malley's offshore wind folly now, not later," March 27). It is important to remember that the price of electricity from wind will not fluctuate. When the Public Service Commission approves the contract, we will know how much we will be paying for 2.5 percent of our State's energy load for the next 20-25 years, a claim we can't make about the other 97.5 percent of our energy needs.

Yeah, we know how much that portion of the state's energy load will cost. A lot.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 12:30 PM | | Comments (3)
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Hanke: Mandel panel could've nixed offshore wind

I knew Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins, was on staff at (Republican) President Reagan's Council of Economic Advisors in the early 1980s. What I didn't know is that he was part of a similar CEA under (Democrat) Gov. Marvin Mandel in the 1970s. It was "an analytical shop," Hanke recalls, designed to analyze policy and forecast revenue through an economic filter.

"There's no question about it; it was a tremendous help to have it," Mandel, who'll turn 91 next month, said in an interview.

Mandel, co-chairman of Maryland Business for Responsive Government, thinks Gov. Martin O'Malley should revive the council to save the state from economic miscues. A good example, Hanke says and I agree, is O'Malley's multibillion-dollar proposal to build electricity-powering windmills of Maryland's coast. An even cursory analysis from within the governor's office might have kept the project from being proposed and might have identified more affordable alternatives.

On the other hand, I believe chief executives in all types of organizations usually do what they they think will sell to key constituencies and then cobble up the "analysis" ex post facto. Nevertheless, says Hanke: "While a governor's CEA couldn't stop all the nutty proposals, it stopped quite a few of them. This was the same experience I had on Reagan's CEA."

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:01 AM | | Comments (2)
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March 30, 2011

Buffett aide who bailed out Constellation resigns

David Sokol, the chief of MidAmerican Energy who saved Constellation Energy from bankruptcy in the thick of the 2008 financial crisis, has abruptly resigned from Berkshire Hathaway, MidAmerican's owner. Sokol was the guy who negotiated with Constellation boss Mayo Shattuck and extracted a huge ransom from Constellation shareholders for the rescue.

Andrew Ross Sorkin reports some stock transactions by Sokol that might be perceived as front-running Berkshire shareholders. Berkshire recently announced it would buy Lubrizol, and Sokol had been buying Lubrizol stock earlier. Sorkin:

Mr. Sokol purchased 2,300 shares of Lubrizol on Dec. 14, which he then sold on Dec. 21, according to Mr. Buffett. On Jan, 5, 6 and 7, Mr. Sokol bought 96,060 shares “pursuant to a 100,000-share order he had placed with a $104 per share limit price,” Mr. Buffett’s statement said.

Here is an excerpt from a good Fortune profile of Sokol after his staredown with Shattuck:

Sokol phoned the office of Constellation CEO Mayo Shattuck III, who was in an emergency board meeting. When his assistant answered, Sokol told her he'd like to speak to him. The secretary replied that if she interrupted the meeting, she might lose her job. Sokol replied, "If you don't interrupt the meeting, you might lose your job."

Sokol boarded a Falcon 50EX and sped to Baltimore. He met with Shattuck and struck a deal that evening to buy the company for $4.7 billion, staving off bankruptcy.



Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:44 PM | | Comments (2)
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New wind compromise: Extend ratepayer cap

Julie Bykowicz blogs that Gov. O'Malley has modified his proposal to build offshore wind generators again. Initially he would have capped extra payments for residential utility customers at $2 a month -- but only for a year. Now would cap the monthly payment at $2 -- indexed for inflation, which means it could rise over time -- for the life of the 25-year contract.

Since many credible studies suggest that the cost to build and run these things would be much more than $2 a month on the residential side, you wonder how the costs would be recovered under the new plan if they break the budget.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 12:13 PM | | Comments (1)
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How dumb is offshore wind? Readers weigh in

Lots of response to Sunday's column, Stop O'Malley's Offshore Wind Folly. Most commenters agreed with the column that offshore wind is a dumb idea for Maryland. A sampling:

I just re-read Sunday's column and I disagree with your premise that wind farms are too costly for Maryland. As many have noted that if you wait until the right time to have a child, you will never be a parent, I posit that if you wait until alternative energy is cost effective to create, we will never get it. I, too am appalled by the cost of energy in Maryland however your argument that natural gas prices have plunged and are expected to stay low is a statement that is just as airy as saying that there will be cost overruns and wind farms will end up costing much much more than the numbers being presented to the state government. If government will not invest, then I doubt the private sector will either and even if we don't run out of natural gas or oil in my lifetime, we will run out eventually.

And:

I thought you leftists loved the wind!! Tell the people in Western Maryland that they should stop mining that poisonous coal before global warming overtakes the state. Did you turn your lights off for an hour last Saturday night?

And:

I read your column and can't wait for your next____

"What to do when there is no more natural gas?"

And:

From what I see is that the politicians are only looking at the cost to provide the wind turbines. Ignored are the costs of transmission lines and on-shore facilities.

Wind turbines provide energy that vary with wind conditions. An on-shore facility would be needed to address those variations. Quite possibly, the on-shore facility would include a conventional power plant to address the energy valleys of the wind turbines.

Combined with expected legal fees, the cost to provide a total wind turbine solution appears to be quite exorbitant and the solution probably would fail to meet the energy relief anticipated.

And:

Continue reading "How dumb is offshore wind? Readers weigh in" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (7)
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March 28, 2011

Pipkin: Offshore wind is a tax on Marylanders

Sunday's column criticized Gov. Martin O'Malley's proposal to build a grandiose set of offshore wind generators. Eastern Shore Republican delegate E.J. Pipkin, who has long been vocal on Maryland energy issues, says offshore wind is a multibillion-dollar "tax" on Marylanders. (It's not really a tax, but it would act like one.)

In an interview with MarylandReporter.com, Pipkin says, "Only a very narrow group of developers are going to be able to get the real benefits from this." The projects "is extremely costly to consumers," he says, "an aggressive project of 120-plus windmills off the coast of Ocean City.... It's hard to get away from that."

People argue about the ultimate cost, Pipkin says, but whatever the number "it's still multibillion dollars in additional tax."

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:28 AM | | Comments (4)
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March 25, 2011

Want BGE to disclose your electric info? It might.

The Maryland Office of People's Counsel opposes legislation being considered in Annapolis that would require BGE and other utilities to disclose your name, address, utility account number and information on a year's worth of gas and electricity use to third-party power suppliers.

The retail suppliers who compete with BGE's standard electricity and gas products say the information would help competition by letting them tailor deals to customers' specific needs. But People's Counsel Paula Carmody says BGE should be allowed to give out your electricity profile only if you expressly agree to it. And the legislation doesn't contain that safeguard. Rather, BGE gives you written notice that they'll disclose your info unless you object. If they don't hear back from you within 45 days -- even if you just ignore them -- it's open season on your information.

The coming of computerized "smart" meters, Carmody says, may increase the amount of information that might be available -- your daily electricity use and maybe even which appliances you use on which days.

BGE supports the bill, according to Electric Utility Week. But Pepco supports the bill only if it's changed to require customers to affirmatively agree to information disclosure -- and "opt-in" provision rather than the "opt-out" design now contemplated, EUW reports.

I probably don't get as excited about privacy issues as I should. Red light cameras? (I'm a frequent customer.) Fine. Direct Energy knows I set my thermostat on 67 in the winter? What's the big deal?

However I'm sure others feel differently. This legislation is moving through the assembly pretty quickly, so if you object you ought to tell your delegate and senator now.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:02 AM | | Comments (3)
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March 23, 2011

O'Malley's offshore wind bill hits turbulence

Good midcourse handicapping on the offshore wind legislation by the Daily Record's Nicholas Sohr. I haven't looked at them closely, but Mac Middleton and Dereck Davis are right to question the bills, which seem rushed. Sohr reports:

“I have real concerns about [the bill] right now,” said Sen. Thomas M. “Mac” Middleton, D-Charles, chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, through which the governor’s bill must pass if it is to get a vote in the full chamber.

Middleton said worries about the cost have generated interest in watering down the legislation, SB 881 and HB 1054, to study the issue over the summer.

And:

“I think there’s a reluctance to do anything that raises electric bills any amount,” said Del. Dereck E. Davis, chairman of the House Economic Matters Committee. “Even if you’re on the low end of the range, I think that’s something that folks have reservations about.”

The Sun's Annie Linskey reports:

But Middleton said the bulk of the opposition is centered on the costs to ratepayers. After facing tough elections and angry votes last November, many senators and delegates are particularly sensitive to pocketbook issues.

House Speaker Micheal E. Busch did not sound as rushed. "It is a distance run, not a sprint," he said. Complicated legislation, like the wind bill, can benefit from "thorough dissection," he said.

"Sometimes it takes more than one session," Busch said.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:59 AM | | Comments (2)
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March 14, 2011

Should you take BGE Home's natural gas deal?

Thanks to the alert readers relaying news of BGE Home's offer of a one-year natural gas contract at 67.8 cents per therm. Is it a good deal?, they want to know.

It's certainly one of the lowest fixed-price gas contracts in years. The cost of natural gas has plunged in recent years because the bum economy reduced global demand and because newly available shale gas has increased the U.S. supply. Take a look at BGE's commodity gas price in recent years. In January 2011 it was 63.04 cents per therm. In January 2010 it was 72.59 cents. In January 2009 it was $1.0371, and at one point in 2008 it hit $1.5763.

These fixed-price offers from BGE Home, Washington Gas Energy Services and others are alternatives to the standard offer from BGE. (Don't confuse BGE with BGE Home. Yes, everybody does.) The standard BGE natural gas product floats from month to month depending on the spot market and on what BGE paid the summer before for stored gas.

I'll lay out the pros and cons of the BGE Home deal.

Pro: Although 67.8 cents per therm is about 10 percent higher than the standard BGE price for this winter and could well be higher than BGE's standard price for next winter, standard prices are not likely to fall much farther. By locking in for a year you'd miss out on potential savings of

Continue reading "Should you take BGE Home's natural gas deal?" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:01 AM | | Comments (4)
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March 13, 2011

BGE underbills me by $38

I thought my latest BGE bill looked too low -- $128.84 including gas and electric for a cold, windy, miserable month. Turns out BGE didn't charge me for the 430 kwh of electricity I burned in February. I paid $20 for BGE to deliver the juice and for all the electricity nuisance charges. But for the power itself, says the fine print on the bill, "Current electric supplier charges not available for this billing period."

I don't mind! But I bet Castlebridge Energy, my supplier, wants the money. $38.49 at my price of 8.95 cents per kwh.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:36 PM | | Comments (2)
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February 15, 2011

Exelon ties may tilt Obama team toward electric firms

Today's column is about the lamentations rising from the energy industry over New Jersey's plan to lower electricity prices and retake control of its energy future. Republican(!) N.J. Gov. Chris Christie just signed a bill that would require utilities to buy power from a specified price from newly constructed generation plants. Contract in hand, the plant developers can get financing and build the facilities.

New Jersey gets a twofer: 1) New, cleaner generation capacity to run its future economy. 2) Capacity that can be offered into the PJM capacity auction and bring down sky-high prices for reserving future generation time -- thus saving New Jerseyans money. Maryland is contemplating a similar course, although it might not happen for a year.

BGE owner Constellation Energy and other power companies are outraged that the PJM auction rules, which have enriched them for years, could be used to save consumers money. So they're petitioning the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission to get them changed, to raise the minimum price for generation capacity. Unfortunately, they have a good chance of winning. FERC seems just as clueless and intransigent under Obama as it was under Bush, possibly because of the large debt that Obama owes Chicago-based Exelon, one of the biggest U.S. generation companies.

Here's a January 2008 Hancock column:

Pay no attention to whether Sen. Barack Obama's ties to Exelon Corp. might make him sympathetic to storing nuclear waste in Nevada. That argument, aired before that state's Democratic caucuses last week, is a sideshow.

A bigger question is how Obama's Exelon links might influence his broader electricity policy at the most critical period for U.S. electricity since the 1930s. Exelon, the Illinois version of Baltimore's Constellation Energy, is one of the country's biggest megawatt producers, the largest nuclear plant operator and a huge Obama backer through its executives and employees.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:57 AM | | Comments (2)
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February 14, 2011

Bill would tighten rules on electricity deals

The Feb. 6 column was about how independent electricity companies continue to spin fairy tales about how much money people are going to save by switching from BGE's standard offer. And they nail people with high early-termination fees buried in the fine print. There are at least a couple bills pending in Annapolis that would improve education and consumers and tighten up standards for the kilowatt sellers.

One bill would require the Public Service Commission to have a a portion of its Web site as a comparison-shopping portal for people contemplating switching electricity companies. It would list BGE's and Pepco's standard price to compare and all the competing prices. This is basically what the Office of People's Counsel does now.

A week ago Del. Al. Carr sent me a draft bill he said he would be introducing. I don't see it on the General Assembly's Web site yet, but here is the key language:

(2) A RESIDENTIAL SUPPLY CONTRACT MAY NOT CONTAIN AN AUTOMATIC RENEWAL CLAUSE. 7 (3) IF A RESIDENTIAL SUPPLY CONTRACT REQUIRES THE CUSTOMER TO PAY AN EARLY TERMINATION FEE OR PENALTY ON CANCELLATION OF THE CONTRACT, THE TERMINATION FEE OR PENALTY SHALL DECREASE BY AN EQUAL AMOUNT EACH MONTH SO THAT THE CUSTOMER OWES NO TERMINATION FEE OR PENALTY AT THE END OF THE CONTRACT. (4) AN ELECTRICITY SUPPLIER MAY NOT REFUSE TO PROVIDE 13 SERVICE TO A PERSON BECAUSE THE PERSON PREVIOUSLY CANCELED A 14 RESIDENTIAL SUPPLY CONTRACT.

The biggest item, from my point of view, is the one prohibiting automatic rollovers. It's a great idea -- this is where companies make a lot of their stupid money from consumers. People sign up for what's initially a good deal. They save money. But a year later, the contract automatically renews to a not-so-good deal. Suppliers are required to notify customers by mail of the new terms, but people don't pay attention.

We could call section 4 "the Hancock clause." When I terminated my 10.8-cent, 3-year deal from Washington Gas Energy Services, I tried to sign up with WGES for their new, cheaper deal. But they wouldn't let me, saying early-termination customers had to wait for a certain number of months to re-sign.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:44 AM | | Comments (1)
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January 27, 2011

BGE: Some could lack power until Sunday

Here is BGE's latest press release on restoring power. From now until Sunday is a long, long time with no lights and no heat.

Baltimore Gas and Electric Company Expects Electric Service to the Vast Majority of Remaining Customers Affected by this Week’s Snow Storm to be Restored by Late Saturday with some Scattered Outages Extending into Sunday

Service already restored to nearly 160,000 Customers – More Than 75 Percent of All Affected Customers

Customers advised to avoid downed wires and report them immediately at 1-877-778-2222


BALTIMORE, Jan. 27, 2011 – Baltimore Gas and Electric Company (BGE), today announced that electric service to the vast majority of remaining customers affected by this week’s snow storm should be restored by late Saturday with some scattered outages extending into Sunday. The utility has already restored electric service to nearly 160,000 customers – more than 75 percent of all affected customers. Wednesday’s heavy wet snow caused trees

Continue reading "BGE: Some could lack power until Sunday" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:06 PM | | Comments (6)
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January 18, 2011

What electricity re-regulation would look like

Today's column calls for Maryland to partially re-regulate electricity. Like "health-care reform," electricity re-regulation has a million different meanings. I'm suggesting re-regulation lite. Some have been calling for Maryland to seize generation plants by eminent domain and force them to adopt new pricing plans. That would be complicated, hugely expensive and reinforce Maryland's "People's Republic" reputation.

Instead, the state should look at forcing BGE and Pepco to buy electricity from a new gas-fired power plant. Although BGE/Pepco customers would pay for the plant's electricity, it would be built with private dollars. And the extra megawatts brought to the table would bring down PJM Interconnection's exorbitant "capacity" prices, for which everybody has to pay through the nose and which have given Maryland little in return. I love the idea, being floated in New Jersey and here, of bidding new plants' capacity at "zero" into PJM's capacity auction, thereby using PJM's own artificial rules against the incumbent power companies.

Competitive Power Ventures has been proposing a gas-fired plant in Charles County for some time now, with some interesting features. The CPV plant could be bid into the capacity auction at zero, which would bring down Maryland capacity prices. The extra supply of energy would also bring down the energy component of the PJM auction prices. CPV pledges to open its books and build the plant along the lines of the old, "cost-plus" deals under regulation.

The Public Service Commission has the power now to order BGE and Pepco to buy power from CPV or some other plant. Yes, the plant's capital costs would be built into BGE and Pepco prices. But CPV argues that it would actually save consumers money because of the effect on overall wholesale prices. That's something the PSC should verify, but it's an intriguing proposition. To ensure Maryland new electricity supplies and to start replacing the dirty coal plants now creating our megawatts, the deal may be worth doing even if it doesn't absolutely lower prices.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:33 AM | | Comments (4)
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January 17, 2011

The messed-up wholesale electricity market

Tomorrow's column calls on Maryland authorities to stop totally relying on the deregulated wholesale electricity markets and look closely at ordering BGE and other utilities to buy megawatts directly from private companies that will build new generation plants. We've been abused by deregulation for 10 years; it's time for the state to start determining its own fate. The column grew out of a symposium last week in Washington sponsored by the American Public Power Association, trade group for government-owned utilities, which has been very good about identifying and criticizing deregulation problems.

I kicked off the day by summarizing the woes of Maryland and BGE customers under deregulation. (As usual in these situations I got no compensation from APPA for the talk.) Here are my notes from the speech:

"Improving RTO markets." That’s an optimistic title for this symposium. I can’t tell you so much how to improve them, but I can tell you how screwed up they are from the perspective of Maryland.

