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May 12, 2008

In favor of $200 oil and high gas taxes

This is the latest from Richard Posner, the distinguished federal appeals judge and noted (often described as conservative) economic thinker:

Why We Should Be Rooting for $200 per Barrel of Oil

Were the world price of oil to rise to a level close to $200, both demand and (with a lag) supply would respond. Oil trapped in sand and shale--a potentially very large supply--would become economical. In the longer run, very high oil prices will further stimulate the development of alternative fuels.

And:

I would like to see the price of oil rise to $200, despite the worldwide recession that would probably result, provided that it rises as a result of heavy taxes on oil or (better) carbon emissions. The taxes would jump start the development of clean fuels, and the financial impact on consumers could be buffered by returning a portion of the tax revenues in the form of income tax credits. That would not reduce the effect of the taxes on the demand for oil or the incentives to develop alternative fuels, because the marginal cost (the production and distribution cost plus the tax) of oil to consumers would not be affected.

Higher oil prices are necessary to check global warming, reduce traffic congestion, and reduce dependence on foreign oil, so much of which is produced by countries that are either unstable or hostile to the United States. Heavy taxes on oil would reduce not only the amount of oil we import but also the revenue per barrel of the oil exporting nations, so there would be a double negative effect on those countries' oil revenues: they would sell less oil and earn less per unit sold.


Posted by Jay Hancock at 4:27 PM | | Comments (1)
        

Comments

Demand $2 a Gallon Gas

Oil was $120 a barrel on May 5, 2008.

The cost of a barrel of synthetic fuel from coal is estimated to be $55, including the infrastructure and labor force necessary to operate plants.

Germany fueled WWII with synfuel from coal. It is proven technology.

America has 1/3rd of the coal on Earth and can eliminate dependence on foreign oil.

Reducing America’s trade imbalance keeps money and jobs here in America.

Every billion in trade deficit costs 13,000 American jobs. $400 billion for oil last year: you do the math.

And we can stop sending billions to countries that sponsor terrorism.

Synfuels are cleaner burning than gasoline and carbon sequestration can remove CO2.

Visit http://governor.mt.gov/hottopics/faqsynthetic.asp

Harness your anger at the pump. Call you're US Senators and demand they break ground on America's energy independence by encouraging an American synfuel industry in this decade.

If you don’t raise your voice the oil companies, lobbyist and politicians will assume you are fat, dumb and happy and ready to pay even more.

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Tuesdays and Sundays.
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