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October 27, 2010

Challenges to Calvert Cliffs project remain

The French EDF Group and Baltimore-based Constellation Energy seem to have worked out their differences over Constellation's exit from their joint venture to build a new reactor at Calvert Cliffs in southern Maryland. But the challenges to the project that caused Constellation to bail out remain.

The U.S. government is demanding stiff terms to guarantee construction loans for the reactor. EDF's construction of a similarly designed reactor in Flamanville, France is not going well -- cost overruns etc. Maryland's electricity market is deregulated. That means greater risk for EDF and U.S. taxpayers. Without guaranteed revenue ordered by the Public Service Commission, the new reactor will have to sell its electricity in the wholesale market and hope for the best.

Vast new supplies of natural gas will keep prices for megawatts from competing gas-fired generation plants uncomfortably low for nuclear developers and their backers. The failure of a climate-change bill means that non-nuclear energy won't be taxed for its carbon emissions, which would have made coal- and gas-fired plants less competitive.

And EDF apparently still needs to find a U.S. partner to take Constellation's place. Who will fill that spot? Tactically this may have been a smart move for the French. By reaching a comprehensive deal they got Constellation's agreement not to exercise a put option to sell them overvalued fossil-fuel plants. Basically they're taking over UniStar for $250 million when you include the $140 million they're paying for the venture and the $110 million in CEG stock they're paying to settle the option question.

That may be a cheaper outcome for them than if Constellation had decided to pull the option trigger. But it doesn't change the fundamentals of the Calvert Cliffs project.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 8:58 AM | | Comments (1)
Categories: BGE/electricity
        

Comments

All is not what it seems. The unenforceable 'put' was the smoke screen. The transfer of 'land' is only conditional. It reverts back to CE in 2016 if construction does not start. The value of Unistar is fictitious as it is a development office. The key point is EDF giving up the seat on the board of CE. Tells all. Mayo's real plan revealed: get rid of the French. Mayo does not play well with others. Given that EDF still owns half of the nuclear business, why would it not have a seat on the board? It saved CE from the Buffet machine, why give up its seat on the board? Mayo pulls off another fast one, but shows that there is more to come. EDF to sell its share of the nuclear business? Most likely. Why be partner in operating nukes when your partner is such a jerk to play with?
Overall it is a sad state of the nuclear power industry when the most sincere and dedicated player is a frenchman who has the unfortunate displeasure of dealing with the absolutely worst CEO in the business.
.....more to come.

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
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