For a decade Maryland residential and commercial ratepayers have been dealing with botched deregulation and a wholesale market that is sharply tilted in favor of incumbent generation companies and speculators. Between them deregulation and the flawed PJM market have cost Maryland tens of billions of dollars in excess electricity charges.

Like other states we had the Enron lobbyists, we had the blue-sky portrayals of falling prices and surging investments. But of all the states that deregulated, Maryland had about the lowest electricity prices. So it had the most to lose. My memory could be bad but I think BGE residential prices were about 7 cents/kWH, bundled.

We had a decent fleet of regulated coal and nuclear plants that were sold to Mirant, in the case of Pepco, and transferred at book value to an unregulated affiliate in the cast of BGE. Instantly Marylanders became much more exposed to the vagaries o the PJM wholesale market, subject to price caps that expired after a few years.


Continue reading "The messed-up wholesale electricity market" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:58 AM | | Comments (6)
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January 14, 2011

Will Maryland get a new nuclear plant?

More broadcast content. Maryland Public Television's Jeff Salkin and I talk about the failure of plans to start building another nuclear reactor at Calvert Cliffs.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:15 PM | | Comments (0)
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December 15, 2010

My new electricity provider -- with no early-exit fee

Faithful readers know I signed a three-year electricity deal with Washington Gas Energy Services at 10.8 cents per kilwatt hour a while back. Anybody in Maryland can now shop for electricity just as we all shopped for long-distance phone service in the 1990s. Since Baltimore Gas & Electric's default kilowatt price fell below 10.8 cents on Oct. 1 and offers from independent suppliers fell even further, I decided to pay an early-termination penalty to WGES and sign up with somebody else.

My new vendor: Castlebridge Energy. Price: 9.2 cents per kilowatt hour, which is among the lowest listed by the Maryland Office of People's Counsel, which is always a good shopping resource. (The OPC site also lists deals for wind energy.) Not only is the Castlebridge price good; there is no early-exit penalty if prices drop further and you want to switch to a new deal. You give them 60 days' notice and you're out. Most companies make you pay extra if you dump the contract before it officially expires.

(WGES has an even lower price -- 9.0 cents. And you can get 8.9 cents through some dealers. But WGES doesn't allow people like me who terminate existing contracts to immediately re-sign with them.)

The switching process so far has gone smoothly. WGES promptly took me off their customer list and charged the correct early-exit fee. I assume Castlebridge will be the vendor of record for the bill I get at the end of December. We use about 900 kwh a month, on average, so we'll spend about $170 less over the next year than if we had stuck with the 10.8-cent WGES deal. Of course, the $126 early-cancellation fee paid to WGES wipes out much of that savings. However the WGES deal didn't expire until mid-2012, so we'll go on saving during that year.

ALERT: If you switch to WGES, Castlebridge or another independent electricity supplier, that will NOT affect the Peak Rewards you get from BGE for allowing them to cycle your AC off and on in the summertime. You'll remain in the Peak Rewards program and continue to get rebates for cutting expensive electricity use. BGE is always your local utility no matter whom you buy your electric supply from, just as Verizon/Bell Atlantic was always your local phone company in the 1990s no matter whom your long-distance company was.
(This is the most frequently asked question of all FAQs on this blog.)

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (8)
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December 7, 2010

Cold weather to push up BGE natural gas prices

A cold weather forecast has pulled natural gas prices up from an eight-year low, Bloomberg reports. That will probably be reflected in BGE's residential natural gas price for January.

But while prices may have notched up, they're rising from really low levels. The recession and a worldwide natural-gas glut have depressed gas prices and profits. The default natural gas price for BGE customers this month (the floating price you get if you don't lock in with another supplier) is 63.71 cents per therm, the lowest price for December since at least 2003.

The best one-year fixed price from competitive suppliers listed on the Office of People's Counsel Web site (look on the mid-right side of the page; click on "Natural Gas Retail Supplier Prices") is from Washington Gas Energy Services, at 66 cents per therm.

Bloomberg:

Gas advanced 3.2 percent after the National Weather Service reduced its temperature forecasts for eastern states from Dec. 11 to Dec. 15. Gas prices were trading at the lowest level since 2002 for the beginning of December.

“Cold weather is the primary driver of gas prices,” said Brad Florer, a trader at Kottke Associates Inc., an energy trading firm in Louisville, Kentucky. “It looks like below- normal temperatures are going to hang on for most of the month, and that’s stifling the selling and lifting gas off the bottom.”

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:47 AM | | Comments (4)
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November 9, 2010

Utility boss infiltrates smart-meter foes

From the San Francisco Chronicle:

A Pacific Gas and Electric Co. executive in charge of the utility's SmartMeter program admitted Monday that he used a fake name in an effort to join an Internet discussion group of SmartMeter opponents.

William Devereaux, senior director of the $2.2 billion SmartMeter program, used the name "Ralph" when he sent an e-mail to the moderator of a discussion group for people trying to block deployment of the new, wireless electricity and gas meters. But his real name appeared next to his e-mail address.

In an interview with The Chronicle, Devereaux said that he had been monitoring online groups of SmartMeter foes for a couple of months.

"I joined that (group) anonymously to better understand the concerns and the points of view of those folks so that we could do a better job of getting our facts to our customers," he said. "I did make a mistake, obviously, in trying to join this ... group and trying to use that alias name, which I'm sorry for."

HT Carol

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:33 PM | | Comments (2)
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October 29, 2010

Is electricity shopping bad use of your precious time?

Commenter Jonathan believes that the opportunity costs of shopping for electricity, poring over your cell phone contract and figuring out how you're getting abused on your cable bill are way too high. Instead of calling WGES to cancel your electricity deal with the intention of switching to a new deal so you can save $10 a month, which will require another phone call and further study, he seems to be suggesting, you could be listening to Brahms or making love to your spouse.

Hard to argue that he's wrong. It's unclear, however, whether his solution is just to pay the extra dough and be happy or to get rid of the cell phone and TV.

We do not have a free enterprise system in this country and never have. Why should we all have to spend countless hours figuring out how the power companies, or the cell phone companies, or any of the other utilities, are screwing us over, and which one is screwing us less, or more, than the others? What a waste! How old are you, Mr. Hancock? How many years do you have left? On your deathbed, will you be happy that you allowed the government regulators/BGE/et al. to waste all of those hours/weeks/months of your time?
Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:55 AM | | Comments (15)
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October 28, 2010

WGES bans me from buying electricity for a year

Early in 2009 I signed up for a 3-year, fixed-price electricity deal from Washington Gas Energy Services at 10.8 cents per kilowatt-hour. This was substantially below the default rate being offered by BGE, so I saved a few bucks a month for a while. But starting Oct. 1, BGE's standard price for energy/transmission fell to 10.1 cents. And independent marketers are selling juice for less than that. WGES's best deal is 9.0 cents/kwh for 12 months.

So last week I dumped my old WGES contract, paying a $126 early-termination fee, which I knew would happen. I figured I would go back to the default BGE price for a couple months and then switch back to WGES at 9 cents, eventually saving more than the early-termination cost.

But after I noted my intentions on the blog, WGES director of regulatory and legislative Leah Gibbons called to point out (nicely!) that customers who cancel contracts early can't re-sign with WGES right away. "You're going to be blocked from rejoining WGES for a 12-month period," she said. While the early-termination fee is a disincentive for customers to switch back and forth between contracts, it doesn't cover WGES's cost for the lost revenue for the energy for the remaining period, she said. Blocking people from re-signing is supposed to further discourage people from switching early. The policy covers anybody who gets out of a contract early, and there indeed is language in the fine print that indicates they can do this.

I would have thought WGES would prefer having a customer at 9 cents over having no customer at all, but it's welcome to do business as it likes. The lesson in all this is that electricity shopping contains complications that many of us don't see when we first sign up.

UPDATE: I should have noted that of course I'm still free to sign up with Dominion Retail or some other independent supplier at less than BGE's 10.1 cents, which I intend to do. I got the letter from BGE yesterday confirming the termination of my WGES deal, and they said if they heard by Nov. 14 from another supplier they would switch me to them in time for the next billing cycle. May take them up on that.

UPDATE2: Notes reader Tim:

So not mentioned in your write-up is also the fact that if you want WGES to reduce you to the 10.2 they want to extend the contract through May, 2013.

It's a good point. If you have a long-term deal of 10.8 or 10.9 cents, WGES will often offer to lower your price -- if you agreed to extend your contract. Given the high early-termination fees that WGES charges these days -- even higher than what I had to pay -- this may be an attractive option.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:04 AM | | Comments (20)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 27, 2010

Challenges to Calvert Cliffs project remain

The French EDF Group and Baltimore-based Constellation Energy seem to have worked out their differences over Constellation's exit from their joint venture to build a new reactor at Calvert Cliffs in southern Maryland. But the challenges to the project that caused Constellation to bail out remain.

The U.S. government is demanding stiff terms to guarantee construction loans for the reactor. EDF's construction of a similarly designed reactor in Flamanville, France is not going well -- cost overruns etc. Maryland's electricity market is deregulated. That means greater risk for EDF and U.S. taxpayers. Without guaranteed revenue ordered by the Public Service Commission, the new reactor will have to sell its electricity in the wholesale market and hope for the best.

Vast new supplies of natural gas will keep prices for megawatts from competing gas-fired generation plants uncomfortably low for nuclear developers and their backers. The failure of a climate-change bill means that non-nuclear energy won't be taxed for its carbon emissions, which would have made coal- and gas-fired plants less competitive.

And EDF apparently still needs to find a U.S. partner to take Constellation's place. Who will fill that spot? Tactically this may have been a smart move for the French. By reaching a comprehensive deal they got Constellation's agreement not to exercise a put option to sell them overvalued fossil-fuel plants. Basically they're taking over UniStar for $250 million when you include the $140 million they're paying for the venture and the $110 million in CEG stock they're paying to settle the option question.

That may be a cheaper outcome for them than if Constellation had decided to pull the option trigger. But it doesn't change the fundamentals of the Calvert Cliffs project.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:58 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 25, 2010

French press: Constellation has not exercised option

Constellation Energy Group's board met on Friday, and there was speculation that it would vote to exercise an option to sell fossil-fuel electricity plants to France's EDF Group. The plants are worth $1 billion. The option gives CEG the right to sell for $2 billion. Naturally the French really really don't want CEG to pull the trigger. But CEG seems not to have yet exercised its "put." If the board had acted one would have expected an announcement on Friday. And the French press is reporting that Baltimore-based CEG has not yet moved on the option.

From Enviro2B:


NUCLEAIRE – Constellation n’a pas (encore) levé l’option

Dans le conflit qui l’oppose à son partenaire américain, EDF a gagné du temps. Sur la demande express de l’électricien français, Constellation n’a finalement pas décidé pour l’heure de lever l’option lui permettant de se faire racheter à prix d’or 11 de ses centrales thermiques américaines, pour 2 milliards d’euros.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:47 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 23, 2010

Constellation says thanks for the charitable gift

Except it's not tax-deductible, it's not voluntary and Constellation Energy, owner of Baltimore Gas & Electric, doesn't need the money. Sunday's column is about an obscure cost that got built into your BGE bill (and Pepco, Allegheny or whoever your utility is) starting in 2007. It pays for generator "capacity" -- the right to buy megawatts from a particular generator at a particular time. Grid managers PJM Interconnection, heavily influenced by Constellation, Mirant, Exelon and other generation company, changed the rules for buying capacity in 2007 in a way that hugely inflated costs for residences, businesses and factories -- especially in the BGE and Pepco areas. The new way of selling capacity is called the "Reliability Pricing Model," or RPM.

Read the column, which reports that the 2007 change is costing Maryland $5 billion extra for the period from 2007 to 2014. People have been angry about the RPM charge for a while, and they just got angrier, because the price for the latest auction headed into the stratosphere. I wanted to calculate what the gimmick is costing Maryland and BGE customers. The extra dough was supposed to incentivize generation companies to build Maryland plants, but they haven't. So the $5 billion, while some of it has probably financed environmental upgrades and other fixes to keep old plants open, is mostly profit for Constellation and other generation companies.

I promised in the column to publish the math behind the numbers. Total Maryland costs for capacity charges for the seven years (we know this because the auctions through 2013/2014 have been completed) are $5.92 billion, according to the Maryland Public Service Commission. (Don't forget -- this is in addition to paying for the electricity, the tree-trimming, the meter readers and everything else that goes into your BGE bill.) That's based on RPM prices, minus CTR credits (don't ask) ranging from of a low of $28 per megawatt day in the Allegheny zone for 2013/2014 to prices well over $200 for the BGE and Pepco zones in some years.

The question is: What would those costs have been without the new RPM rules for reserving capacity? To get an answer we look at what capacity cost in the BGE zone and elsewhere in Maryland in 2006 and earlier. I got a couple numbers. One energy economist said capacity cost about $18 per megawatt-day in the four years preceding the new rules. Another said it was more like $25. In any case capacity was about a tenth as expensive before the rule change as it is now. For purposes of comparison I went with the higher, more conservative "before" figure: $25. And if capacity cost $25 per megawatt-day today, as it did before they rigged the rules, Maryland's capacity costs for the same total demand would be a mere $900 million from 2007 to 2014, not $5.9 billion. Difference: $5 billion. (If anybody's interested I'll send the spreadsheets broken down by utility zones.)

The BGE and Pepco zones receive special pain because of how the auction is designed. BGE households, offices and factories will pay $3.17 billion in capacity charges from 2007 to 2014, according to the PSC -- average capacity price minus CTR credits of

Continue reading "Constellation says thanks for the charitable gift " »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:35 PM | | Comments (6)
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October 21, 2010

Cancelling my WGES electric deal and telling the tale

As some of you know I signed up more than a year ago for a three-year, fixed-price electricity deal from Washington Gas Energy Services for 10.8 cents a kilowatt-hour. I saved money for the first year because BGE's standard price for generation and transmission was about a penny more. The rule of thumb is that for a regular house you save about $10 a month for every 1-cent reduction in the kwh price.

Now BGE's standard price has dropped to 10.1 cents (through May), and offers from alternative suppiers are down to 9 cents. So it was time to find out whether the savings from dumping the old contract would be greater than the early-termination penalty I had agreed to pay when I signed up. The answer was yes. So I dumped the deal Wednesday, paying a $126 early-termination fee.

(18 months left on the contract, $7 penalty per month. Unfortunately the early-cancellation fees have gone up for WGES. They're now $20 a month or $150, whichever is greater. They're even more if you buy wind energy.)

I'll be able to make up for the $126 in a little more than half a year by switching to WGES' one-year, 9-cent deal, which is even better than the 9.2-cent contract I was recommending a few weeks ago. For some reason WGES wouldn't let me cancel the old contract and immediately sign up for the 9-cent one. Readers have told me they had the same experience. Instead WGES offered to lower the price of my existing contract to 10.2 cents and extend it.

So I'll go back to the standard BGE price for a month or two and then switch to WGES or whoever has the cheapest price at that time.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (8)
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October 20, 2010

Could Constellation/EDF option be renegotiated?

Good legal analysis by the Deal Professor in the NYT of the standoff between EDF and Constellation over the dissolution of their nuclear partnership and the option that gives Constellation the opportunity to sell EDF several non-nuclear plants at perhaps $1 billion more than they're worth.

E.D.F. on the other hand has the contrary incentive to tie this up in litigation as long as possible. The agreement provides different litigation rights for E.D.F. The company can bring an action for specific performance in any American court having jurisdiction. E.D.F. can leverage this provision to bring preemptive litigation in a preferred state court. This would be a suit along the lines of “we need an order of specific performance ordering Constellation to honor the agreement.” This is a stretch, but it is enough to tie this up in a litigation morass and prevent Constellation from resorting immediately to the much quicker arbitration procedures.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:41 AM | | Comments (5)
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October 18, 2010

New shot by EDF at Constellation as merger lawyer joins CEG board

This is more symbolic than substantive, but it's another marker in the impending divorce between Constellation and EDF. EDF Group has appointed aggressive mergers and acquisitions lawyer Sam Minzberg to the board of Constellation Energy Group, owner of BGE. Minzberg used to work for the Bronfman family, heirs to the Seagram liquor fortune. (They no longer own Seagram.) By removing good cop EDF proxy Daniel Camus from the board and replacing him with bad cop Minzberg, EDF seems to be backing up last week's leak to Bloomberg by an anonymous source saying the company "supports" the sale of Constellation.

But Minzberg is one guy on an 11-member board, so it's unlikely he'll do anything more than make Mayo Shattuck's blood pressure go up and serve as a symbol of EDF's pique. Constellation stock, naturally, has done barely anything this morning. Here is an amusing excerpt from a book by Jean-Marie Messier, former chief of Vivendi, of his dealings with Minzberg. The excerpt was published in The Times (London). Thanks to Michael Mariotte of the Nuclear Information and Resource Service for the pointer.

In the Bronfman family, Sam Minzberg is the lawyer, the aggressive one, the rude one. Sam, then, has declared war on me on behalf of the family. The fall in Vivendi Universal’s share price obviously represents a considerable loss of assets for the family and I can understand their unhappiness.

