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May 1, 2008

Why quote the White House on economic stats?

It still seems weird when AP calls the White House for a quote on the latest economic indicators. This is true for any administration. White House flacks have no economic expertise, and it's all just spin and garbage anyway, especially in an election year. From today's AP story on poor consumer spending and jobless-claim stats.

The White House said the weekly jobless claims are a volatile marker of the economy's health.

"The bottom line is that they're higher than we'd like to see them," White House deputy press secretary Tony Fratto said. He added that a slight rise in the Gross Domestic Product for the first quarter was modestly encouraging news, and was in the range of what the administration had expected.

In other words, the unemployment claims don't mean anything. But they're too high. But they don't mean anything. And the first-quarter GDP growth was "within the range of what the administration had expected." What the heck does that mean?

If the White House has policy ideas about what to do, let's find out by all means. But merely quoting spokesmen about an administration's alleged concern doesn't seem to add much.

Posted by Jay Hancock at 10:18 AM | | Comments (1)
        

Comments

Jay,

This point about trust can be expanded to cover not just White House spokespeople, but government economists and research bureaus in general.

Economic reporting by government agencies is bound to become increasingly twisted and politicized over time. I think Kevin Phillips' recent article in Harper's Magazine has now made that point more widely understood and appreciated.

You mentioned Barry Ritholtz' recent thoughts on this in your April 30 post on recession data. I think all these things are connected. Here are some related thoughts:

http://financetrends.blogspot.com/2008/05/bloomberg-surviving-slowdown.html

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
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