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June 28, 2010

Public pensions will be tweaked, not butchered

Yesterday's column was about the Baltimore fire & police pensions and how they are a harbinger of what Maryland's governor, whoever he is, will be dealing with next year. I disliked the headline that editors wrote for the print edition: "Too bad about those pension promises." It seemed to mock those hoping that today's state and city pension terms will last. Mocking is not my intention. My point was that everybody is dealing with diminished resources and lowered expectations in today's economy, and that members of all defined-benefit pension plans, government's included, will have to face up to that.

But don't expect public pension plans to be wiped out, by any means. Even after inevitable reforms, most government employees will have the kind of retirement benefits that private-sector employees can only wish for. It's just that contribution rates will rise, retirement ages will be pushed back, cost-of-living adjustments will be lowered and so forth.

A good analogy is Social Security, which is headed toward its second big overhaul in four decades. Most workers pay into Social Security, and most workers will have to adjust to the idea that Social Security's terms are going to change. Look for the Social Security retirement age to be pushed back and perhaps for benefits to be scaled back for high-income folks. Many Social Security members realize that present terms can't be maintained without terrible fiscal consequences or intolerable tax burdens on younger generations. But barring some barely imaginable disaster Social Security will be here and paying benefits for a long, long time.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 6:06 AM | | Comments (4)
Categories: Taxes
        

Comments

"Everybody is dealing with diminished resources and lowered expectations in today's economy, and members of all defined-benefit pension plans, government's included, will have to face up to that. "
Your article was spot on.

Our world moves in baby steps.

When the hate mail pours in just remember many of us sincerely appreciate you fighting the good fight.

Your 63k/year for someone retiring after 30 years is a $2+ million annuity. You could literally call it hitting the jackpot.

Jay--When you say: "Many Social Security members realize that present terms can't be maintained without terrible fiscal consequences or intolerable tax burdens on younger generations, " it's just not true.

There should be some modification of Social Security, but a 1.8--2% increase in the contribution rate should work to insure the solvency of the system beyond the 75 year horizon. (I say this with some trepidation because the SS Trustees' Annual Report is due out on Wednesday and it will probably have a headline number somewhat higher than 2%, but I suspect that the "mid-level" estimation that provides the headline number is far too conservative.)

My name is equity release from USA. I am interested in your writing. Some of your posting are good, I can say, best. Can you please tell me how to subscribe to your blog post online?

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
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