This is from EDF's 13D filing today on Minzberg:

On October 18, 2010, Daniel Camus resigned as EDFI’s designated director on the board of directors of Constellation, effective as of October 21, 2010. Under Section 3.2(a) of the Amended and Restated Investor Agreement, dated December 17, 2008 by and between EDFI and Constellation, EDFI is entitled to nominate one director to the board of directors of Constellation and, in case of vacancy, the board of directors is required to elect any individual so nominated to the board of directors. On October 18, 2010, EDFI nominated Samuel Minzberg, a partner in the Montreal law firm of Davies Ward Phillips & Vineberg LLP, to fill the vacancy created by Mr. Camus’ resignation. Mr. Minzberg is thus expected to be elected to the board of directors of Constellation at the regular board meeting scheduled for October 22, 2010.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:33 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Australia: smart meters look dumb

Piece from The Age of Victoria state, Australia:

SMART meters, the new technology pushing up Victorian power bills, will provide little benefit to customers over the next five years, as the big electricity companies reap hundreds of millions of dollars from the rollout, a Sunday Age investigation has revealed.

Findings by the Australian Energy Regulator have undermined the state government's position on smart meters - which will be fitted to every Victorian home by the end of 2013 - and the most recent cost-benefit analysis shows the implementation will deliver $1.5 billion in cost savings to power companies over 20 years and few real benefits to customers.

The article doesn't really back up the lede. Regulators are empowered to pass on smart-meter savings to customers. Much of the savings in this case includes doing without meter readers and people to manually connect and disconnect houses. But it's another example of smart-meter uneasiness. Thanks to Carol for the pointer.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:44 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 15, 2010

Jim Cramer's rant against CEG's Mayo Shattuck

I haven't had time to watch all of it, but it has already become famous in certain circles.












Posted by Jay Hancock at 2:18 PM | | Comments (13)
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October 14, 2010

EDF offer unlikely to revive Calvert Cliffs project

Not much time. On the way to the PSC's hearings on the electricity grid's notorious reliability pricing model, which basically pays generation plants for merely existing and hasn't done its promised job of luring new generation projects to Maryland.

The EDF Group offer to take over development of Calvert Cliffs 3 is a long long shot. A million things have to go right. If EDF were to take over UniStar, it and Constellation Energy Group would have to come to terms. They would have to agree on a price for CEG's 50 percent UniStar stake. It would be contentious . Same goes for EDF's alternative offer to take over 100 percent of the development costs but keep CEG as UniStar partner. If that happened EDF would almost certainly want more equity in the Calvert Cliffs project, or if it didn't it would be crazy. That again would be subject to tough negotiation.

If EDF takes over all of UniStar, it would eventually need a new U.S. partner for the whole venture or at least for Calvert Cliffs. Who would do it? Not to mention all the other challenges to the project already mentioned: DOE's reluctance to extend loan guarantees, problems with EDF's reactor project of the CC3 model in France, newly cheap natural gas, which makes new nuclear plants less likely to be profitable, etc.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:17 AM | | Comments (5)
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October 12, 2010

Bloomberg: EDF supports a sale of Constellation

Take this with a truckload of salt. One anonymous source tells Bloomberg that EDF Group would support the sale of one of Maryland's biggest corporate citizens, Constellation Energy, parent of Baltimore Gas & Electric. The French EDF, which holds a large stake in Constellation, is in the process of divorcing Constellation over their troubled joint venture to build a third nuclear reactor at the Calvert Cliffs electricity plant.

EDF has several reasons to rattle this saber. 1) It's mad at Constellation for what EDF describes as Constellation's unilateral withdrawal over the weekend from the Calvert Cliffs project. Unable to obtain satisfactory government financing guarantees for the project, Constellation told the Energy Department it would no longer pursue the guarantees. 2) It's pressuring Constellation boss Mayo Shattuck not to exercise an option to sell EDF several older, fossil-fuel electricity plants for perhaps $1 billion more than they're worth. The option is a vestige of a 2009 deal in which EDF outbid Warren Buffett in a deal to rescue Constellation from bankruptcy. After having saved Shattuck's job a year ago, EDF, by seeming to agitate for a sale, now threatens it.

3) EDF owns 8 percent of Constellation's common shares and nearly half of its existing nuclear plants. An outright sale of Constellation would bear a good chance of letting EDF unload these assets at better prices than if it sold them in pieces. Bloomberg, however, puts a potential sale in a different light, quoting the source as saying that a new Constellation owner could salvage the partnership with EDF. That seems even less likely.

In any event, 8 percent of the common shares and one seat on Constellation's board aren't very effective tools for EDF to put Constellation in play. And with the story quoting only one anonymous source "with knowledge of the matter," it's hard to tell what EDF's intent is. But this sounds more like EDF being grouchy and contrary and less like a real threat to Constellation.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:57 AM | | Comments (4)
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October 11, 2010

Smart meters could bust marijuana nurseries

A column about BGE's smart meters last month had a throwaway line about how digital meters could blow the whistle on your marijuana grow lights. I hadn't thought much about it, but that's what people seem to believe will happen on a large scale in British Columbia, which is to pot what Texas is to oil.

It's not that pot growers are using metered kilowatts to grow their weed. Rather, they're pirating electricity by tapping the lines and routing it, unmetered, to their nurseries. Apparently it's difficult for the utility to detect unless they see the illegal lines because they have so little information about what's going on on the grid. Smart meters measure in real time how much energy goes into a network and how much is used at the other end by paying customers. Any difference, apart from normal resistance and line loss, is theft.

Here's Fiona Taylor, British Columbia Hydro's smart-meter czar, talking to the Vancouver Sun:

“Today we are operating blind. This system will allow us to follow the flow of electricity from point to point. We will be able to see at a macro-level what is happening.

“We’ll be able to see how much came into a line. We’ll know what the residential meter reads so we will be able to detect any anomalies, and special software will detect if there’s been a theft from a power pole,” she said.

Illegal electricity use by pot growers adds three percent to BC Hydro customers' bills, the story says. Shutting down the nurseries in barns and attics and basements is supposed to pay for the smart meters in less than 10 years. Here's another piece in the Vancouver paper quoting a knowledgeable source on how sophisticated growers are likely to get around smart meters.

Thanks to loyal reader Carol for the pointer.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:06 AM | | Comments (6)
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October 9, 2010

Project demise hurts Maryland, environment

Shame about the demise of Constellation Energy's and EDF Group's plan to build a third nuclear reactor at Calvert Cliffs. There are many reasons behind it, but a huge one is the failure of Congress to pass climate-change legislation. If carbon emissions were taxed or otherwise penalized, carbon-free nuclear energy would be quite competitive economically. The plant would have created thousands of jobs as well as badly needed megawatts for Maryland and displaced some of the filthy and carbon-emitting coal electricity plants we rely on now.

And make no mistake, the project is dead. In its press release, Constellation said: "UniStar [the joint venture with EDF] has not withdrawn its application for a federal loan guarantee and no decisions have been made regarding the future of Calvert Cliffs 3." But this effectively ends it.

The way this came about is somewhat surprising. The fact that the project collapsed is not. Constellation pulled out unilaterally from the deal, snubbing its French partner EDF by not consulting it. I suppose this means Constellation's negotiations with EDF over a put option to sell EDF several of Constellation's fossil-fuel electric plants are not going well. Constellation holds an option to sell the plants to EDF for up to $2 billion -- perhaps $1 billion more than they're worth. Naturally EDF is trying to persuade Constellation not to pull the trigger.

The companies have not divorced yet, however. EDF still holds large investments not only in Constellation's existing nuclear fleet but also in Constellation common stock -- levers that it can use in negotiations over the put option. The prospect looms for EDF to dump its nearly 10 percent stake in Constellation stock. Still, I bet Constellation shares rise on Monday as investors express relief that the company isn't taking on the large risks of building a nuclear plant.

I thought the Calvert Cliffs project would die after the Energy Department denied loan guarantees. But DOE never made a hard decision, apparently insisting on conditions unacceptable to Constellation instead. At this late date it amounts to the same thing. DOE probably balked at the fact that this was a spec deal on Constellation and EDF's part. That is to say, in deregulated Maryland there was no way the cost could be passed onto customers in a guaranteed way by the Public Service Commission. The project would have to sell its megawatts

Continue reading "Project demise hurts Maryland, environment" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:20 AM | | Comments (9)
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October 5, 2010

BGE won't get anything close to what it wants

As Hanah Cho reports, BGE wants a rate increase for distributing gas and electricity that could add up to $20 a month year to the average electric bill and $30 to the average natural gas bill. Nice try, BGE. These are charges for BGE's network of local pipes and wires to get the energy to your door. They're separate from the energy and transmission charges that create the energy and ship it cross country to the Baltimore region. Distribution charges are still fully regulated by the Public Service Commission; energy charges aren't. BGE will probably get some sort of increase.

Perhaps they're due after nearly two decades of frozen or declining distribution reimbursement. Even the Office of People's Counsel, which represents residential ratepayers, seems to think BGE is entitled to something. Its expert said BGE needs an increase of about $21.5 million for distributing electricity and about $8 million for distributing gas rather than the $47 million for electricity and the $30 million for gas that BGE wants. BGE is presumably hoping that falling energy prices will help regulators and consumers forget about the disaster of deregulation, which led to huge cost spikes for all users. (And no, the BGE increases of the 2000s were NOT caused merely by energy inflation. An open market with fungible megawatts allowed BGE parent Constellation Energy huge markups on the cheap energy generated by its Calvert Cliffs nuclear plants.

Under regulation those low costs would be passed on to customers.) But nobody has forgotten. The BGE energy increase was topic A of the first gubernatorial contest between Bob Ehrlich and Martin O'Malley. The reprise of that match has made the memories keener, and this PSC knows that. BGE won't get anything close to what it wants. Here is today's column on how to save money from falling electricity prices by switching from the standard BGE product to an alternative provider.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:06 AM | | Comments (3)
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September 24, 2010

Bloomberg: Constellation, EDF in negotiations

From a Bloomberg story today:

Electricite de France SA, Europe’s biggest utility, and Constellation Energy Group Inc. are in talks to avoid the collapse of their U.S. nuclear venture, according to two people with knowledge of the discussions.

The companies are negotiating to resolve a dispute over an option Baltimore-based Constellation has to sell non-nuclear plants to EDF for as much as $2 billion, the people said, declining to be identified because the talks are private. The so-called put, due to expire in December, was agreed to in 2008 when Constellation sold half its nuclear business to EDF.

It's basically what I reported and what Constellation said on the record a week ago. From my Sunday column:

There's also leftover business from almost two years ago, when EDF, parent of Electricite de France, bailed Constellation out of a mess by buying almost half its nuclear operation. As part of that rescue, it also gave Constellation an option to sell non-nuclear generation plants to EDF for up to $2 billion.

The option expires Dec. 31. Constellation doesn't need the cash nearly as badly as it did during the financial crisis. But EDF, which has better things to do with its money these days, seems increasingly concerned that Constellation boss Mayo Shattuck will pull the trigger to unload the assets.

Such a move would cause a "breaking point" that "will destroy the credibility of the management" at Constellation, EDF Chairman and CEO Henri Proglio said in a telephone interview Friday...

"We are committed to working with EDF to resolve these issues," [Constellation] said in an e-mailed statement. But, it added, both companies face an "increasingly challenging economic and policy environment." Constellation, it said, must be mindful of "our contractual rights and obligations and the interests of our shareholders."

The Energy Department guarantee is the fulcrum. If Washington backs a new reactor at Calvert Cliffs, Constellation and EDF may have a baby to raise, a reason to stay together and compromise on the put option. If the project dies, Shattuck has little reason not to cram the coal plants down EDF's throat.

It's worth wondering how serious the negotiations are since EDF boss Henri Proglio was in town a week ago and didn't meet with anybody from Constellation.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:57 AM | | Comments (1)
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September 23, 2010

NIMBY sentiment keeps Md. electricity expensive

The process to approve the PATH transmission line, which will import badly needed electricity into Maryland and other parts of the mid-Atlantic from West Virginia, continues to be fought every step of the way. Last week the Frederick County zoning commission rejected plans to build a substation that will be the end point for the feeder line.

The Gazette has a good account. The station and the PATH line will get built. But every year they're delayed means another year of higher-than-necessary prices for BGE and Pepco customers. Central Maryland makes less electricity than it consumes. That means local generation companies such as Constellation Energy have a grip on the market. And existing transmission lines to import juice from other states are inadequate and subject to high "congestion" charges. The PATH line will help relieve the shortage and lower prices.

If you live in Frederick County, or even if you don't, you might want to let the zoning officials know what you think. One local woman worried that the substation could be attacked by terrorists. By that logic we should decommission the grid and go back to the Bronze Age. All electricity infrastructure is a potential target for terrorists.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:46 AM | | Comments (10)
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What EDF's Henri Proglio was doing in Maryland

Well, I know part of the answer, in addition to his having a brief phone conversation with me. As reported, the Chairman and CEO of EDF Group, owner of Electricite de France and partner of Constellation Energy in building a new reactor at Calvert Cliffs, was in Maryland on Friday.

But Henri Proglio didn't meet with anybody from Constellation, which I and others find quite strange. He told me he was here to work on "the project." Since I didn't press him for his meeting schedule, a spokeswoman declined to reveal it after I got off the phone with him. However, here is part of the answer: He had breakfast with Gov. Martin O'Malley. This is from O'Malley spokesman Sean Adamec:

I can confirm that he [Proglio] met with the Governor for a few hours over breakfast, and they spoke about the need for loan guarantees from the federal government to get the new Calvert reactor built. The Governor is very committed to the project, not only for the long term energy benefits but for the thousands of jobs it will create in its construction.

EDF and Constellation are waiting on requested construction loan guarantees from the Energy Department for the reactor project. I guess it makes sense that Proglio would seek out a top public official to confab with. He's not just a French industry titan; he's also basically a government minister. EDF is majority owned by the French government. As noted, the relationship between EDF and Constellation seems fragile and the fate of the Calvert Cliffs project uncertain.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:02 AM | | Comments (0)
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September 20, 2010

When Henri didn't meet Mayo

The late, Wilford Brimleyesque Ronald Speer was one of the mid-level editors who made The Virginian-Pilot and The Ledger-Star, of Hampton Roads, one of the best regional newspapers in the 1980s. He would tell reporters: Never assume anything. Double check even the seemingly obvious conclusion.

Words I should have recalled when I wrote Sunday's column on the fraught relationship between France's EDF Group and Constellation Energy. The two companies have agreed to build a third nuclear reactor at Calvert Cliffs on the Chesapeake. EDF Chairman and CEO Henri Proglio was in Maryland on Friday, on his way from the World Energy Congress in Montreal.

The relationship between EDF and Constellation is on an edge, and so is the Calvert Cliffs project and the future of U.S. nuclear development. I got to speak to Proglio on the phone for 10 minutes on Friday when he was in town. In the interview he gave the strongest warning yet from EDF to Constellation about exercising a put option that would transfer some of Constellation's U.S. generation plants to EDF, against EDF's desire.

When I asked in the interview what he was doing here, Proglio said he was working on "the project, of course," referring to Calvert Cliffs. I assumed this meant meeting with his Constellation counterpart, CEO Mayo Shattuck, and other Constellation officials about their partnership. I said so in the column. I was wrong, which EDF quickly pointed out after the piece went on line Friday night. The column required an embarrassing correction.

But the fact that Proglio was here and didn't meet with any Constellation folks seems to support the column's thesis that the companies aren't exactly bosom buddies. He's based in Paris. Constellation is here. So top officials can't have many opportunities to consult in person. Yet according to EDF (and Constellation has not disputed this) Proglio was here for the Calvert Cliffs project but had no meetings with project partner Constellation. The odds for Calvert Cliffs 3 seem to be getting longer.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:05 AM | | Comments (0)
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September 17, 2010

Court won't make Sparrows fund electric rate relief

In a rebuke to the Public Service Commission and a win for the Severstal Sparrows Point steel mill, the Court of Special Appeals on Friday rejected a 2008 surcharge levied on Sparrows and other commercial customers to keep Baltimore Gas & Electric electricity rates affordable for some small businesses.

Thanks to soaring energy prices and a change in the way customers were classified, some businesses were set to see their electric bills shoot up by 40 percent in the summer of 2008. To provide relief, the PSC capped the increase at 15 percent for the affected businesses and spread the difference among all non-residential BGE customers.

Severstal and others sued, arguing that the commission didn’t have the authority to shift costs in such a way. The policy increased electric bills for the mill by about $400,000 that summer, according to the court’s decision. The appeals court reversed a lower court decision upholding the PSC’s move.
The decision sets the stage for a possible PSC appeal to the Court of Appeals, Maryland’s high court, or a move by the commission to raise others’ rates to pay back Severstal and the other plaintiffs. In all about $7 million is at stake.

PSC Chairman Doug Nazarian said the commission was studying the ruling.

You can read the decision here.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:07 PM | | Comments (0)
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September 10, 2010

What are smart meters supposed to do for you?

It's Jeff Salkin & me on Maryland Public Television.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:06 PM | | Comments (1)
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The tangled history of Md. electricity deregulation

In October 2001 I wrote a column that began:

MARYLAND regulators are spending millions to educate people about electricity deregulation, but a few key parts of the process haven't been covered in the government brochures."Sorry, Baltimore consumers, we blew it," is what the brochures would say if you put sodium pentothal in the Public Service Commission water coolers. "Our motto is, `You use it. Now choose it,' but in Central Maryland you may not get electricity choice for years.

Nine years later electricity shopping is finally a reality. More BGE households than ever have swtiched to a competitive supplier. What happened meanwhile? How did Maryland let BGE transfer its valuable generators to its parent, which preceded the near doubling of BGE household kilowatt prices? What has happened since then and what should be done now? Thomas Firey, a senior fellow at the Maryland Public Policy Institute, gives a good, sophisticted overview.

His ultimate prescription is closely related to regulators' recent approval for BGE to install smart meters.

Instead of pushing consumers to buy more-expensive energy-efficient appliances or building more generating plants and power lines, the easiest, lowest-cost solution to Maryland’s electricity problems would be to simply shift some of the peak demand to offpeak times when wholesale prices are lower and congestion is less.

