baltimoresun.com

« Dodd proposal could transform corporate boards | Main | Computer techs arrested in Madoff probe »

November 13, 2009

Tyler Cowen says gold is a bubble

The price of gold, in case you hadn't noticed keeps hitting new highs. After spending the 1990s in the $300 and $400 range, it started rising, passed $1,000 and recently passed $1,100. The price is being driven up by speculation, yes, but also by the U.S. government's decision to print billions of dollar bills out of thin air and to add trillions to the national debt that will probably be paid back through inflation.

Tyler Cowen, however, says there is evidence that gold is a bubble -- the latest being a gold necklace shaped in the form of gold's round-trip price from the early 1980s to now. This is already earning him objections from gold bugs -- generally a prickly bunch. "Why is it that many academics have a thinly veiled contempt for the yellow metal...?" says the first commenter. It's true that gold has been a miserable investment over long periods. But when the world financial and economic system is as messed up as this one, an investment that doesn't depend on human competence -- indeed, it thrives on incompetence -- looks pretty good.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:39 AM | | Comments (1)
        

Comments

I summarized a 200 year history of gold and analyzed its key events at the following article I had published on the economics/finance website Seeking Alpha. Bottom line, during times of functional default by the US government it has shown a precedent for moving exponentially inside of a decade. I certainly wouldn’t be encouraging your readers to part with it for paper money just yet:

http://seekingalpha.com/article/165463-is-gold-s-price-rise-a-speculative-bubble-or-fundamentally-supported

Post a comment

All comments must be approved by the blog author. Please do not resubmit comments if they do not immediately appear. You are not required to use your full name when posting, but you should use a real e-mail address. Comments may be republished in print, but we will not publish your e-mail address. Our full Terms of Service are available here.

Verification (needed to reduce spam):

About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
-- ADVERTISEMENT --

Most Recent Comments
Baltimore Sun coverage
Sign up for FREE business alerts
Get free Sun alerts sent to your mobile phone.*
Get free Baltimore Sun mobile alerts
Sign up for Business text alerts

Returning user? Update preferences.
Sign up for more Sun text alerts
*Standard message and data rates apply. Click here for Frequently Asked Questions.
Charm City Current
Stay connected