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April 3, 2009

The very best recession comparison graph

Another fantastic graph from Calculated Risk. Shows all postwar U.S. recessions in terms of percentage of jobs lost according to Labor Department payroll counts, based on unemployment insurance returns. The X axis is the number of months after job losses begin. Today's announced job-loss numbers are incorporated. As you can see this recession is now the third-wost in amplitude, surpassing the (purple) 1981 recession.

But it's really even worse than that. The 1948 recession, which looks worse on the graph, was all about returning to a normal economy after the war. It wasn't pathological in the way this recession is. Rosie the Riveter and hundreds of thousands of other women were leaving the work force to go home and assume traditional female roles. The economy was running at full capacity and then some -- an unsustainable pace. When the war ended it reverted to normal.

RECESSIONCOMPARISON.jpg

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:25 AM | | Comments (1)
        

Comments

I've been doing this chart after every employment report for several months at angry bear.

But I think you 1981 data is wrong. My data from BLS does not show that severe a drop in 1981. Bill Polley's charts does not agree with you either.

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
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