When energy experts worry about Maryland’s future supply of electricity and its cost, their concern is about meeting peak demand. If the peaks can be moderated even slightly, that would greatly benefit Maryland consumers.

Moderating peaks is what smart, computerized meters are supposed to do.

In a history of Maryland electricity deregulation I would have mentioned the windfall profits that BGE parent Constellation Energy made from the Calvert Cliffs nuclear plant at the peak of the energy bubble. Wholesale megawatt prices were keyed to very high natural-gas prices, but (the largely depreciated) Calvert Cliffs was cranking out cheap, uranium-based power that Constellation could then sell at the inflated, going rate. Before deregulation, savings from the cheap power would have been passed to customers. But that's a quibble with Firey's account.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (4)
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August 31, 2010

Cost overruns plague Colorado smart-grid program

This is a small pilot program, not a huge smart-meter rollout like the one planned by Baltimore Gas & Electric. Nevertheless, it seem to show yet again that electric infrastructure rarely comes in on budget. Thanks to Carol Clements for the pointer. From the Associated Press:

The Office of Consumer Counsel, representing customers' interests, says customers shouldn't have to bear all of the overruns.

"The amount being spent has really increased from what was told to consumers initially and the commission. That's what concerns us," said William Levis, director of the office.

Xcel Energy initially estimated it would spend $15.3 million on technologies associated with SmartGridCity, with partners contributing the rest of a project with estimated costs of $100 million.

The utility's own costs are now approaching $45 million, in part due to higher estimates for some costs like installing fiber, and in part due to recategorizing some expenses into SmartGridCity's budget.

PUC staff, Xcel Energy and the Governor's Energy Office have agreed that Xcel wouldn't seek to recover any costs above $44.5 million from customers through electricity rates, but commissioners have to approve the deal. The Office of Consumer Counsel wants to cap the amount recoverable from customers at $27.9 million.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:17 PM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Constellation rival in $1 billion wind-energy deal

In another sign that wind-driven energy is here to stay on a substantial basis, Exelon Corp., a rival of BGE owner Constellation Energy, is expanding its wind-power business. It's buying Deere & Co.'s renewable-energy division for $900 million. (OK, it's not quite a billion dollars. But I couldn't fit $900 million in the headline.)

The deal gives Exelon, a big nuclear operator, like Constellation, 735 megawatts of wind-generation capacity. That's about the capacity of a good-sized nuclear-power reactor. The deal also includes projects in development of twice that amount. Exelon has been marketing wind energy as a wholesaler, including in West Virginia and Pennsylvania, reports the Associated Press.

Constellation, for its part, is now behind Exelon in wind. CEG is getting ready to launch its Criterion wind project in western Maryland. It's 70 megawatts and is projected to cost $140 million.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:06 AM | | Comments (0)
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August 26, 2010

Savings & info: How smart meters should work

Many of you are asking how BGE's smart meters will work in practice. As reported, the Public Service Commission approved BGE's modified smart-grid proposal and BGE has agreed to proceed. We'll see how it all works out. But the intentions are good: to reduce the use of expensive, polluting electricity and to reduce pressure on the grid and the need to build costly new power plants.

It'll take several years for BGE to replace existing dumb meters with computerized ones. It's still unclear exactly which of numerous possibilities for digital engineering and information management the meters will offer. But at a minimum the meters will a) instantly tell BGE about power outages b) give BGE billing information, eliminating the need for meter readers c) Deliver much more detailed information about a household's energy use.

That last one is very open ended, but it's also an easy prediction. At the moment each household basically gets only one piece of electricity-use data only 12 times a year: monthly kilowatt-hour consumption. Smart meters should be able to tell you not just daily but hourly electricity use, although it's too early to tell exactly how BGE will enable them. You'll have a "Smart Energy Manager" Web portal that ties into your meter and tells you what's going on. BGE promises that the meters will be upgradable and scalable, that the utility will be able to remotely improve software and, if needed, enable new apps "such as electric vehicles, customer energy portrals, mobile device applications, distribution automation and distributed solar and wind generation."

Most importantly, the meters are supposed to give BGE the information it needs to pay rebates to customers who cut kilowatt use at times of peak demand. Peak electricity is outrageously expensive, and the idea is to get people to scale back for a few hours on hot summer days -- on their air conditioning, sure, but also other stuff such as computers, pool pumps, dehumidifiers and so forth. The smart meters will track your normal energy use. Then, when

Continue reading "Savings & info: How smart meters should work" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (25)
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August 20, 2010

Smart meters: The theory

Here are WBAL's Bill Vanko and me talking on the radio about the approval of BGE's smart-meter project. We also discuss the possible sale of and layoffs at the Sparrows Point steel mill.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:10 AM | | Comments (0)
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August 19, 2010

Fear, loathing and smart meters

Our Monday coverage of the decision to go forward with "smart," computerized electricity meters for BGE customers got a lot of reaction, much of it negative toward smart meters. This is not necessarily representative. People with complaints are usually the ones who pipe up; those who are glad or don't care don't take the trouble to respond.

Still, there seems to be a significant amount of skepticism out there as to whether BGE's new meters will be a good thing. There was a lot of "big brother is getting even more intrusive" reaction, although one could argue that smart meters will eventually give you more, not less, personal control over your energy. Many of you have also asked: Please tell us again, how exactly will smart meters work? I promise I'll get to that once I get a free moment or two.

Meanwhile, here's a sampling of reactions from my email and from blog comments:

So let me get this straight. BGE customers will pay for the installation of meters that will allow BGE to charge us more for electricity at times when we need it most, so that we can save money on our electricity by turning off our air conditioners during this time. Sorry, but that doesn't sound like a good deal to me. I don't need a "smart" meter to know how much electricity I'm using - I can hear my air conditioner running. "Smart" meters are a great deal for BGE and a lousy deal for BGE customers.

And:

I object to the mandatory installation and subsequent charge of these units, because I resent the implication that I'm too stupid to control my own decision about when to use electricity in my home. But even more important is the very real possibility, that at some point in the future BGE would decide for me, by way of the "Smart Meter" when and how much electricity I am entitled to receive at any given moment. When this issue first surfaced, I notified BGE that I did not wish to participate in their program, and was assured that there would be no installation at my home. I presently receive my "juice" from WGE. Competition MUST be a primary consideration with this utility.

And:

Continue reading "Fear, loathing and smart meters" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (9)
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August 17, 2010

Sun editorial: Smart meters is smart policy

The Sun's editorialists weigh in on the BGE smart-meter decision:

But for all the contentiousness that the smart meter decision evoked in recent weeks, it’s still not clear what effect the PSC’s changes will have. The major sticking point was over how to pay for meters. That will still ultimately be the obligation of ratepayers, but BGE won’t be reimbursed for several years, and only as part of the PSC-supervised rate-setting process.

That means that the utility will have to borrow money and rack up a potential $100 million in financing charges. Instead of a monthly charge of 28 cents in the near term, customers may see a much larger tab put on their bills in 2014 or 2015 (perhaps as much as $4, according to one estimate).

Nevertheless, the fee should pale compared to the savings smart meters will bring — at least if BGE’s pilot program is any guide. For all the fuss the issue of cost-recovering generated, it could turn out to be little more than a forgotten footnote in the early development of a smart energy grid.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:41 AM | | Comments (3)
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August 16, 2010

BGE says "yes" to smart electricity meters

So BGE says "yes" to the smart grid. Today was the deadline for a decision -- when the Energy Department said it had to pull the trigger on $200 million in stimulus money. BGE posted its intention to proceed with the $800 million investment on its Web site this morning.

Late Friday the Public Service Commission approved BGE's smart-grid application -- but under a condition BGE said repeatedly it would never accept. The PSC wanted to reimburse BGE for the computerized meters the way it has paid for utility infrastructure for decades -- by paying BGE back, over a number of years, based on the size of the investment, a reasonable return on capital and the prudence with which BGE carries it out. BGE wanted a guaranteed, accelerated payback outside the normal regulatory process.

On Sunday I wrote that, if BGE really thought the project was as good as it claimed, it would go forward regardless. If smart meters will be even close to the extravagant claims made for them, they'll be a win-win for everybody -- whatever the reimbursement mechanism. BGE's decision to go forward implies they believe smart meters are as good as they say.

From BGE's Web site:

Baltimore Gas and Electric Company to Proceed with Smart Grid Implementation BGE today announced that it will move forward with implementation of smart grid throughout its Central Maryland service territory. "Following the Maryland Public Service Commission's approval of our project this past Friday, BGE is pleased to move forward with our ambitious smart grid program and deliver the significant transformational benefits of smart grid to each of our 1.2 million customers," said Kenneth W. DeFontes Jr., president and chief executive officer of BGE.

"Those benefits include at least $2.5 billion worth of savings for BGE customers over the life of the project, as well as major new enhancements in customer service and reliability. In addition, BGE will be able to take advantage of $200 million that the U.S. Department of Energy awarded BGE for its innovative program, reducing the cost of the project for BGE's residential customers by 80 percent."


Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:52 AM | | Comments (5)
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August 12, 2010

Is BGE's air-conditioning shutoff worth the reward?

Like thousands of Baltimore Gas & Electric households, we signed up for BGE's "Peak Rewards" program, in which they pay rebates for being able to shut down your air conditioning on really hot, high-demand days. Like Wednesday. And Tuesday.

BGE "cycled" my AC for almost five hours on Tuesday and for about three hours yesterday, according to data for my account on their Web site. I signed up for "50 percent" cycling, so during those periods BGE was supposed to run my AC compressor for only half the time that it normally would have run.

Yesterday was my third cycling episode of the summer. The other was July 6, near the start of the heat wave, when the AC was cycled for about four hours. Given the excessive temperatures, I was wondering when the utility would start to shut me down. By temporarily turning off the AC on really hot days, BGE saves energy and saves money by not having to buy megawatts when they are at their very most expensive -- from around 1 p.m. to 7 p.m. They pass part of the savings to you in the form of annual credits of between $50 and $200 depending on how much you let them mess with your cooling and whether it's your first year in the program.

There were no complaints from Hancocks who were in the house yesterday and Tuesday. You can also sign up for 100 percent or 75 percent cycling, which yield greater rebates. With those programs I imagine there is more discomfort. Sharon, who left this comment on the blog, was less than happy about her Peak Rewards experience yesterday:

It is over 98 degrees outside and "peak reward savings" just kicked in. It's 80 degrees in my apartment with no A/C running. Why "savings" at the worst part of the day -- when the beating sun is at its peak? I've made mistakes in my life, but signing up for this is really at the top of my list.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (53)
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August 5, 2010

Don't let electric vendors overstate kilowatt use

Tuesday's column on electricity-supply offers from independent companies is still getting a lot of traffic. The gist: Even though Baltimore Gas & Electric households have more electricity vendors than ever before to choose from, the best choice for those who haven't switched is to wait a few months. BGE's standard price will plunge in less than two months, and the third-party suppliers will have to lower prices to compete, if they can.

The column is largely about companies such as MX Energy and Viridian that are using BGE's present, high price as a point of comparison, even though the price disappears in a few weeks. They calculate annual "savings" based partly on this price, even though it'll probably be gone by the time you switch. Another way companies may exaggerate savings is by estimated annual kilowatt-hour use. The typical BGE household uses about 1,000 kwh per month, on average. But MX's chart shows 12-month savings for households starting at 1,500 kwh per month and as high as 2,500 kwh per month. If you have a huge house and heat with electricity you could head toward those numbers, but that kind of load certainly won't be the experience of the typical BGE customer.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:13 AM | | Comments (1)
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August 4, 2010

Avalon Energy: Constellation offer not all it seems

Yesterday's column was about alternative electricity offers for BGE households that sound better than they may turn out. Basically companies are comparing themselves against BGE's high, summertime price that goes away in less than two months. On their blog, energy consultants Avalon Energy make a similar analysis of Constellation Electric's offer to Pepco households.

Based on this alone, Constellation's offer of 9.65 cents per kWh seems attractive. However, Constellation's rate is only 5.7% lower than the forward Pepco rate that runs through 5/31/11. Beyond 5/31/11, any discount or premium to Pepco’s rate cannot be determined as Pepco’s rates have not been defined and won’t be defined until sometime in the future.

Avalon, in its analysis, adds a really important footnote that you should always remember, not just for Constellation but for any of these deals:

In the "Term" paragraph, it says that the contract will automatically renew for an additional 12-month renewal term unless terminated. So, if you miss the window, or you don’t terminate the contract and pay a $150 penalty, you will be with Constellation for another 12 months at a rate they will define in the future.

Even if you sign up for a great deal, if you're not careful you can get automatically rolled over to a not-so-great deal a year later.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 3:50 PM | | Comments (0)
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July 30, 2010

Comparing electricity prices: What you need to know

Here are Maryland Public Television's Jeff Salkin and I talking about changes the state has made to the required "price to compare" published for electricity shoppers. Tuesday's column will be an update on Maryland household electricity shopping.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 2:08 PM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Dimmer U.S. nuclear prospects hurt profits at EDF

EDF Group, the junior partner of Constellation Energy in an effort to build one of the first new nuclear plants in years, at Calvert Cliffs in Maryland, reported sharply lower profits. One of the factors: lower prices generally in the U.S. power market. The company also mentioned a delay in getting Energy Departmet financing backing for the Calvert Cliffs plant. Says Bloomberg:

The utility took a provision of 1.1 billion euros (1.44 billion euros) related to its holding in Constellation Energy Group Inc. due to the “less favorable” outlook for power prices for existing power generators and a planned new nuclear reactor at Calvert Cliffs, the Paris-based company said in an e- mailed statement.

Translation: The failure of climate-change legislation in the Senate makes nuclear power less attractive in the future and less likely to make money. Also, prospects for lower natural gas prices in years to come also makes nuclear look less attractive. Add this to the delay in government loan guarantees for the Calvert Cliffs project, and the project looks less likely to be followed through on. This is the topic of my column that will be in Sunday's newspaper.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:19 AM | | Comments (1)
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July 28, 2010

BGE, Pepco face Twitter rage over outages

Nice story by the WP's Monica Hesse today on how Pepco PR folks are monitoring and trying to deal with Web-spread complaints about the company's failure to quickly fix storm-caused outages.

Baltimore Gas & Electric was also getting its own Twitter hate -- and love -- although the traffic seems to have died down today.

Some of the former:

BlessdBritt Another day without electricity, P.G CO and BGE has GOT to do better! 8:29 AM Jul 27th via twidroid

tuleesha Insane! Has power been restored? RT @MLC_1618: Thanks BGE 4 forcing me to take a day off. I needed the rest but would have preferred some AC 2:24 PM Jul 26th via ÜberTwitter

Some of the latter:

SodexoCareers We have power! Thank you @MyBGE your crews worked around the clock and at 3 AM they made it to our neighborhood! about 22 hours ago via TweetDeck

BGE is also tweeting, as @mybge. For example:

BGE has restored more than 98K customers with power since yesterday's storm - about 22K to go. We're working as safely & quickly as possible

@SodexoCareers Thanks for the recognition. More than 120K customers were restored since Sunday's storm. A lot of coordination and patience!

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:44 AM | | Comments (5)
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July 16, 2010

Kiesling: Rejecting smart meters consistent with bureaucrats' desire to maintain power

Northwestern's Lynne Kiesling weighs in on the Maryland PSC's decision to reject smart meters. I missed this when she posted a few weeks ago. Some highlights:

If the regulatory institutions and the regulatory culture constrain the electricity value proposition to the provision of generic service to the exclusion of other product/service/pricing bundles, and if they constrain the business model to one of cost recovery instead of value creation, then the regulators will reject the types of projects that are most likely to create value for consumers and entrepreneurial producers.

And:

You [the electricity regulator], therefore, believe that your power to control is a salutary intervention, even though the dynamism of economic and technological change are proving you wrong on a daily basis. So you make decisions that reinforce your power and control, believing them to be in the best interest of consumers while you deprive those same consumers of the opportunity to make their own autonomous choices.

And:

But in the time that I have been involved in regulation, and in debates over smart grid investments and policy, it is abundantly clear that Mancur Olson was correct, and that regulation actually represents the interests of easily identifiable, politically active interests, not the interests of consumers as a whole. On the consumer side, this means that decisions get made frequently based on the organized, coordinated political actions of so-called consumer advocates (who really represent low-income consumers, not all consumers) and groups like the AARP, who perceive their interests as being best served by the perpetuation of the traditional regulatory model — generic service provided at high reliability, controlling price through strict cost recovery.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:28 AM | | Comments (2)
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June 30, 2010

How to get out of a long-term electricity deal

Readers like me, who are locked into long-term electricity deals with Washington Gas Energy Services, report that WGES is sometimes willing to renegotiate the terms without charging the early-termination fee of $150 or more.

I locked into a multi-year deal with WGES at 10.8 cents per kilowatt hour in early 2009. Since then, however, wholesale electricity prices have continued to fall. WGES now offers BGE customers 9.7 cents for two years, which would cost a typical household about $100 a year less than the 10.8-cent contract. Of course if you have to pay the early-termination fee it wipes out the savings. However customers tell me that WGES is willing to cut the price to 10.4 cents if they extend the contract for an extra year.

The company says it isn't necessarily willing to do this for every customer. “I don’t’ want to give anybody the impression that we just blanket go out and do that for everybody," says Leah Gibbons, WGES's director of legislation and regulatory affairs. "We look at their special situations and we try to find a solution."

