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September 4, 2008

The best economic news of the year

Holy cow! U.S. economic output per worker (labor productivity) grew at a 4.3 percent annual rate in the second quarter, the Labor Department said this morning. That's the third-best quarterly showing in four years. The figure was a sharp upward revisions from previous estimates. Rising productivity means more production from each laborer, which means higher corporate profits and (theoretically) higher wages. When you can produce more stuff (whether it's opening bank accounts or making steel) with each hour of labor, theoretically you should be paid more.

True, most productivity gains the past 10 years have accrued to profits, not wages and salaries. Even so, healthy productivity gains are preferable to the opposite under any circumstances. When productivity flags, so does total output. When productivity flags, inflation and high interest rates kick in. This is a sign that the technology-enabled productivity boom that began in 1996 hasn't ended.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 9:36 AM | | Comments (1)
        

Comments

Maybe the post-tech productivity boom hasn't ended, but the payoff to workers hasn't begun. The news you're reporting coincides with news of 15,000 more people on the unemployment rolls, which makes one wonder whether the productivity rise has more to do with each worker becoming (over)burdened with the work the guy next to him used to do before he was pink-slipped. This is a glass that is half-empty.

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Wednesdays and Fridays.
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