The next energy pain: natural gas
The next pain in your pocketbook will be natural gas. Baltimore Gas & Electric's "commodity" price for May was $1.30 per therm, and email correspondents tell me it has risen even higher for June, although BGE hasn't posted it yet on their Web site.
May's price is a whopping 39 percent higher than BGE's natural gas price from May 2007. Natural gas still hasn't hit the post-Hurricane Katrina high of $1.63, in November 2005, but it might be on the way. Futures markets have natural gas at these levels until this time next year.
That'll mean big bills this winter. Most households don't use much gas in the summer, so the pain is limited for now. But when it gets cold, natural gas figures to add to the shock households are feeling over electricity prices.
Last fall I predicted people who rejected fixed-price offers from Washington Gas Energy Services and other vendors for $1 per therm would do better than those who signed up. This might be true for the 12-month offers. For November through March – the months of heaviest gas use, for furnaces – BGE’s price stayed under a dollar, dropping as low as 94 cents in January and February. The money you saved then might be more than the extra you’re spending to cook food and heat water now.
But people who locked in for a 24-month contract at last fall's prices will probably be shown to be very wise indeed. A dollar per therm will probably look pretty good next January.


Comments
Jay - thanks for keeping up to date on natural gas prices. I was the person updating your blog's with prices because I was so taken back by your advice to stay away from contracts.
The fact is there are many supply options available for nat gas and electricity other than BGE but for whatever reason the press seems to stay away from the issue and continue to bash the open market.
Commercial customers are taking it on the chin right now. Perhaps you can spend some time researching and reporting on the success of those who made good business decisions related to energy contracts and how others can follow their lead.
I'm sure the Sun has great contracts...Might be a good case study.
By the way - BGE gas rates are now posted = 1.389
Posted by: Energy Marketer | June 13, 2008 10:19 AM