But it's worth a try if you think doing this would make sense for you. WGES: 1-888-884-WGES.
As for me, I'm probably going to terminate my WGES deal soon, which makes sense for our household because we signed up when the early-termination charge was only $75. I'll save more than that by switching to the 9.7-cent offer or something similar.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:42 AM | | Comments (4)
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June 24, 2010

Public Service Commission fixes "price to compare"

Ask ("Somebody will have to fix this" -- this blog, Feb. 22) and receive. The Public Service Commission has vastly improved the flawed "price to compare" information published for electricity shoppers. The idea is to tell shoppers what BGE's standard price is. Yet the price was often months old and confusingly blended seasonal costs into an annual mishmash.

Today the PSC issued an order making BGE and other utilities incorporate future price information as well as current prices, and break out the seasonality. Here is the new language:

Supply Price Comparison Information: The current price for Standard Offer Service electricity is x.x cents/kWh, effective through [date]. Standard Offer Service electricity will cost x.x cents/kWh beginning on [date] through [date]. The price of Standard Offer Service electricity after [date] has not yet been set. The weighted average price of Standard Offer Service electricity will be x.x cents through [date].
Posted by Jay Hancock at 12:30 PM | | Comments (3)
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June 22, 2010

BGE should offer big nighttime electricity discounts

The Public Service Commission's almost total rejection of Baltimore Gas & Electric's "smart meter" plan is surprising but not terrible. It'll deprive activist consumers from getting information to help them reduce energy use. It'll delay the education of residential consumers about the true, hourly cost of electricity. But it'll keep Maryland from being a guinea pig for the smart grid. And it won't stop other ways of conserving energy.

Here's one: The PSC and utilities should work to set up a "time of use" program that gives deep discounts for burning kilowatts at night. BGE has a time of use deal now, but it stinks. You pay 14.4 cents per peak kilowatt-hour in the summertime and 9.4 cents at night. 9.4 cents isn't anywhere close to the rock-bottom cost of offpeak kilowatts on the wholesale market. There's really no reason to sign up for this plan.

But if regulators could work with utilities and grid operators to fix this, there could be ample incentive to get people to switch to off-peak use and take pressure off the grid. Off-peak use is about to become more important because of plug-in cars. If you buy a Chevy Volt you're going to be recharging it at night.

I know, smart meters could have been part of a good time-of-use plan. (You need a special meter for TOU.) But their rejection is no reason not to reform BGE's present, poor time-of-use program.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:19 AM | | Comments (13)
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June 18, 2010

Rascover: State punts on electricity education

Check out Barry Rascovar's column in The Gazette on the poor job being done by the Public Service Commission in educating household consumers about how to shop for electricity.

At a time when cheaper electric rates are available from a host of alternative suppliers, the Public Service Commission has stuck its head in the sand and refused to tell consumers about a wealth of choices available to Maryland residents, who might be able to cut their electric bills by $100 or more annually.

The PSC refuses to be proactive or pro-consumer.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:55 AM | | Comments (3)
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April 29, 2010

Electricity prices drop: What to do?

As reported by Liz Kay last week, BGE's default price for electricity generation and transmission will drop to an annual, blended rate of 10.6 cents per kilowatt-hour starting June 1. The actual charge on your bill will be around 11.8 cents for June through September. Then it'll drop close to the 10-cent mark for October through May 2011.

This'll save a typical Baltimore Gas & Electric customer about $160 a year compared with costs for the 12 months that end this May, BGE estimates. But independent suppliers are offering to sell electricity to BGE customers for even less, although navigating the offers takes some work. I'll tell you what I think is the best move, but take my advice with a ton of salt. I'm locked in on a three-year deal with Washington Gas Energy Services for 10.8 cents. I saved money in this cycle but now I'm missing out on deals that have fallen into the 9-cent range. Locking in at that price for such a long time was the wrong move. I may look into paying WGES's early-termination fee and making it up on savings from a cheaper deal.

Bottom line: Wholesale prices are still in the pits, relative to where they've been. It's possible that even cheaper deals will be available to BGE customers in the fall. WGES is offering to renew current customers whose contracts expire in June for 9.6 cents for two years or three. This is a very good deal, although it doesn't seem to be available to new customers on the WGES Web site. (An intermediary called Electric Advisors says it will hook new customers up with WGES's package at 9.7 cents for a year or 9.6 cents for two or three years.)

But if I were starting from scratch and rolling the dice a little I'd sign up for the new offer from Dominion Retail. It's 9.9 cents from now until the end of 2010. And unlike with other offers, there's no early-termination charge. You'll escape paying BGE's high standard price for June through September (11.8 cents). Then you'll be able to shop around again in the fall or at the end of the year and hope for even lower prices.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (12)
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April 26, 2010

Smart meters might not be so smart

Here's the latest video of Salkin & me on Maryland Public Television. This interview is apropos of this column. Several of you have asked what I think of the latest prices for BGE and the market alternatives. I'll be posting on that anon -- probably tomorrow morning.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:57 AM | | Comments (2)
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April 16, 2010

TV yacking: Electricity shopping & smart meters

Posted by Jay Hancock at 2:03 PM | | Comments (0)
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WGES has cheapest electric alternative to BGE yet

Thanks to the alert readers who inform me that Washington Gas Energy Services is offering to renew existing customers for two or three years at 9.6 cents per kilowatt-hour. This is the cheapest residential electricity available for Baltimore Gas & Electric Customers at least since early 2006, when the rate caps came off BGE's standard offer, the price went up 72 percent etc.

UPDATE: As noted, WGES is making this offer to existing customers whose contracts are rolling over. Readers who are not existing customers or whose contracts haven't expired have called the 800 number this morning and have been told the 9.6-cent deal is not available to them. However it's still indicative of falling electricity prices and hints at similar deals to come for everybody.

UPDATE2: Leah Gibbons, WGES's director of regualtory and legislative affairs, says the 9.6-cent offer is being made to households whose WGES contracts roll over in June. She wouldn't say whether the deal would be available online for new customers, saying offers depend on the wholesale market.

This is the first viable competitive offer for BGE households to break the 10-cent barrier. As I recall Ohms Energy had offers in the high 9-cent range a few years ago, but it was unable to follow through and some customers were in for a big hassle.

BGE's standard electric price (not counting local delivery, customer fees etc.) starting June 1 will be 11.78 cents per kwh. So 9.6 cents is hugely lower. Rule of thumb for the typical house in a typical month is you save $10 a month for each penny's difference in the kwh price. But summer is not typical. We'll be burning more-than-usual kilowatts running our air conditioners, so the new WGES deal could easily save close to $100 this summer for some.

The question is, what happens after that? These are long-term deals, and the trend for BGE's standard price is down, so the savings will shrink. There is no one-year offer for 9.6 cents from WGES. In this March column, BGE's Mark Case predicted we would see 9-cent household electricity by 2011 or 2012. If that happens, by then you'd be paying slightly more than market at 9.6 cents. On the other hand, getting down to 9 cents isn't guaranteed. And even if it happens you would have saved lots in the meantime.

Even so, if Dominion Retail is still offering its 10.37-cent deal through the end of 2010, that's the one I would recommend. It's not as cheap as the WGES deal. But unlike the WGES offer there is no early-withdrawal penalty. The Dominion Retail offer would let you miss the worst of BGE's prices this summer and then revisit the long-term market at the end of 2010, when prices could be even lower than 9.6 cents.

The WGES deal is nothing to sneeze at, however, and would be a good hedge if electric prices head back up. And if you're already with WGES, who wants the hassle of switching to Dominion for maybe less than a year? The company isn't offering 9.6 cents on its Web site. But maybe if you called 1-888-884-WGES the company would give you the package even if you aren't an existing customer.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (28)
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April 14, 2010

Attic insulation saved me money this winter

So last fall I had AC&R Contracting add insulation in my attic. There were good, temporary tax breaks for weatherizing your house (there still are), and I had pledged to take money I could have been spending on renewable energy credits for electricity generated by wind and spend it instead on reducing energy consumption. After consulting various energy and environmental pros, I decided that was the "greenest" investment.

My attic is one of those low, cheap spaces typical of Howard County houses, propped up by prefab trusses. It had a thin layer of pink blow-in fiberglass, but it was so sparse you could see the ceiling board in some places. The AC&R guys layered on a new, comfy, white blanket at a total cost of $1,120. The material came to $728, which meant I got a $218 credit on my taxes. That reduced the net cost to $902.

Then the job started paying for itself in lower BGE bills. From October through March, I used 688 therms of natural gas, according to my bills. For the same period in the previous winter I used 778 therms. Thermostat was the same. True, average temperatures for the most recent winter were 2 degrees warmer, according to the bills. Still, I figured I saved around $100 compared with what I would have spent without the insulation. And that's not accounting for the most recent winter's lower natural gas prices compared with the previous winter's.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:41 AM | | Comments (1)
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April 5, 2010

How to save in the 'new era' of cheap natural gas

Sunday's column was about the hoopla over natural gas from shale formations in the Appalachians and other parts of the country. Even if only part of the promise from shale gas bears fruit, natural gas stands to stay affordable -- more affordable than oil heat and gasoline -- for years.

If you have natural-gas heat, think twice before locking in any long-term contracts for gas. Deals out there are OK -- in the 70-cents-per-therm range. But the futures market says gas will be cheaper than this next winter. BGE's commodity gas price has been between 73 cents and 59 cents in recent months. (You pay more for delivery.) Even when the economy starts picking up, natural gas prices are more likely to stay in present ranges than gasoline prices, for example, analysts say. I've always stayed with BGE's standard, monthly floating natural gas price and rarely regretted it.

If you have a choice between an electric water heater and gas, go with the gas. Water tanks use up large amounts of energy. Your best bet is to heat with the kind of energy that looks like it'll be more affordable. Of course, if you have a brand-new electric heater it might not make sense to switch. Even with the cheaper BGE bills it'd take years to earn back what a new heater cost. But if you're in the market for a new heater anyway and have a gas hookup, go with that.

Theoretically you can buy a stock natural-gas car -- the Honda Civic GX. But they seem hard to obtain, and they're not very practical for families. I called around to a couple local dealers, who said they've never sold any to individuals. All the customers for natural-gas cars and trucks are government and corporate fleets. Natural gas works for fleets because the vehicles return daily to corporate HQ, where they can fill up on compressed natural gas for the next day's run. It's tougher on individuals, because there's nowhere to fill up. Published range on the GX is only 250 miles.

But if Boone Pickens gets his way and Washington starts promoting NG vehicles, the technology might improve, and gas stations would start offering NG ports as well as diesel and petrol.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

March 22, 2010

BGE reacts to negative column on smart meters

A week ago I wrote a column about Baltimore Gas & Electric's proposed smart-meter program that said:

Someday your meter will talk to your refrigerator and the Internet, and it'll really be cool. But because the hardware and software are unproved, maybe Maryland should wait a couple years before sending its meters to college.

Here is a response from Mark Case, BGE's senior vice president of strategy and regulation. Case's thoughts were initially sent internally to BGE's media relations crew and then shared with me. They're a fair response to the column, and he and BGE agreed to let me publish them. I respond to his points in italics.

A few reflection’s to Jay’s story over the weekend:

1. Jay doesn’t accurately quote me or reflect my position and interview comments in the statement below from his story. My statements have consistently been that both PeakRewards and Smart Grid are far cheaper options than the cost of building new power plants, and that Smart Grid provides benefits that go well, well beyond what PeakRewards can do. The two serve related purposes but have many important differences.

“Peak Rewards has already chopped electricity demand in Maryland by half of what a new decent-size nuclear reactor would pump out - at far less cost than for smart meters, according to Mark Case, BGE's senior vice president of strategy and regulation”

I didn't misquote Case, but I didn't present his full argument, either. Yes, Peak Rewards is cheaper than smart meters and has delivered big efficiencies. But BGE claims that, dollar-for-dollar, smart meters will deliver much greater energy- and money-saving dividends than Peak Rewards. It may, but this remains to be seen. Nowhere in the country has a large-scale smart-meter rollout proven this.


2. While Jay is correct that PeakRewards and Energy Efficiency are great programs benefitting BGE’s customers, the fact is that even with such programs demand in the region is forecasted by PJM and by us to grow significantly over the next several years. We need to do

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Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:01 AM | | Comments (6)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

March 4, 2010

What if I've locked in an electric price?

Yesterday's column was an expanded version of this blog post about falling electricity prices and alternative deals from Dominion Retail and other power sellers.

Bottom line: If you haven't switched to an alternative supplier yet, take Dominion Retail's deal of 10.37 cents per kilowatt hour for generation and transmission. It'll save you $10 or $20 a month off BGE's standard price of 11.78 cents for the summer months. Then, if prices continue to fall as experts believe they will, shop around again in the fall or at the end of the year. Either timing will work because Dominion's offer expires in December, but you can get out of the deal early penalty-free.

But what if you're like reader Ron and me, who switched to a 10.8-cent fixed-price deal from Washington Gas Energy Services a year ago? We've saved a decent amount of money. (BGE's standard price last summer was more than 12 cents.) But now some WGES customers are locked in until 2011 or even 2012 if they took a 3-year deal.

Unlike Dominion, WGES and other alternative suppliers charge an early termination fee of $75, $150 or sometimes even more. I told Ron I'm going to keep my WGES deal at least through the summer. My 10.8-cent price is still lower than the 11.78 cents BGE will be charging this summer. Then I'll see where the market is in the fall. (Let's hope no Gulf Coast hurricane disrupts natural gas supply lines, which would cause prices to spike.) If prices really do fall to 9 cents, as some are predicting, I'll do the math and see how many months of savings it would take to repay my WGES termination fee.

UPDATE: A reader asks: What are the risks of switching to Dominion? Here's my answer.

The risks are that electric prices spike back up in the near term. (Because of a hurricane or economic revival.) The Dominion deal expires in December. But even here you are hedged, because BGE has been locking up supply for 2011 and 2012 at current, lower prices. BGE's summer 2011 price will be decently lower than the summer 2010 price of 11.78 cents. (All these prices are exclusive of delivery, which adds another 2.5 cents or so.) Even BGE's standard price from Oct. 1 2010 to May 31 2011 is likely to be at or slightly less than the Dominion price. (It's still worth taking the Dominion deal to avoid BGE's high prices this summer, when your AC will be cranking.) So to me the potential downsides of taking the Dominion deal are limited.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:37 AM | | Comments (6)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

February 25, 2010

BGE's Case: Electric prices will keep falling

Here's an update to a recent post on what BGE's prices will be for the 12 months beginning June 1. First, a correction. When Public Service Commission chair Doug Nazarian posted BGE's upcoming summer price in the blog's comments section, I thought he was including the transmission charge. Turns out he was including only the price for generating the electricity. So the number I gave for the BGE's upcoming June - September standard price, 11.333 cents per kilowatt hour, is a little too low. Including transmission, says BGE's Mark Case, it'll be 11.78 cents, which is about 5 bucks more a month for a typical user.

BGE's total summer price, adding up all the charges of delivery, transmission and generation, will still be about 5 or 6 percent less than in the summer of 2009. (It'll go up over what it is now because summer prices are almost always higher.)

But here's the real news: According to numbers supplied by Case, BGE's total standard electricity price (including delivery) starting Oct. 1 could be about 10 percent lower than what it is during the current "non-summer" period of October 2009 through May 2010. BGE hasn't bought all its electricity yet for the next non-summer period, but they've locked up 75 percent and have projections for the rest. And Case thinks prices will keep dropping into 2011. "If you look toward the longer term, I think we're headed toward 9-cent power," he said, referring to generation and transmission costs only.

What that means to shoppers: Take Dominion Retail's offer of 10.37 cents for generation and transmission to avoid BGE's upcoming summertime generation/transmission price of 11.78 cents, as noted above. (That switch will save more than $10 a month this summer.) Then start shopping again next fall and look for even lower prices. If you want to switch before the Dominion deal expires at the end of the year, not a problem. Unlike other companies offering alternatives to BGE's standard product, Dominion lets you terminate early without penalty.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:06 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

February 23, 2010

BGE electric price to drop 6% this summer

I blogged this yesterday as an update but wanted to repeat because it's news. While neither Baltimore Gas & Electric nor the Public Service Commission have officially published BGE's standard electric price starting June 1, Public Service Commission Chairman Doug Nazarian posted it in the blog's comments section yesterday. The default BGE price for generation and transmission this summer will be 11.333 cents per kilowatt hour, Nazarian said. Add about 2.5 cents for BGE to deliver the power to your house and it's 13.833 cents.

That's about a 6 percent decrease from the 14.745-cent delivered price of electricity during the summer of 2009. (The price for just generation and transmission fell from 12.245 cents to 11.333 cents.) Not great but a little relief. It'll save a typical household $5 or $10 a month, depending on how hot it gets and how much you run your air conditioner.

You can save a little more than this by switching to one of several third-party offers of about 10.3 cents for generation and transmission. Add in the 2.5-cent delivery charge and you get an inclusive price of 12.8 cents per kilowatt hour. That's another penny cheaper than the price Nazarian disclosed yesterday and would save an additional $10 or $15 a month over the standard BGE price.

I recommend the offer from Dominion Retail of 10.37 cents for generation and transmission. It's a little more than other offers, and it goes only until the end of the year. But it give you instant savings and the cost-free option of switching to another deal if energy prices continue to drop. Other vendors charge you an arm and a leg for early termination.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:46 AM | | Comments (17)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

February 22, 2010

Electricity shopping: Flawed 'price to compare'

Liz Kay has a piece in the resurrected Baltimore Sun Sunday business section on surge of competitive electricity offers in Maryland for residential customers. Basically Baltimore Gas & Electric bought a lot of long-term residential juice a couple years ago when energy prices were sky high. That allows competitors, including BGE Home, also owned by BGE parent Constellation Energy, to offer lower prices now that the wholesale market has come down.Gov. O'Malley's statement that he'll drop his attempt to re-regulate Maryland electricity (whatever that meant) has also probably contributed to competitive vendors testing the Maryland market.

