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May 5, 2009

Stress test

I love the fiction maintained by the wire services that the bank stress tests are only for a really, really bad recession. Reuters is typical:

The banks have been negotiating with their regulators about the depth of their capital needs, should the recession prove to be deeper and longer than anticipated. Markets have been anxiously anticipating the results, which will differentiate the strongest banks from those still expected to sustain considerable credit losses.

We're already in a really bad recession. The stress tests are testing for current conditions. On the other hand, if markets were truly anxious, the S&P 500 wouldn't be over 9,000.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:24 AM | | Comments (0)
Categories: The Great Recession
        

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
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