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January 29, 2008

The Associated Press's innumeracy

Why does AP write ledes such as this?

NEW YORK - U.S. home prices plunged by a record 8.4 percent in November, marking two years of slowing returns, according to a key index released Tuesday.

It's simply not true. Home prices did not fall 8.4 percent in November. They fell 8.4 percent over the 12-month period that ended in November. AP does this all the time. By declining 8.4 percent in one month, home prices would have been falling at 65 percent annual rate. If you think the Fed is panicked about an 8.4 percent annual decline in home values, think what they would do about a plunge at a 65 percent annual rate.

AP's second sentence does clear things up: "The decline in the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller 10-city composite home price index was the biggest year-to-year drop since a 6.7 percent decrease in October." But why couldn't they say "year to year" in the lede?

Posted by Jay Hancock at 11:14 AM | | Comments (1)
        

Comments

because too many reporters skipped basic economics? Also assume that editors are often ignorant.

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About Jay Hancock
Jay Hancock has been a financial columnist for The Baltimore Sun since 2001. He has also been The Baltimore Sun's diplomatic correspondent in Washington and its chief economics writer. Before moving to Baltimore in 1994 he worked for The Virginian-Pilot of Norfolk and The Daily Press of Newport News.

His columns appear Wednesdays and Fridays.
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