But unfortunately consumers are operating with incomplete information. You're supposed to compare offers from Washington Gas Energy Services, BGE Home, Dominion Retail etc. with BGE's 'price to compare,' which has been 11.97 cents per kilowatt hour for electricity generation and long-distance transmission for the last year. Competitive suppliers are waving that price around and boasting they can beat it. But it's out of date. First of all, 11.97 cents is a blended, annual rate, including BGE's high prices from the summer of 2009. (Summer prices are almost always higher than non-summer prices.) Last time I checked summer ended in September. BGE's standard residential price since Oct. 1 has been 11.527 cents.

UPDATE. Pulled from comments. Public Service Commission Chairman Doug Nazarian says BGE's summer rate is set: "11.333 cents/kWh (down from 12.245 cents for the same period in 2009)." That's still a penny higher than the competitive offers on the table. Of course, the non-summer price (beginning Oct. 1) will probably be lower than that, but we don't know how much lower. So your savings will be less. Residential summer prices for 2010 for Pepco and other Maryland utilities are also in Nazarian's note.

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Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:43 AM | | Comments (14)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

February 3, 2010

BGE natural gas prices fall 9% for February

Baltimore Gas & Electric has posted a natural-gas price for February of 65.85 cents per therm -- a nice dip from January's 72.59 cents. Unlike BGE's electricity price, which stays the same for months at a time, the BGE gas price floats from month to month based on the company's costs in the wholesale market.

Wholesale gas prices have been trending up lately, but obviously not enough to put serious upward pressure on what BGE customers are paying. BGE locked up a lot of its supply for this winter in the middle of 2009, when prices were really low, so that helps. In any event we're way below the costs of recent winters. Last February the gas commodity price was 89.71 cents; in February 2008 it was 93.60.

Those of us who said "no" to this winter's fixed-price deal from Washington Gas Energy Services of 73 cents per therm should have no reason to regret it. Looks like BGE's standard price will stay below that at least until the cold months are over. Now WGES is offering a 1-year gas deal for 85 cents and a two-year deal for 88 cents. If the economy picks up and energy demand rises (or if another Hurricane Katrina disrupts Gulf gas commerce), those prices may look good. But the other factor is the new supplies of shale gas that have come on line in recent years. Those could keep the wholesale price somewhat contained even with an increase in demand.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:47 AM | | Comments (4)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

January 12, 2010

BGE Home sells electricity, undercuts BGE price

In another sign that the market for electricity shopping is heating up for Maryland residential customers, BGE Home launched a fixed-price product on Monday that's more than a penny per kilowatt-hour lower than what Baltimore Gas & Electric is charging from now through May. At 10.25 cents per kilowatt-hour for two years, it's the cheapest competitive offer for BGE customers I can find. It's a decent offer -- subject to the cautions I give below. So is BGE Home's one-year deal of 10.35 cents per kilowatt-hour. (This includes costs for generation and transmission. You pay another 2.5 cents or so for delivery.)

The deals show that wholesale electricity prices continue to edge down from their highs in 2008, thanks to a slowing economy that has reduced demand.

BGE Home, which like BGE is owned by Constellation Energy but is less regulated, has sold fixed-price natural-gas contracts for years. But it has never sold electricity until now. The company joins Washington Gas Energy Services and Dominion Retail in hawking kilowatts that are cheaper, at least for now, than the default BGE product most households get. BGE Home and other companies can undercut BGE because BGE bought much of its juice for this year in 2008 at high, 2008 prices.

"It was a business decision based on the current market prices," says Jack Bode, BGE Home's vice president of sales. "We thought it was time to roll it out." They're limiting the offer, being marketed as from Constellation Electric, to the first 5,000 households. It's kind of pilot program, and Constellation may start selling residential juice under the same name in other places.

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Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:42 AM | | Comments (15)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

January 11, 2010

Cold weather increases natural-gas prices

Cold weather across the country is pushing up wholesale prices for natural gas. And despite the fact that BGE bought much of its gas supply for this winter at lower prices in the middle of last year, prices for residential BGE customers have popped up as well. The price per therm for household BGE customers for January is 73 cents, according to the latest posting. That's up from 65 cents in December and 63 cents in November.

Even 73 cents is still much cheaper than prices from a year ago, when BGE was still shipping gas bought before energy prices crashed in 2008. In January 2009 BGE's commodity gas price (delivery is extra) was $1.04 per therm. In recent months WGES Energy Services was and still is offering a fixed price of 73 cents per therm for 12 months. If wholesale prices head up much more, those who took that deal for this winter will be happy, although the February gas futures contract hasn't budged much since mid-December.

WGES is also offering an 83-cent, two year deal, which looks tempting. If the economy picks up this year or if we have a hot summer, requiring lots of natural-gas electricity generation, wholesale prices could head back up. So far, however, I'm sticking with BGE's floating, month-to-month price.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:00 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 30, 2009

California utility hits glitch with 'smart' meters

PG&E, California's largest electricity utility, has been installing computerized "smart" meters, which are critical for cutting energy use and bringing the grid into the 21st century. But it stopped installing them in Bakersfield after customers complained they were delivering incorrect readings, reports Bloomberg.

Martha Johnson, pastor of a church in Bakersfield, said her utility bill almost doubled from a year earlier to $874 in July after her new meter was installed. “That caught my eye because I’ve never had a bill that high,” said Johnson, 64.

San Francisco-based PG&E, which faces a lawsuit from a Bakersfield customer who’s seeking class-action status, says its meters are accurate and hot weather and increased rates led to higher bills than consumers expected. The state Utilities Commission ordered an independent study of billing accuracy.

Baltimore Gas & Electric has a pending proposal to install smart meters.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:54 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 23, 2009

Maryland electricity deals

Today's column is about how next year Maryland may finally see a decent number of companies offering electricity packages as alternatives to the standard offerings from BGE, Pepco and so forth. Gov. O'Malley seems to have softened in his view of retail electricity competition, and he's not seeking a re-regulation bill that might quash it. The Public Service Commission may finally move on some long-overdue measures that would make it easier for competitive electricity suppliers to make offers to Maryland households the way they've been selling to offices and other businesses.

As mentioned, there have been a couple decent offers already out there. BGE's price for raw electricity between now and May 31 is 11.527 cents per kilowatt hour. You pay another 2.5 cents or so for BGE to deliver the juice over its wires, but that's not counted when you're comparison shopping. You pay BGE's delivery charge no matter who your supplier is.

Recently Dominion Retail has been offering a good deal: 10.37 cents through 2010 vs. the standard BGE price of 11.527 cents. That'd save houses $10 a month or more. But I can't get Dominion's Web page to confirm that price this morning.

Washington Gas Energy services has now lowered its price and is making a similar offer to Dominion's: 10.4 cents. And you can lock in for up to three years. It's hard to tell where electricity prices will go between now and 2012, but if the economy revives the WGES offer could be a good deal.

Continue reading "Maryland electricity deals" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:42 AM | | Comments (9)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 14, 2009

BGE gas price rises, stays below competition

This month's floating price for Baltimore Gas & Electric natural gas rose to 65 cents per therm. (Not counting delivery by BGE.) That's the highest it has been since March, when it was 85 cents, on a rapid descent from $1.05 in December 2008 to 53 cents in May. The November BGE gas price had been 63 cents. While BGE gas has bumped up since May, it's still way below last year's levels and below the competing, fixed price offers from WGES and others for this winter.

Washington Gas Energy Services has been offering to lock BGE households into a 73-cent natural gas price for a year and 83 cents (a couple months ago it was 85 cents) for two years. On Oct. 6 I wrote: "I'm pretty sure the one-year [WGES] deal will turn out to be more expensive than BGE's default program. The two-year package I'm not so sure about. If the economy recovers in a healthy way, natural gas prices could easily be north of 85 cents for the winter of 2010-2011."

That still sounds about right. Spot prices for wholesale natural gas are bumping around in the 50-cent-per-therm range at the Louisiana shipping hub. (You have to add about a dime to pipe it to Maryland.) But futures prices for the winter of 2010/2011are trading around 80 cents, which would seem to assume an economic pickup. I'm still sticking with BGE's standard, floating, month-to-month price.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:35 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 9, 2009

What's taxpayer cost for renewable energy deal?

I'm biased to love the O'Malley administration's proposal to buy nearly a fourth of all the megawatts used by state agencies and universities from nearby wind- and solar-power producers. It's a bold move to stimulate the development of renewable energy in the region and burnish the state's high-tech cred by supporting next-generation generation, so to speak.

Buried in the news of this announcement is Constellation Energy's idea to build a 17-megawatt solar farm in Emmittsburg to sell juice to the state as part of the deal. That would be the 32nd biggest photovoltaic array in the world and the 3rd-biggest in the United States, according to today's rankings, although surely many other projects are being built that will compete for the top spots.

But the state has to come clean on what this will cost taxpayers. Maryland energy czar Malcolm Woolf wouldn't disclose it to The Sun's Tim Wheeler. "Terms of the deals remain confidential until the contracts are signed early next year," Wheeler paraphrased Woolf as saying. "Generally speaking, the prices agreed to are slightly higher than electricity costs today, he said..."

Sorry, that's far from acceptable. Revealing the terms after Maryland is legally obligated to honor them is not the way open government should work in a transaction of this size. Over the 20-year term of the deal the cost will be in the $1 billion neighborhood. The price of solar- and wind-generated electricity is typically a lot more than "slightly higher" than today's prices for coal and nuclear juice. As a public entity the state isn't eligible for renewable-energy tax breaks available to corporations and individuals. The deals may be worth doing even if the price is a lot more than slightly higher. But taxpayers need to see the numbers.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:37 AM | | Comments (17)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

December 1, 2009

$100 February BGE credit goes to ALL households

As part of the Public Service Commission's agreement to let EDF Group invest $4.5 billion in Constellation Energy's nuclear-power business, Constellation agreed to give each BGE household a $100 rebate. Constellation owns Baltimore Gas & Electric. Hanah Cho reports that the credit will be applied to February BGE bills.

I've said this before, but it bears repeating because many people ask. Even if you have switched to an alternative electricity supplier such as WGES or Dominion Retail, you still get the $100. BGE is always your electricity delivery company no matter whom you buy the juice from. The $100 will be applied against the delivery (also known as distribution) part of your BGE bill. If you buy your electric supply from WGES or somebody else, that usually is applied to your BGE bill as a separate item. But it won't affect the free $100.

By the same token, BGE's Peak Rewards program, which awards summertime credits in return for BGE's ability to turn off your air conditioning for short periods, has no effect on the $100 credit. If you're in Peak Rewards you still get the $100. Every residential customer gets the $100.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:44 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Solar plant could be step to reregulate electricity

Neither the CPV solar- and gas-powered generators or the Criterion wind-power project acquired by Constellation Energy have begun construction. We'll see how quickly they get built -- or in the case of the CPV project, whether it gets built at all. If it does, it may turn out to be Maryland's first step toward reregulating electricity.

CPV's proposed 10-megawatt solar facility is pretty big -- for a solar facility. PVResources.com lists the DeSoto Next Generation Solar Energy Center, in California, as the biggest solar array in the United States. It was completed in October and is 25 megawatts. That's No. 15 in the world, according to PVResources. The biggest photovoltaic generator is in Spain -- 60 megawatts. At 10 megawatts CPV's unit would be in the top 100 in the world, but presumably many others are under construction and might bump it from the top ranks.

At Calvert Cliffs, Constellation Energy's nuclear reactors can produce 1,700 megawatts of juice, so you can see how small the solar generators are by comparison.

We'll see if the CPV unit gets built at all. For a while now the company has been seeking permits for a companion, gas-fired generator. Maryland needs the extra generation capacity, but there's a catch. CPV says it won't build either the gas or the solar generator without a contract with a customer. But this is not the way electricity deregulation in Maryland was supposed to work.

Continue reading "Solar plant could be step to reregulate electricity" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:07 AM | | Comments (4)
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November 6, 2009

Constellation, EDF close their deal

From the email inbox:

Constellation Energy and EDF Group Complete Nuclear Joint Venture

BALTIMORE and PARIS – Nov. 6, 2009 – Constellation Energy (NYSE:CEG) and EDF Development Inc. (a wholly-owned subsidiary of EDF S.A.) today announced that EDF has completed its investment in Constellation Energy Nuclear Group, LLC, which is structured as a new joint venture. With the close of the transaction, the companies look forward to working together to deliver the expected economic, environmental and clean energy benefits created by the joint venture.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:57 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

November 5, 2009

Dominion Retail undercuts BGE's standard price

If you haven't switched to an alternative electricity supplier yet, Dominion Retail is offering a good deal to BGE customers. At 10.37 cents per kilowatt-hour for electric supply and cross-country transmission (delivery by BGE is another 2.37 cents), Dominion has the lowest price most BGE customers have seen in a while. The price locks in from now through 2010, and there is no cancellation penalty. A typical house ought to save $10 or more a month.

(Attention: If you switch to Dominion you WON'T lose the $100 BGE credit just obtained by the Public Service Commission as a result of a venture by Constellation Energy, the utility's parent. The credit is applied through your BGE delivery account, which doesn't change no matter who your electricity vendor is. So you can basically double the O'Malley/PSC credit by switching to Dominion.)

UPDATE: Switching to Dominion, WGES or any other competitive supplier does not affect the Peak Rewards you get from BGE cycling off your AC in the summer, either.

In comparing its price to BGE's price, Dominion's marketing department seems a little messed up. They claim 10.37 cents is 12 percent less than BGE's "price to compare" of 11.97 cents. Actually it's 13 percent less. But at this point on the calendar, BGE's price to compare is misleading. That's because 11.97 cents is a blended price to compare for the 12 months starting June 1 -- a period that includes both BGE's high summer rates and lower non-summer rates. But summer is over, so a better point of comparison should be BGE's non-summer price that started Oct. 1 and goes through May 31 -- 11.527 cents.

Got that? No? Don't worry. Dominion's price is still 10 percent less than what BGE's standard price will 

Continue reading "Dominion Retail undercuts BGE's standard price" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:16 AM | | Comments (27)
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November 2, 2009

Every BGE home gets credit -- even if you switched

I get questions about this all the time, so now that EDF Group and Constellation have agreed to complete their deal and rebate $100 to Baltimore Gas & Electric customers, it seems a good time to repeat: EVERY BGE household gets the $100 credit, even if you have switched like me to buying electricity from Washington Gas Energy Services or somebody else. The $100 credit will be applied to the distribution charge on your BGE bill. You always pay BGE a distribution charge; BGE is your electricity delivery company no matter who your supplier is.

Dominion Retail is offering a new deal to BGE customers that is cheaper than BGE's standard charge for households. (I'll have more on this later.) So don't resist switching to Dominion Retail or anybody else because you fear it would jeopardize the $100 credit that the Public Service Commission made Constellation provide as part of the EDF deal. If you're a residential customer and you're in the BGE delivery zone (essentially Baltimore and its suburbs), you get the credit.

UPDATE: Under the PSC requirements BGE has to give the credit by March 30. But it could be earlier.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:39 AM | | Comments (9)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

How will a reluctant EDF chief affect partnership?

I'm reading between the lines here, but it sounds like the Sarkozy government pushed the French EDF Group's deal with Constellation Energy to go through even though incoming EDF boss Henri Proglio has his doubts about it. Without Proglio's wholehearted support, I wonder how well the partnership will work out.

Last week reports surfaced in the French press that Proglio was skeptical of the agreement with Constellation and was looking for a way out. He met in closed session with a parliamentary committee. Some of the legislators leaked his testimony to reporters.

But late last week there was push-back. French government sources were telling reporters that the Sarkozy administration still supported the deal, suggesting that Proglio was told to swallow it. (The French government owns most of EDF's stock.)

Continue reading "How will a reluctant EDF chief affect partnership? " »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:17 AM | | Comments (0)
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After months of doubt, EDF, Constellation OK deal

After months of uncertainty and contention over the French EDF Group's plan to invest $4.5 billion in half of Constellation Energy's nuclear power business, the companies announced this morning that they would go through with the deal.

Constellation CEO Mayo Shattuck said last week that they could complete it within a couple weeks. The conditions set by the Maryland Public Service Commission for the transaction include a required credit of about $100 for every residential customer in Baltimore Gas & Electric's service area.

"We have consulted with our Board and received its approval," Constellation said in a prepared statement this morning. "We are now moving to close the transaction as quickly as possible so that we can begin to deliver the many benefits of this investment to all stakeholders across the state."

In its statement, EDF said: "Through its investment in Constellation Energy’s nuclear business, EDF has chosen Maryland to be at the center of its growth efforts in the United States. EDF is eager to be a strong corporate citizen in Maryland, and looks forward to moving its U.S. headquarters to the State."

The decisions come after months of uncertainty and weeks of contentious hearings before the Maryland Public Service Commission, which asserted authority after EDF and Constellation agreed to the deal late last year. Gov. Martin O'Malley had sought several conditions from Constellation before he would agree to countenance the transaction, including protections for Constellation subsidiary BGE, rate rebates for BGE customers and compensation reductions for Shattuck.

In approving the deal with conditions on Friday, the PSC agreed with O'Malley's desired protections for BGE and required a $100-per-household rebate for BGE customers -- about half of what O'Malley had suggested. But it said it has no jurisdiction over Shattuck's pay.

Late last week reports surfaced in the French press suggesting that EDF's incoming CEO, Henri Proglio, was unenthusiastic about the Constellation deal and was looking for a way out. However, Proglio doesn't take over until later this month. EDF's existing boss, Pierre Gadonneix, badly wanted the transaction to close so that the huge French utility could use the United States to demonstrate its nuclear expertise.

In deciding that the transaction can go forward, both companies agreed to the conditions that the PSC imposed.

