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July 29, 2010

Rosenberg: Stock market is complacent, overbought

David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff (and formerly of Merrill Lynch) is one of the sharpest market strategists around. He has been bearish on stocks for a long time and has been right. He is still bearish. From Tech Ticker:

[Rosenberg] suspects jobless claims will soon be back above 500,000 per week and notes the latest manufacturing data from the regional Federal banks has been lackluster. “I think a lot of the earnings were front-loaded in April," he says. "They disguise, I believe, a slowing in May and June.”

Rosenberg also believes analyst earnings estimates for the S&P 500 as a whole are too high. Based on his projections, the S&P 500 should be trading a at least 20% lower. “I will start to more excited about the stock market once we get the S&P 500 down closer to 900 than 1100,” he says.

The whole story and video interview with Rosenberg are here.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:08 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: Finance
        

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
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