EDF will own 49 percent of Constellation's nuclear business, and they will operate it together. The PSC decision was the last regulatory hurdle that the partnership needed, U.S. federal authorities having already given it their blessing. The deal's completion and the injection of the French cash strengthens Constellation's financial position after it was badly damaged by the 2008 financial meltdown and came close to seeking bankruptcy protection.

It also sets the stage for the construction of a third nuclear reactor at Calvert Cliffs, which both companies have pledged to pursue. The project would be one of the biggest construction projects ever in Maryland and bring new supplies of electricity to a state that hasn't seen significant generation capacity built in more than a decade. But first the companies need to secure financing for the reactor. And even if construction goes smoothly it would take years to complete.

EDF's and Constellation's statements are below:

Continue reading "After months of doubt, EDF, Constellation OK deal" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:42 AM | | Comments (22)
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October 30, 2009

PSC allows deal, but will companies follow through?

If Constellation Energy and/or Electricite de France really want to consummate the expansion of their nuclear-energy venture, the Maryland Public Service Commission just made it possible. The PSC would require $110 million in rebates for residential BGE customers as part of the deal. And it wants Constellation to make a $250 million investment into Baltimore Gas & Electric to boost its capital. It also wants to start the process of installing new legal barriers between BGE and Constellation.

But the conditions fall short of what was requested by Gov. Martin O'Malley. He wanted a customer rebate more than twice as big as what the PSC is requiring. And he wanted some kind of restriction or other action on the pay of Constellation CEO Mayo Shattuck. But the PSC took a pass on Shattuck's pay, as it should have. "But even if we might, as individuals, question the wisdom of paying anyone millions of dollars a year given CEG's recent history, it is our role as Commissioners to focus on BGE and its ratepayers," the PSC said in its order.

The conditions don't seem to be deal-killers if Constellation and EDF really want to go through with the transaction. Given recent reports that EDF's new CEO has doubts about the deal, and given that Constellation doesn't need EDF's money as much as it once did, that is very much open to question.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 1:37 PM | | Comments (6)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Liveblog: PSC approves CEG/EDF deal with 'conditions' including $100 credit for BGE ratepayers

And we're liveblogging the PSC decision on Constellation and EDF. EDF and Constellation want to have EDF buy half of Constellation's nuclear-energy business for $4.5 billion.

The Public Service Commission approves the deal with "conditions." One of the conditions is "a distribution rate credit to Baltimore Gas & Electric residential ratepayers of $110.5 million." Note -- every BGE residential customer gets a distrubtion credit, whether you have switched electricity suppliers to WGES or anybody else.

"The total $110.5 million rebate will provide a credit of approximately $100 for each BGE residential customer."

UPDATE: The PSC is basically asking EDF and Constellation to divert money they were going to spend on a visitor center at Calvert Cliffs, charitable contributions, a delay in a distribution rate increase etc. and spend it instead on the residential ratepayer credits.

"This condition should not restrict EDF or CEG from building a visitor center or funding CEG's foundation or both," the PSC says.

UPDATE: Another condition of the EDF investment: Constellation has to put $250 million in cash into Baltimore Gas & Electric between now and June 30. Future dividends paid by BGE parent Constellation would also be restricted.

UPDATE: The PSC tells Constellation and EDF they have until Nov. 6 -- next Friday -- to say whether or not they intend to go through with the deal.

And more:

-- Whether or not EDF and Constellation build a third reactor at Calvert Cliffs is up to them, the PSC says. "As we explain, the decision to build Calvert Cliffs 3, and the fate of any impact to our State from that project, lies in the Companies' hands at this point, not ours..." the order says.

-- Ouch! "It is unfortunate, though, if public officials, churches, Chambers of Commerce, business owners, the press and, most of all, the Companies employees' have been (mis)led to believe that our decision approving this Transaction guarantees that Calvert Cliffs 3 will be built."

-- The commission punts on the pay of Constellation CEO Mayo Shattuck, saying it has no jurisdiction. "But even if we might, as individuals, question the wisdom of paying anyone millions of dollars a year given CEG's recent history, it is our role as Commissioners to focus on BGE and its ratepayers."

-- No kidding! "We will not pretend that this rebate, which will amount to approximately $100 per residential customer, will make a significant difference in anyone's bill, although every little bit helps."

Posted by Jay Hancock at 12:22 PM | | Comments (9)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

PSC report on Constellation/EDF deal due noon today

The Public Service Commission's decision on EDF Group's proposal to buy half of Constllation Energy's nuclear-energy business for $4.5 billion is due at noon. Stay tuned.

Also, Hanah Cho reports:

Baltimore's Constellation Energy Group said Friday it remains committed to selling half of its nuclear power business to a French utility after reports surfaced earlier this week that Electricite de France wants to scrap the $4.5 billion deal.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:19 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Beware French reports saying EDF/CEG deal dead

Be careful using reports in the French press to jump to conclusions that EDF Group will scrap plans to invest $4.5 billion into Constellation Energy's nuclear-power business. It may be true that Henri Proglio, CEO designate of EDF, expressed doubts about the state-owned electricity company's U.S. plans. But I wonder if he understands what dumping the Constellation deal would involve.

Several news organizations say Proglio views EDF's agreement to buy half of Constellation's nuclear-electricity business skeptically. The reports emerged after Proglio met in closed session with a parliamentary committee that oversees the state-owned electricity giant. Politicians gave anonymous quotes to the press afterward.

As noted in a previous post, Les Echos states flatly that Proglio "would like... to exit a proposed joint venture with the American Constellation." Le Monde says, "He would prefer to find an exit." A Reuters piece is more nuanced. (These are my {rough!} translations.)

According to a legislator who did not wish to be named, Henri Proglio expressed doubts about EDF's latest acquisitions. "He said that, for England, the deal had to be


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Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:07 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 29, 2009

Report: EDF's new boss would dump Constellation

EDF Group, parent of Electricite de France and partner of Constellation Energy in an expanded joint venture and proposal to build a third nuclear reactor at Maryland's Calvert Cliffs, has a new boss. Henri Proglio is his name. People have been wondering whether he would take a different approach to EDF's expanded partnership with Constellation, which is under review at the Maryland Public Service Commission.

Now Thibaut Madelin, energy correspondent for Les Echos, is stating as a fact, without offering any evidence, that Proglio wants to dump Constellation.

In a piece about Proglio's appearance before the French economic affairs legislative commitee, Madelin says Proglio "would like... to exit a proposed joint venture with the American Constellation." Lower down in the piece Madelin says this:

Henri Proglio, who would like to make the group's French operations transparent to determine the true cost of nuclear development, seems at any rate ready for strategic change. He wonders about the proposal to buy 50 percent of the nuclear assets of the American Constellation. An exit could be delivered on a plate in coming days with the pending decision of the Maryland public service commission. This would allow the operation under certain conditions. Henri Proglio is free to accept them or not.

Without any on-the-record evidence from Proglio or EDF, I would treat the report cautiously. Still, Les Echos has been ahead of the curve and correct on previous EDF developments.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:29 AM | | Comments (6)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 28, 2009

Will the PSC slow down BGE's smart meters?

Given the Public Service Commission's extensions of looking into EDF Group's attempt to buy half of Constellation Energy Group's nuclear-power business, one wonders how long it will take the PSC to consider Baltimore Gas & Electric's request to install smart meters and get electricity customers to partly pay for them. And how will the PSC rule? Smart meters are essential for energy conservation and will save BGE customers money over the long run.

But that doesn't mean the PSC will say yes. And there are important items for the PSC to examine. At the top of the list is making sure people who are aggressive about cutting energy use and reaping rebates with smart meters aren't gaining at the expense of passive consumers who conduct business as usual and pay the higher peak rates BGE wants to charge. The PSC needs to make sure premiums earned by energy misers come from systemwide savings. BGE says this will be the case, but the PSC needs to make sure.

I queried BGE about this. Mark Case, the utility's senior vice president for strategy and regulation, says BGE had asked the commission to decide by Oct. 1. They couldn't do that, which makes sense given that the EDF stuff is on their plate -- plus everything else they regulate. Even so, the PSC has committed to making a decision by the end of the year, which for the commission is pretty quick. Says Case:

We and Pepco had both asked for a PSC decision by October 1 to give us the greatest chance for DOE funding, knowing how intensely competitive the stimulus grant process would be, and knowing that some state Commissions had already come out in support of Smart Grid and AMI. The PSC put together what they felt was as aggressive a schedule as they could support that would still allow them to do an intensive and comprehensive review.

Continue reading "Will the PSC slow down BGE's smart meters?" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:05 AM | | Comments (4)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 27, 2009

BGE 'smart grid' grant is excellent news

Baltimore Gas & Electric was been awarded $200 million in federal stimulus money to install "smart" meters that will let consumers save money by spending less on electricity during times of peak use, Paul West reports in today's paper. No matter what you think of BGE and its parent, Constellation Energy, this is great news. Smart meters will be critical for cutting energy use, reducing carbon emissions, reducing the need to build new generators and making the grid more efficient and reliable. The federal money means the cost to BGE customers to install the meters will be much less. (Over time the meters will save customers more than they cost them.)

Among other things, smart meters will pay BGE customers bonuses for cutting back at times of high use, alert BGE when there are outages, eliminate the need for meter readers and make sure your bill is always up to date. Don't oppose smart meters just because electricity deregulation failed in Maryland for residential customers. Deregulation was a supply-side solution; it was supposed to induce power companies to build new generation plants in Maryland, which would lower prices and solve looming reliability problems. That never happened. Smart-meters are a demand-side solution -- one that's more subject to regulatory control and is better for the planet, in any event.

Here is my July column on BGE's grant application:

The computer in my toaster might be more powerful than the one that guided Apollo 11. But half a century after Robert Noyce launched the cyber age by inventing the silicon-based integrated circuit, computers are curiously scarce in one huge and critical part of daily life.

When power goes out in your neighborhood, Baltimore Gas & Electric has no idea until somebody picks up a phone and tells it. BGE still has to send out meter readers to figure out bills.

Households are clueless about daily electricity price fluctuations. It's like not knowing when strawberries are on sale at Safeway.

What does it cost to run a load of dishes? Bake a turkey? Watch I'm a Celebrity, Get Me Out of Here? Unless you're a power geek, you don't know.

Continue reading "BGE 'smart grid' grant is excellent news" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:46 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 26, 2009

O'Malley's deal has big pricetag for Constellation

The conditions outlined by Gov. O'Malley for regulators to approve the Constellation Energy Group -- EDF Group deal are similar to conditions he put directly to Constellation earlier this year. He wants 1) A one-time, 10 percent credit to BGE residential customers; 2) A capital infusion from parent Constellation into Baltimore Gas & Electric; 3) A contribution to a fund for lower-income utility users; 4) A moat and walls around BGE to prevent Constellation or any future owner from raiding it for resources.

Added up, all this will easily exceed $600 million at a time when both Constellation and EDF are tight on capital. The 10 percent credit for BGE gas and electric customers would exceed $200 million. Add another $50 to $100 million for the Universal Service Fund for lower-income households. Add at least another $400 million infusion for BGE to get its common-equity ratio up to levels that will make O'Malley and the Public Service Commission happy.

All this money would have to be placed on the counter when the deal closes next year, if not earlier. (However I could see everybody agreeing to have Constellation increase BGE's equity over time instead of all at once.) I wonder how Constellation's bond-rating agencies, which are already putting pressure on the company, would react if the company agrees to these conditions.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:58 AM | | Comments (19)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 21, 2009

This is the way the EDF deal ends

Gov. O'Malley's public admission that settlement talks with Constellation Energy Group have failed leaves him with two choices. Unable to get a scalp from Constellation in the way of rate cuts or a giveback of CEG boss Mayo Shattuck's pay, he can retaliate by having the Public Service Commission reject EDF Group's proposed investment in CEG. (Yes, I know the PSC is supposed to be independent of the governor. Yeah.)

EDF wants to buy half of CEG's nuclear-power business for $4.5 billion. Both companies have said that if the deal goes through they'll build a new nuclear unit at Calvert Cliffs, creating thousands of construction jobs and giving Maryland badly needed new, carbon-free electricity. Both companies have said that without the EDF injection they won't build at Calvert Cliffs. So O'Malley's choice No. 1 jeopardizes the nuclear unit, which he says he wants, and exposes him to voter backlash if the deal fails. (He's running for reelection next year.)

Choice No. 2 is to have the PSC approve the EDF investment without any concessions from Constellation. That's a downer for O'Malley, too. It makes him look weak. His administration has yammered about Constellation and Shattuck's pay all year, and now he backs down. That defeat obscures the substantial

Continue reading "This is the way the EDF deal ends" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:51 AM | | Comments (19)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 7, 2009

Happy Birthday, Mr. Shattuck

Mayo A. Shattuck III, CEO of Constellation Energy, turns 55 today, according to Progressive Maryland. I wasn't able to confirm the date -- only that he turns 55 this month. In any event, it's a big time for Mr. Shattuck, and not just because he hits the double-nickel milestone. Shattuck finally becomes eligible for his fabulous, "supplemental" executive pension, worth $33 million at the end of 2008. He has had it in his grasp before, but tomorrow, if the protesters have identified his birthday correctly, he'll nail it. (Progressive Marylnd plans a "party" in front of Constellation headquarters.)

As with regular pensions, CEOs have to rack up seniority before they become eligible for retirement payouts. Unlike regular pensions, supplemental executive plans come in denominations of seven and eight figures. Unlike regular pensions, supplementals are subject to frequent tinkering and upgrades by the board to make already wealthy CEOs even more blessed. In many CEO comp packages supplemental pensions make up huge amounts of the total dough. Until a few years ago companies could hide them behind terrible disclosure rules, but the SEC finally put a stop to that. Now they're spelled out in all their glory, which over time might shame boards into downsizing the packages.

Shattuck signed on to his bonus pension when Constellation hired him as CEO in 2001. He had to put in 10 years of service and be at least 55 years old to qualify for benefits. He almost struck early paydirt in 2006. His attempted sale of Constellation to FPL Group that year would have triggered a golden parachute that included an early, lump-sum payout of the pension. (Nobody actually actually takes monthly payments from these things when they're sitting in a nursing home. As soon as they can they take the lump-sum cash, discounted to present value. The notion that these are "pensions" is a joke.)

But then public hassles over his pay prompted Shattuck to forego the early pension. Then the two companies scrapped their marriage, anyway.

According to the original timetable, Shattuck would still be two years away from completing his 10 years of service and thus not eligible for the boodle until 2011.

Continue reading "Happy Birthday, Mr. Shattuck " »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (9)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 6, 2009

Natural gas savings will beat BGE's 25% estimate

On Monday BGE said customers should expect natural gas bills will be 25 percent lower this winter compared with those of last winter. I suspect they're being conservative. Wholesale natural gas prices have crashed.

A year ago gas was selling in the Gulf Coast for 70 cents a therm; now it's 30 cents. That wholesale price isn't the whole equation -- you pay interstate shipping and local distribution charges to get it to your furnace, and those haven't changed much. Still, I bet many households will see gas bills fall by more than 25 percent, especially if this winter isn't unusually cold the way last year's was.

BGE senior VP Mark Case estimates the delivered cost for natural gas will be $1.04 per therm this winter. That suggests he's expecting a "commodity" cost -- delivered gas minus the distribution charge -- of 70 or 75 cents. Lately, BGE's monthly commodity costs have been running in the 50- and 60-cent range. So they would have to rise substantially to achieve "only" the winter-to-winter savings projected by BGE. The October commodity price, just posted, is 59 cents per therm, up from 50 cents in September. BGE has already bought lots of its gas for the winter, anyway.

As usual, Washington Gas Energy Services offers a fixed-price, competing natural-gas product to go up against BGE's floating price. For a year they'll lock you in at a commodity price of 73 cents per therm. For two years they'll lock you in at 85 cents. I'm pretty sure the one-year deal will turn out to be more expensive than BGE's default program. The two-year package I'm not so sure about. If the economy recovers in a healthy way, natural gas prices could easily be north of 85 cents for the winter of 2010-2011.

In any case, I'm sticking with BGE's regular product for now. Last season I spent $950 on BGE natural gas during November through March, or about $1.30 per therm. I could handle a decrease. How about you?

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:30 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

October 5, 2009

Will EDF's new boss kill the Constellation deal?

Electricite de France, the state-owned French power company that has proposed to buy half of Constellation Energy Group's nuclear power business and build a new reactor at Calvert Cliffs, has a new boss. A week ago the government canned Chief Executive Pierre Gadonneix and replaced him with Henri Proglio, an EDF board member who is also the CEO of Veolia, a water and waste-disposal company.

EDF's deal with Constellation is the subject of contentious and seemingly never-ending hearings before the Maryland Public Service Commission, now on their second extension. EDF and Constellation (parent of BGE) had hoped to sew the deal up by now. They've said that building the new Calvert Cliffs unit (and thereby providing Maryland with badly needed, carbon-free electricity) depends on the PSC approving the EDF investment.

The change at the top at EDF has prompted speculation that the new leadership and French government might get impatient with Maryland and pull the plug on the Constellation investment. EDF is heavily indebted and took out something like an adjustable mortgage, which means that its interest payments are about to soar and that it has to sell old operations or cancel new investments to pay down debt. Says this week's Economist magazine :

The firm plans disposals, and could also back away from the deal with Constellation, because the state of Maryland is holding up the process in any case, says Mr. [John] Honore [utilities analyst with Societe Generale]. That would save more than 3.5 billion [pounds sterling].

I have predicted that the EDF/Constellation deal will fail. But I don't think EDF will be the one to walk away.

Continue reading "Will EDF's new boss kill the Constellation deal?" »

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 16, 2009

State tries to supress Constellation deal benefits

Why is Gov. Martin O'Malley's Energy Administration trying to suppress testimony requested by his own Public Service Commission on the benefits of letting a French company help build a nuclear plant in Maryland? If you didn't already think politics and not policy were driving the PSC's review of the deal, here is the latest evidence.

The PSC staff hired London Economics International to analyze the agreement by Electricite de France to invest $4.5 billion in Constellation Energy Group's nuclear business. (Constellation owns Baltimore Gas & Electric.) Specifically, LEI's Julia Frayer was asked to determine 1) whether Constellation would be hurt by credit-ratings downgrades if regulators block the deal; 2) whether a new nuclear unit at Calvert Cliffs giving Maryland needed electricity depends on EDF's investment; and 3) whether BGE customers would benefit from lower prices. In response Frayer said things such as:

The likelihood of a ratings downgrade to both CEG [Constellation] and BGE [Baltimore Gas & Electric] is less if the transaction is completed than if it is not.

And:

It appears essentially certain that [Constellation and EDF] will pursue the development of [Calvert Cliffs 3] if the... transaction is approved.

And:

In 2016, demand-weighted annual average energy prices [for Maryland electricity customers after Calvert Cliffs 3 opens] drop by 12% [compared with what they would be without the new Calvert Cliffs unit]... I have estimated the savings over the eight year analysis period to average $141 million per year. This represents an approximately seven percent reduction in wholesale energy costs relative to the cost without CC3.

Great! Say yes and let them start building. More electricity supply equals lower electricity prices. But the Maryland Energy Administration is trying to get Frayer's findings wiped out.

"The State of Maryland and the Maryland Energy Administration hereby move for the exclusion of the testimony of Julia Frayer and Michael M. Schnitzer," says the motion. (Schnitzer is Constellation's expert.) Then it goes on to trash the measurement of benefits in dollar terms as "pseudo-science." And it pretty much tries to discredit the entire report.

What's the point of having a professional PSC staff and experts if you're going to ignore what they say?

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:44 PM | | Comments (24)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Florida regulator dined with FPL exec in NYC

More on Florida Public Service Commission members and their BFFs, the executives at Florida Power & Light whom they're supposed to be regulating. We knew one PSC staffer went to a Kentucky Derby Day party at the home of an FPL exec. We knew that three PSC staffers gave confidential Blackberry messaging codes to an FPL executive, enabling a medium that may have let them communicate without leaving a record. We know that FPL is looking for a huge rate increase, part of which with it would buy an executive jet. Now we have this, from the Miami Herald:

In an emotional appeal, a utility regulator apologized Tuesday for casting a ``cloud'' over the Public Service Commission, but insisted she broke no rules in dining with an executive of Florida Power & Light as it sought a $1.3 billion rate increase.

Commissioner Katrina McMurrian sounded choked up after Commissioner Nathan Skop suggested she had engaged in ``completely unacceptable'' behavior by having a meal with FPL Treasurer Paul I. Cutler in New York before a March 10 utility conference.

FPL Group, FPL's parent, almost merged with BGE parent Constellation Energy three years ago.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:59 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 10, 2009

Calif. pol resigns after possible affair with utility lobbyist

For the second time this week, we have reports of what looks like inappropriately close contact between electric-company interests and the public servants who are supposed to be regulating them. Mike Duvall, an Orange County, Calif., assemblyman and vice chairman of the legislature's utility committee, resigned after a mic recorded his comments on purported dalliances with two women. California media identified one of the women as a lobbyist for an electric company. According to AP:

Several media outlets reported the woman Duvall refers to in his comments works as a lobbyist for Sempra Energy, a San Diego-based energy services company that operates San Diego Gas & Electric Co. and Southern California Gas Co. Sempra issued an e-mail statement saying it was investigating the claims.

"The employee has denied the speculative media reports. Our investigation will be conducted to ensure not only that our policies on employee conduct are strictly adhered to, but also that our employee is treated fairly," the company said.

I would treat the reports identifying Duvall's putative partner with caution. The guy could have just been making stuff up. But if they're true, we have another example of inappropriate socializing between policymakers and energy companies. See this post on the Florida regulator who partied with a utility executive. No reports that I have seen so far on how Duvall voted on matters affecting Sempra.

If you're interested in all the details (me, I'm just worried about the policy implications!), a loyal friend of the blog has found a video link to Duvall's conversation as well as an unedited tape of the comments.

UPDATE: Duvall says he does not admit he had affairs. From the Pasadena paper:

"I want to make it clear that my decision to resign is in no way an admission that I had an affair or affairs," said Duvall, R-Brea, in a statement on his campaign Web site.

"My offense was engaging in inappropriate story-telling and I regret my language and choice of words," he stated. "The resulting media coverage was proving to be an unneeded distraction to my colleagues and I resigned in the hope that my decision would allow them to return to the business of the state."

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:32 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 9, 2009

Florida regulators roasted over cosiness with utility

Florida Power & Light could well have become an affiliate of Baltimore Gas & Electric. FPL Group, the Florida utility's parent, agreed to merge with BGE parent Constellation Energy Group a few years ago. The companies scrapped the merger after they got resistance from the Maryalnd Public Service Commission.

New details have emerged about how cosy FPL is with the Florida PSC. A state lobbyist who partied with a top FPL exec on Kentucky Derby Day resigned Tuesday, and two other PSC staffers were placed on leave. The Miami Herald reported that an FPL executive had requested and gotten confidential Blackberry messaging codes from one state commissioner and two state staffers. The codes would have reduced chances that the communications would leave a record, the Herald reported.

Meanwhile FPL is asking for a 30 percent rate increase, part of which would be devoted to buying a $31 million executive jet. Beautiful.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:26 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

September 3, 2009

Constellation-EDF deal would yield state tax windfall

We knew that Electricite de France's plan to invest $4.5 billion in Constellation Energy would produce a new unit at the Calvert Cliffs nuclear generation facility, numerous jobs and a key new supply of electricity for the Maryland economy. What I didn't know until recently is that the deal would produce a huge tax windfall for Maryland just when it could use it the most.

Selling half of its interest in the existing Calvert Cliffs units would instantly generate a $130 million income-tax bill for Constellation, the company says. Legislative fiscal pro Warren Deschenaux confirms this -- he says it's about $100 million.

The portion of the plants being sold to EDF is worth about 1.6 billion. Maryland's corporate income-tax rate is 8.25 percent, and it gets slapped right on the EDF proceeds the minute they land in Constellation's possession. It surprised me that income-tax law applies to a capital transaction like this. But when you're a corporation apparently that's the way it works.

For a state that just filled a $700 million budget hole with furloughs, layoffs, huge program cuts and reductions in aid to localities, $130 million could have come in handy and made the cuts less severe. But Gov. O'Malley is having the PSC rake Constellation over the coals in hearings and putting the matter in some doubt. I have gone on the record saying the deal won't get done.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 29, 2009

Natural-gas shopping

Liz Kay writes about the continuing plunge in natural gas prices and quotes experts who suggest you should lock in with a long-term natural gas contract instead of using BGE's standard offering, in which the gas price more or less floats with the market from month to month. I'm skeptical; the offerings don't let you lock in for more than two years, and the prices aren't that great. Here is my earlier post on this.

But in any event here are links to the natural gas vendors she mentioned. BGE will continue to deliver the gas through its pipes and charge a delivery fee, no matter who your supplier is. For a lot more on this, scroll down to the "Categories" box on the right and click on "BGE/electricity."

Washington Gas Energy Services
BGE Home (different from plain old BGE.)
Northern Virginia Electric Cooperative

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:40 AM | | Comments (3)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 28, 2009

Natural gas prices hit new lows; winter bills should be cheaper

Natural gas prices hit their lowest levels in seven years on Thursday following a new government report on how much of the stuff is building up in pipes, unburnt. Idle factories and slower-running electricity generators have caused a plunge in demand that would have been unimaginable a year ago, when prices were four times higher. That's bad for gas producers and good for consumers who will use it to heat their homes this winter.

Thanks partly to large new wells tapped in recent years, natural gas prices refuse to rise as the economy starts to recover. This quote from a Bloomberg story tells the tale:

“I’ve tried to guess a bottom on this market a thousand times and it just keeps getting crushed,” said Carl Neill, an energy analyst at Risk Management Inc. in Chicago. “We have a lot in storage. I don’t know what will turn it.”

For BGE customers, natural gas prices more or less float from month to month, and they'll probably bump up a bit from today's level before the cold months. They usually do. But they promise to stay far below levels of a year ago. BGE has already stocked up some gas at prices slightly higher than today's. So far we've avoided a major Gulf Coast hurricane, which was really the only thing that could cause a return to 2008 levels.

The question, as always after prices drop like this, is: Should you lock in a long-term natural gas deal with Washington Gas Energy Services? So far I haven't done so. At 85 cents per therm for a two-year deal, WGES is still way above today's prices. (BGE is charging 56 cents this month.) And it's probably above what prices will be all this winter.

There's a chance BGE's price will be more than 85 cents for the winter of 2010-2011 if the economy recovers in a decent way. But it might not be. And even if it is, I'm betting the money I save this winter by sticking with BGE's lower, floating price will be at least equal to any extra I might have to pay for the second winter. And if natural gas prices continue to fall, the longer-term deals from WGES and other alternative suppliers should improve.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:00 AM | | Comments (5)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 27, 2009

Electricity regulator attends Derby Day bash at home of Florida Power & Light exec

From the Florida papers, stories on the attendance by a top Public Service Commission manager at a Derby Day party thrown by FPL vice president Ed Tancer. FPL Group, the utility's parent, tried to buy BGE owner Constellation Energy a few years ago.

The Public Service Commission delayed the start of hearings on FPL's request for a rate increase for about two hours after Commissioner Nathan Skop raised the issue.

Ryder Rudd, director of the panel's Office of Strategic Analysis and Governmental Affairs, had told at least three of the five commissioners over the weekend that he and his wife had attended a Ketucky Derby party in May at the home of FPL Vice President Ed Tancer in Palm Beach Gardens.

Skop said Rudd should resign.

"Such inexcusable conduct undermines the public trust and confidence in the regulatory process and impugns the integrity of this commission," Skop said. "These are not allegations, but admissions by this employee."


Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:45 AM | | Comments (2)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Connecticut alleges manipulation by BGE parent

Connecticut regulators have complained that BGE parent Constellation Energy and another company manipulated the wholesale electricity market in that region and collected more than $50 million in excess revenue as a result. The complaint was filed with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission in April, but the identities of the companies weren't revealed. Now FERC has agreed to hear the complaint, and it has come out that Constellation and somebody called Brookfield Energy Marketing are the respondents.

The alleged improprieties took place on the New England grid and involved the "capacity" market, in which electricity users pay to reserve future generation time. The capacity market is questionable even when legal, as it pays gajillions of dollars to generators just for existing. Connecticut is alleging something worse.

"Two energy companies that received more than $50 million in ratepayer money to provide power never delivered the electricity," says Gov. M. Jodi Rell's press release.

But in the Reuters story a Constellation spokesman said grid operators reversed previous statements that the juice had not been delivered:

"ISO-New England has retracted initial statements that power bid into the forward capacity markets was not delivered, finding that requests for power were never made," spokesman Lawrence McDonnell said in an emailed statement.

That doesn't address another point made by Connecticut, namely that energy producers gamed the market with a strategy of selling capacity that minimized the likelihood they would ever have to deliver. In any event it's great that the Obama FERC is looking into this. Under Bush, FERC swept multiple allegations of electricity shenanigans under the carpet, including some involving the Mid-Atlantic grid that includes Maryland. FERC has jurisdiction over the interstate wholesale electricity market, which is where all the action and money is. Let's hope this is the beginning of a long process of turning on the lights at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 7:00 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 12, 2009

Why air is getting cleaner and power more expensive

From the Staunton News Leader of Virginia, a report that a judge has revoked Dominion Virginia Power's emissions permit for a new coal-powered generation plant. The plant is already under construction. It'll probably end up getting finished, but the ruling demonstrates the challenges to building new generators of any kind, especially coal. It's why conservation has turned into Job No. 1 for the Mid-Atlantic grid.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:01 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 11, 2009

Former Bush advisor: Time to tax carbon

Greg Mankiw, former chairman of Bush II's Council of Economic Advisers, repeats his longstanding call for a carbon tax in a piece in Sunday's New York Times. But he faults the legislation moving through Congress because it doesn't charge enough for carbon emissions permits that will be dealt out to industry. This deprives the government of revenue, Mankiw argues, that could be used to finance tax cuts in other areas.

The numbers involved are not trivial. From Congressional Budget Office estimates, one can calculate that if all the allowances were auctioned, the government could raise $989 billion in proceeds over 10 years. But in the bill as written, the auction proceeds are only $276 billion.
The price of carbon allowances will eventually be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices for carbon-intensive products. But if most of those allowances are handed out rather than auctioned, the government won’t have the resources to cut other taxes and offset that price increase. The result is an increase in the effective tax rates facing most Americans, leading to lower real take-home wages, reduced work incentives and depressed economic activity.

Note that his differences with the Democratic legislation are over whether to offset a carbon tax with other tax cuts -- not over whether anthropogenic climate change is real or whether we need to do something about it.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:05 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 10, 2009

Evidence of a failed electricity market

From today's release on regional energy prices from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Thanks partly to electricity deregulation and the failure to build any significant new electricity transmission lines or generators since deregulation happened 10 years ago, Baltimore-Washington pays 13.6 percent more for juice than the nation as a whole. In the market for gasoline, however, where barriers to entry are low and competition is healthy, we pay less than the national average. No link yet, but here is the gist:
In June 2009, Washington-Baltimore area consumers paid more than the U.S. city average for utility (piped) gas (10.9 percent) and electricity (13.6 percent) but less than the national average for gasoline (-4.4 percent) as measured by the Consumer Price Index, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Sheila Watkins, the Bureau’s regional commissioner, noted that the 13.6 percent gap between local and national electricity prices was the largest difference in June in the last 10 years.
The fact that the regional-national electricity gap has never been wider hit a 10-year high may have something to do with the PSC's auction schedule. BGE had to buy this year's juice at last year's high prices. Not sure about Pepco and others. In other states, utilities have been better able to capitalize on the plunge in energy prices that started happening a year ago. But unless you switched to Washington Gas Energy Services' cheaper deal for BGE customers, you're paying all-time high kilowatt prices this summer.
Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:30 AM | | Comments (6)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Shopping for electricity to save money

Washington Gas Energy Services is still offering its cheaper alternative to BGE's standard product. Here's a recent interview I did with Jeff Salkin on MPT about it.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:36 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 6, 2009

MidAmerican's Sokol touted as Buffett replacement

David Sokol, the guy who just pried more than $1 billion out of Constellation Energy Group for a few months' work, just got an added task within Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway and is being tipped as Buffett's possible successor. Says Reuters:

Buffett's naming on Tuesday of David Sokol as chairman and interim chief executive of Berkshire's NetJets Inc unit has renewed speculation that Sokol could be the internal executive in line to replace Buffett in running the Berkshire empire.

Sokol is also chairman of Berkshire's MidAmerican Energy Holdings Co unit. He is 52, several years younger than others whom analysts say could also be heirs apparent, insurance executive Ajit Jain and Geico Corp chief executive Tony Nicely.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:30 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

August 4, 2009

Constellation Energy's fuzzy math

Shortbus begs to differ with BGE parent Constellation Energy's report of "adjusted" earnings of $1.82 per share for the second quarter. This figure is supposed to reflect ongoing profits and doesn't include irregular, extraordinary costs that distort the future picture.

However, as Shortbus points out, irregular and extraordinary are absolutely routine at Constellation Energy Group.

In other words, the non-GAAP [adjusted] earnings omit non-recurring charges in order to provide a picture of "normal" operations. In Constellation's case, the exception is the rule and a quarter without extraordinary charges would be an anomaly. Clearly, these figures are used being used to justify senior management's looting of the treasury and to deceive unwary investors.

[This is Jay. I don't know for a fact that the pay of Mayo Shattuck and other execs is tied to non-GAAP measures. I've asked CEG for comment.]

On the other hand, perhaps I'm being narrow-minded with respect to Constellation's accounting practices. Since I have a current $128 Constellation electric bill in front of me, I can't think of a better opportunity to practice some of Shattuck's "outside the box" methodology. Thus, I see no reason not to submit $4.74, which is a 27 time reduction that represents, in the judgement of Shortbus management, a truer picture of my power consumption.

UPDATE: CEG spokesman Rob Gould refers us to a regulatory document that talks about why the company reports adjusted earnings per share. He doesn't directly address the question of whether management is paid at least partly based on adjusted results, so presumably the answer is yes. The excerpt below implies that they are, saying, "adjusted EPS is an appropriate measure for senior executives..."

In the attached link, go to page 28…..it lays out in the middle of the page………”Adjusted EPS is publicly reported quarterly by CEG. We believe this view of adjusted EPS reflects results that are comparable among periods since it excludes the impact of items such as workforce reduction costs or gains and losses on the sale of assets, which may recur occasionally, but tend to be irregular as to timing. We believe this view of adjusted EPS is consistent with how our investors view our business, and that adjusted EPS is an appropriate measure for senior executives given their company-wide responsibility.”
Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:32 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

July 31, 2009

Constellation analyst: 'People's Republic of Maryland'

Boy is this swirling around the Internets this morning. On Constellation Energy's 2nd-quarter earnings conference call this morning, one analyst referred to "The People's Republic of Maryland." The topic was Constellation's proposed joint venture with Electricite de France, the Maryland's Public Service Commission's review of the deal even though it has no jurisdiction, and yesterday's announcement by the PSC that it won't complete the review in time for CEG's and EDF's deadline.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:43 AM | | Comments (5)